MLB Best Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds For Thursday, Sept. 24
The MLB season is winding down but Thursday's 12-game slate has enough quality matchups to target for home run predictions today. Last night's picks went 0-2-1, ending a two-day win streak, although Ronald Acuña Jr. was scratched from the lineup, providing a voided wager.
My MLB home run picks for Thursday return to Truist Park to take another Braves' star hitter. Matt Olson has hit 25 of 41 home runs against right-handed pitching, and now he'll face Brady Singer, a righty who has allowed 5 home runs in his previous 3 starts for the Reds.
⚾ Home run predictions today: MLB HR picks & odds Sept. 24
| 💣 Home run pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (+303 via DraftKings) | 0.34u → 1.03u | Singer has allowed 5 home runs in his previous 3 starts. |
| Yordan Alvarez (+240 via BetMGM) | 0.45u → 1.08u | Sutter Health Park forecast calls for 11.1 mph wind gusts blowing out. |
| Kyle Tucker (+600 via FanDuel) | 0.25u → 1.50u | Tucker has hit 6 home runs in September. |
Total wagered: 1.04 units | Max profit: 3.61 units
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💣 Best home run predictions & odds today
Home run pick: Matt Olson (+303)
Not only does Olson have a favorable matchup against Singer, who has allowed a career-high 31 home runs in 2026, the Braves' left-handed hitter also benefits from tonight's forecast. Wind gusts are expected to blow into right field at 8.6 mph.
Olson just logged a home run against the Reds last night during a 2-hit performance. He's taken right-handed pitchers deep on 25 of his 41 home runs, while 2 of his 4 home runs in September have been recorded in Olson's previous 5 appearances.
Go to DraftKings and bet on Olson's home run prop at +303 odds.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FS1/MLB.TV
📡 SBR Edge: Singin' the Blues
Singer is in the bottom percentile (1st) in pitching run value (-35) this season, allowing a 10.1 barrel rate (9th percentile) and a 43.0 hard-hit percentage (14th percentile).
🔥 More home run predictions today
Home run pick: Yordan Alvarez (+240)
The last time I backed Alvarez in Seattle on Tuesday, the Astros' DH came through for us in his final plate appearance, mashing his 41st home run. Now, Alvarez is in Sutter Health Park, one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the league, with wind gusts blowing out at 11.1 mph.
Mason Barnett is a right-handed pitcher who has surrendered 7 home runs across his past 4 starts for the Athletics. Alvarez specializes in taking righties deep, recording 31 of 41 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
The odds on Alvarez's home run prop are ridiculously short. Go to BetMGM to get the best price at +240 odds.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV
Home run pick: Kyle Tucker (+600)
Tucker has been trending up at the plate in September, hitting 6 of his 17 home runs this month. The Dodgers' RF is a left-handed hitter, drawing a good matchup against Padres right-handed starter, Nick Pivetta, who has allowed a home run in 2 of his 3 starts since returning in September.
Tucker has recorded 12 of his home runs against right-handed pitching in 2026. Dodger Stadium is expected to have 6.5 mph wind gusts blowing out into center field tonight.
It's a hitter-friendly ballpark in these conditions. This makes Tucker a high-value play in the home run betting market.
FanDuel offers the best line on Tucker's home run prop at +600 odds.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV/MLB Network
🚀 Best home run parlay picks today
💵 Best MLB home run parlay today
- Matt Olson (+300)
- Yordan Alvarez (+240)
- Kyle Tucker (+425)
Best odds: +7040 via BetMGM (0.10u -> 7.04u)
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