Brewers vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Aug. 31
The Milwaukee Brewers are on a roll after winning the first two games of this series against the Toronto Blue Jays by a combined eight runs, and my Brewers vs. Blue Jays prediction, part of the MLB picks, backs the road underdogs to complete the sweep.
Oddsmakers peg Toronto as a -120 home moneyline betting favorite, but Max Scherzer’s inconsistencies have me backing a Brewers slugger for my best player prop bet.
First pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLBN).
⚾ Brewers vs. Blue Jays expert picks & predictions
MLB expert picks made Sunday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Brewers (+105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Brewers -1.5 (+160 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Brewers vs. Blue Jays preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🍺 Brewers ML (+105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Milwaukee began the series with its ace and MLB wins leader, Freddy Peralta, extending his longest active scoreless innings streak to 24, which is also the third-longest such streak in a single season for the franchise in the wild card era.
For an encore yesterday, the Brewers handed the Blue Jays their first consecutive losses in their last eight home games.
Milwaukee is an MLB-best 31-17 against teams in a playoff position and is the only team 18 games over .500 (41-23) against those with a winning record.
I also trust Brandon Woodruff more than Max Scherzer, as the Brewers are 8-1 in his nine starts, despite his 2.61 ERA in August. Scherzer's ERA, HR/9 rate and OBA are all worse at home, and the Brewers rank in the top five in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ since July.
Toronto may have a big void in its lineup after Dautlon Varsho left Friday’s game after his hand got hit by a pitch. All of Varsho’s 15 home runs have come against right-handed pitching this year, and the Blue Jays will miss his power if he does not suit up for a second consecutive game.
Conversely, Milwaukee is the healthiest it has been in a long time, with Jackson Chourio homering in his first game back off the IL yesterday.
BetMGM is the only one of the top sports betting sites offering odds better than +100 to back Milwaukee. Its +105 odds carry a 48.78% implied probability and would return $10.50 in profits on a winning $10 wager.
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💰 Best Brewers vs. Blue Jays player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Christian Yelich Over 1.5 total bases (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brewers left fielder Christian Yelich is the only player in today’s lineup with more than seven career at-bats against Scherzer. In the 33 times he has faced the Blue Jays righty, he has slashed .303/.361/.606 with two home runs and five of his 10 hits going for extra bases.
Yelich’s potential to cash this wager with one swing of the bat is unmatched in the Brewers lineup.
He has two-plus total bases in six of his last eight games, with four multi-hit games in that span. That makes his best implied probability of 44.44% to cash this wager appealing. Head to Caesars for the best return, where a winning $10 wager would net $13 in profits.
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📊 Brewers vs. Blue Jays odds: Aug. 31
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Brewers vs. Blue Jays betting odds analysis
Toronto opened as the -120 moneyline betting favorite, and BetMGM is the only one currently offering a higher price (-125). The total has remained firm at 8.5 overnight, but the Under has picked up more juice, being bet to -115 and -120 at several top sports betting sites.
🔢 Brewers vs. Blue Jays stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Brewers (85-52) | Statistic (per game) | Blue Jays (78-58) |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | Runs | 4.90 |
| 8.79 | Hits | 9.12 |
| .259 | AVG | .267 |
| .408 | SLG | .429 |
| .740 | OPS | .765 |
| 3.55 | ERA | 4.18 |
| 8.85 | K/9 | 9.01 |
| 3.29 | BB/9 | 3.19 |
| 1.07 | HR/9 | 1.36 |
🚑 Brewers vs. Blue Jays injuries
📺 Brewers vs. Blue Jays game info
- When: Sunday, Aug. 31
- First pitch: 1:37 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
- How to watch: MLBN
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❓ Brewers vs. Blue Jays FAQs
Who is favored to win Brewers vs. Blue Jays?
The Blue Jays are the -120 betting favorite to beat the Brewers at home on Sunday.
What is the run line for Brewers vs. Blue Jays?
Milwaukee’s +1.5 odds are at -210, while Toronto’s +1.5 odds are at +175 on the high end of the market.
What is the Over/Under for Brewers vs. Blue Jays?
The top sports betting sites have the O/U set at 8.5 runs, juiced to -105 to the Over and -115 to the Under.
What are the best bets for Brewers vs. Blue Jays?
My Brewers vs. Blue Jays best bets back Milwaukee to win, with Christian Yelich going over his projected number of total bases.
When is the Brewers vs. Blue Jays game?
The Brewers vs. Blue Jays first pitch is set for 1:37 p.m. ET this afternoon, airing on MLBN.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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