Reds vs. Braves Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Thursday, Sept. 24

My Reds vs. Braves prediction breaks down the best bets, player props, and home run pick Iโ€™m betting today.
Reds outfielder JJ Bleday (22) looks on as we break down our Reds vs. Braves prediction.
Pictured: Reds outfielder JJ Bleday (22) looks on as we break down our Reds vs. Braves prediction. Photo by Anna Carrington / Imagn Images.
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The Braves walked off the Reds in 10 innings last night, but my Reds vs. Braves prediction expects Cincinnati to bounce back today.

My MLB picks fade the Braves as a -225 betting favorite, with Brady Singer and Tyler Mahle taking the mound. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FS1, MLB.TV).


โšพ Reds vs. Braves picks & odds today

See all of our expertsโ€™ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.

Pick Best Odds Bet size
Reds +1.5 -118 via BetMGM 1.77 units to win 1.5 units
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 total bases +210 via BetRivers 0.71 units to win 1.5 units
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 home runs +650 via BetRivers 0.15 units to win 1 unit

Total wagered: 2.63 units | Max profit: +4 units

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๐Ÿ’ฐ Reds vs. Braves prediction & best bet

Reds +1.5 (-118 via BetMGM)

The Braves have already clinched their division and are pretty much locked into the No. 3 seed in the NL, so what is their motivation to win by multiple runs here?

The Reds, at least, will likely start multiple hitters - like Carlos Jorge and Hector Rodriguez, for example - who will be looking to carve out their roles on the team moving forward. Singer is also posting a career-high 5.67 ERA, so he'll have more than enough motivation to pitch well and improve his season-long stats.

Reds +1.5 (-118 via BetMGM) is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.

Score prediction: Reds 5, Braves 4

📡 SBR Edge: Reds Rally vs. Mahle

Current Reds hitters are slashing .481/.576/1.074 against Mahle across 27 career at-bats.


๐Ÿ”ฅ Best Reds vs. Braves player prop bet

JJ Bleday Over 1.5 total bases (+210 via BetRivers)

Not only has JJ Bleday gone over this line in two of his last three games, but he also has a favorable pitching matchup today.

Mahle throws fastballs 64.3% of the time to left-handed hitters, which is great for Bleday, who has a .508 expected slugging percentage against that pitch type. Mahle has allowed five or more hits in four of his last six starts, and Bleday's probability of recording two or more hits today (or just one extra-base hit) is higher than these odds suggest.

Bleday Over 1.5 total bases (+210 via BetRivers) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.

💵 More MLB props today

Looking for more? Dive into Mike Spector's best NRFI bets today.


๐Ÿ’ฃ Reds vs. Braves home run prediction

Sal Stewart Over 0.5 home runs (+650 via BetRivers)

While Sal Stewart has only homered once so far in September, he has hit seven or more home runs in each of the last two months, so he'll likely start heating up again soon. Luckily for Stewart, he's facing a pitcher against whom he's already had success.

Stewart is 2-for-3 in his career against Mahle, and both of those hits were home runs. With just a 1% chance of precipitation and comfortable temperatures today in Atlanta, Stewart is in a good spot to hit his third homer against Mahle. Stewart Over 0.5 home runs (+650) is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.


๐Ÿ“Š Live Reds vs. Braves odds


๐Ÿš‘ Reds vs. Braves injuries


๐Ÿ“บ How to watch Reds vs. Braves

  • Date: Thursday, Sept. 24
  • First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Ballpark: Truist Park (Atlanta)
  • TV: FS1
  • Streaming: MLB.TV
  • Reds starter: Brady Singer (6-15, 5.67 ERA)
  • Braves starter: Tyler Mahle (7-10, 3.81 ERA)