Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Sept. 18
After nailing two of our four home run picks yesterday at +314 and +400 odds, we turned in a profit of +5.14 units, and are back to build off that momentum with our best home run predictions today.
Two of today’s MLB picks from the 10-game slate focus on the AL East battle between the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays, and we highlight a slugger from this matchup who has hit four career home runs in a small sample size off the opposing pitcher.
My best home run bets today also take fliers on Fernando Tatis Jr., George Springer, and Aaron Judge at potentially juicy payouts. A $10 parlay on all four sluggers going yard would pay out over $2,500 in profits.
💰 MLB best home run predictions & odds today: Sept. 18
Best home run predictions today based on the latest MLB odds.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. to hit a home run (+350 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
- George Springer to hit a home run (+375 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
- Brandon Lowe to hit a home run (+340 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+211 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
💣 Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here is my favorite MLB home run bet today and analysis of why it leads my MLB home run predictions.
⚾ Brandon Lowe (Rays) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐
No batter in any of today's projected starting lineups has hit more home runs off the opposing pitcher than Brandon Lowe, who has homered four times in just 17 at-bats against Blue Jays righty Chris Bassitt.
But Lowe has not taken an all-or-nothing approach when facing Bassitt, as he is batting .588 with 10 total hits (and six extra-base hits in all) in this split.
Lowe snapped a 13-game home run drought with a three-run blast against Toronto on Tuesday. Breaking that drought bodes well for his chances of hitting a home run today, as he is a streaky hitter who tends to produce long balls in bunches.
To end August, Lowe hit three home runs in a four-game span, and had a different streak of four home runs in six games (and five in eight games) earlier in the month.
Bassitt has not allowed a home run in his last 16 innings, but he still ranks in the bottom half of the league in barrels and xERA.
Before September, he had allowed five home runs combined in his previous two starts against divisional opponents, which makes Lowe’s 22.73% implied probability to homer a great value play based on FanDuel’s +340 odds.
That is where I am headed for the best payout, where a $10 winning wager would net $34 in profits.
📊 Blue Jays vs. Rays odds
🚀 Best home run parlay picks
Use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. to hit a home run (+350 via FanDuel)
- George Springer to hit a home run (+350 via FanDuel)
- Brandon Lowe to hit a home run (+340 via FanDuel)
- Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+190 via FanDuel)
Parlay odds: +25739 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,573.90)
❓ Best home run predictions FAQs
What are the best home run props for tonight?
My best home run predictions today feature Aaron Judge, Brandon Lowe, George Springer, and Fernando Tatis Jr.
What is a home run bet?
A home run bet is a wager on a hitter to hit a HR at any point during a game. Some sportsbooks allow you to bet on a hitter to not hit a home run, but the most common bet is on them to do so.
Can you parlay home run bets?
Yes, you can parlay home run bets. We've provided our best home run parlay today.
How do I place a home run bet?
To place a home run bet, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and go to the game featuring the player of your choice. Then click on batter props and you should see an option to bet a player to hit a home run.
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