Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Friday, July 24
My Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prediction expects Boston to bounce back after snapping its 15-game winning streak.
It's Trey Yesavage vs. Patrick Sandoval, with Sandoval making just his third start of the season for the Red Sox. My MLB picks for today feature a moneyline, two player props, and an SGP, with first pitch from Fenway Park in Boston set for 7:15 p.m. ET (MLB.TV, Apple TV).
⚾ Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox ML (-126 via FanDuel) | 1.26u → 1u | The Red Sox have won 15 of last 16 games, with Patrick Sandoval going 2-0 in just two starts since July 9. |
| Patrick Sandoval Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+112 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.12u | Sandoval has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in both previous starts. |
| Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375 via bet365) | 0.27u → 1.01u | Contreras leads the Red Sox in home runs (22) and ranks 97th in xSLG (.529) in 2026. |
Total wagered: 2.53 units | Max profit: 3.13 units
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🏆 Who will win Blue Jays vs. Red Sox?
The Red Sox have had a full day to rest, holding an advantage over the Blue Jays. Toronto's lineup is among the worst in the league at producing runs, so I expect a solid effort from Boston at home, resulting in a 4-2 win at Fenway Park.
Score prediction: Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2
💰 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prediction & best bet
Red Sox ML (-126)
It's going to be a chalky play, but I don't see a way around taking the Red Sox moneyline. Toronto is 30th in MLB in OPS (.680) and has only won three of their last 10 games played.
We all know how hot the Red Sox have been. Boston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 starts.
Trey Yesavage ranks below average in ground-ball percentage, walk rate, and below the 50th percentile in fastball velo, avg exit velo, and chase rate. Expect runners on base tonight.
Bet the Red Sox moneyline at -126 odds on FanDuel.
📡 SBR Edge: Blue Jays American League Woes
The Blue Jays are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played against an American League opponent.
🔥 Best Blue Jays vs. Red Sox player prop bet
Patrick Sandoval Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+112)
The Blue Jays are a tough team to strike out. However, there is limited tape on Red Sox starter Patrick Sandoval, who Toronto will have to face tonight.
The southpaw has logged 5 strikeouts in both of his previous starts this month against the White Sox and Rays. The Blue Jays rank second in fewest strikeouts per game this season (7.25), but they have been punching out more lately, averaging 7.67 across their last three outings.
Sandoval has gone between 4.1 and 5.0 innings pitched. He has not exceeded 76 pitches, which is another reason why oddsmakers are giving us plus odds on Sandoval to finish with over 4.5 strikeouts against the Blue Jays tonight.
I'll take the bait. Head to FanDuel to bet on Sandoval to go over 4.5 strikeouts at +112 odds.
💣 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox home run prediction
Willson Contreras to hit a home run (+375)
Willson Contreras is among the best power hitters in MLB this season. The Red Sox 1B leads Boston in home runs (22), rated in the 97th percentile for xSLG (.529), 96th in bat speed (77.1) and 91st in barrel percentage (14.8) in 2026.
Yesavage gives up 94.3 average on his fastball velo and is in the 49th percentile for avg exit velo this year. Fenway Park is a hitter-friendly venue, while tonight's forecast calls for wind gusts up to 14 mph, which could boost Contreras' power even more to find the bleachers.
At +375 odds, we're landing good value on Contreras' home run prop at bet365.
🚀 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox same-game parlay
Ernie Clement is among the most juiced players in either lineup to record a hit tonight. Clement has six hits across his last five starts, so we'll toss him into an SGP with Masataka Yoshida. Yoshida has a three-game hit streak intact for the Red Sox.
💵 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox SGP picks
- Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Hits (-310)
- Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 hits (-210)
Best odds: -105 via FanDuel (1.05u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-59-3 | -16.33 units ❌ | -22.5% ❌ |
| Game picks | 5-14-2 | -12.03 units ❌ | -38.24% ❌ |
| Player props | 13-32-1 | -2.06 units ❌ | -6.8% ❌ |
| Parlays | 8-13 | -2.25 units ❌ | -13.3% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Blue Jays vs. Red Sox: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I'm dropping a total of 3.58 units across four wagers in tonight's A.L. East rivalry game between the Blue Jays and Red Sox. It starts with a 1.26 unit play on the Red Sox moneyline, then a 1 unit play on Red Sox pitcher, Patrick Sandoval, to finish with over 4.5 strikeouts at plus odds.
A 0.27-unit sprinkle on Willson Contreras to mash a home run at +375 odds would haul in over a unit of profit. Then, a two-leg SGP with Ernie Clement and Masataka Yoshida to each log a hit gets a final 1.05-unit stake.
📊 Live Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds
The Red Sox have actually moved down from a -127 betting favorite to a -124 betting favorite in the moneyline market on select books. The run total has also bounced between 8.5 and its current price of 9.0.
Public bettors are hammering the Red Sox with 76 percent of moneyline bets, while 63 percent of public action is on under 9.0 total runs.
📈 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox betting trends
| Blue Jays | Statistic | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| 47-56 | W-L record | 52-49 |
| 46-57 | Run line record | 48-53 |
| 52-48-3 | O/U record | 45-52-4 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 4.15 | Team ERA | 3.56 |
| .241 | Team batting avg. | .244 |
| .681 | OPS | .707 |
🚑 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox injuries
📺 How to watch Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
- Date: Friday, July 24
- First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Fenway Park (Boston)
- Streaming: MLB.TV, Apple TV
- Blue Jays starter: Trey Yesavage (4-5, 3.78 ERA)
- Red Sox starter: Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 4.82 ERA)
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