⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Thursday, May 7
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (May 7)
Don't look now, but yes, we are on a 15-4 run over our last 10 days after sweeping the board yesterday - let's stay hot and continue cashing on this fine Thursday. We're targeting the Reds vs. Cubs and the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks to get us six simple outs. Let's continue to throw up zeroes this season, shall we?
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: May 7
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Reds vs. Cubs NRFI (-125) | 2u ā 1.73u | Reds own .165 xBA vs. Woo |
| Pirates vs. Diamondbacks NRFI (-110) | 1u -> 0.90u | DBacks own .233 xwOBA vs. Keller |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.63 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today for Thursday
Reds vs. Cubs NRFI (-125) - 2:20 p.m. ET
- Rhett Lowder (5.09 ERA) vs. Shota Imanaga (2.40 ERA)
- NRFI records: Reds (16-21) vs. Cubs (24-13)
For as good as the Cubs have been this year, they are still one of the best NRFI teams in baseball. And with Imanaga finding his groove once again, we're going to ride him as part of our best NRFI bets today. With Lowder limiting the Cubs to a .203 xBA, and Imanaga dicing up the Reds in his career, I'm just fine with laying two units at this price. This wager should be closer to -140. Let's ride.
🤑 More MLB player props for Thursday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Thursday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks NRFI (-110) - 3:40 p.m. ET
- Mitch Keller (2.85 ERA) vs. Zac Gallen (4.45 ERA)
- NRFI records: Pirates (19-18) vs. Diamondbacks (14-21)
We've got a combined 191 plate appearances against these two pitchers, a sample size we absolutely love to see. Keller is limiting the DBacks to a .189 xBA across 90 at-bats, including a 6-for-37 mark combined between Nolan Arenado, Corbin Carroll, and Geraldo Perdomo - that'll play. On the other side is ol' reliable - Zac Gallen. We're looking for a bounce-back performance after he allowed six earned runs against the Cubs. This is the perfect spot to tag him in.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-22 | +7.29 units |
| NRFI picks | 22-20 | +5.84 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 7)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ā NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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