MLB Predictions & Player Props Today, July 24

Wednesday features tons of exciting baseball action, and we're zeroing in on Hunter Brown against the Athletics for the first of our MLB player props.

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: July 24, 2024 3:49 PM EDT • 3 minute read

Houston Astros starter Hunter Brown pitches to the Seattle Mariners, and he's included in our top MLB player props for Wednesday. — Houston Astros starter Hunter Brown pitches to the Seattle Mariners. Photo by Steven Bisig via USA TODAY Sports.

We're looking for back-to-back profitable days with our MLB player props following a big Tuesday, and I've searched through the odds at our best MLB betting sites to ensure we're getting the top prices available.

Following an extended hiatus, Tampa Bay Rays opener Shawn Armstrong welcomed me back to the world of MLB predictions and player props in a big way by cashing his Over on 1.5 strikeouts at +195, and his alt line of three-plus at +594. It was a glorious day overall, as we went 3-1 for +5.07 units.

We're looking to keep the good times rolling on Wednesday, which features NL Cy Young odds favorite Chris Sale in a doubleheader between the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds.

Sale isn't the only noteworthy pitcher going on Wednesday though.

Tyler Glasnow returns from the injured list for the World Series odds-favorite Los Angeles Dodgers, and Jack Flaherty makes another start for the Detroit Tigers. The latter's days in the Motor City could be numbered, as he's one of the hottest trade candidates in the league with the deadline looming.

We also have another game in the Subway Series, and Mike Spector took a closer look at that game with his Mets vs. Yankees prediction.

Today’s MLB predictions

MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Hunter Brown Under 6.5 strikeouts (-119 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

MLB player props for Wednesday

Hunter Brown Under 6.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Odds	-130	-142	-139	-119 🔥	-125

Best odds: -119 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.34%

Houston Astros right-hander Hunter Brown has been stellar since a rocky start to the campaign, and he owns a 2.70 ERA over the last month. However, he's struck out only 28 batters in those 30 innings, and Brown is projected for just 5.64 on Wednesday.

Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 21% positive expected value on this bet. We've also seen these odds move in our favor at our best sports betting sites this morning.

Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, opened with Brown's Under priced at -114, and it's moved to -144. Similarly, DraftKings opened at -115 and is at -130, while BetMGM opened at -111 and is now pricing the Under priced at -139 now.

A winning $10 wager at Caesars will earn you $8.40 in profit, while FanDuel's -142 odds would change that to $7.04. This serves as another reminder to shop for the best odds.

Game info: Astros vs. Athletics | Moneyline: Astros (-160 via bet365) | Total: 8.5 via bet365 | Start time: 3:37 p.m. ET

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Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.