⛳ Genesis Invitational Round 4 Picks & Predictions: Bridgeman leads, Rory Lurks

Genesis Invitational Round 4 picks and predictions are set, coming into what promises to be a dynamic day at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, Calif. This makes it an ideal spot for golf prop bettors. With the tournament coming to a close and players either defending or chasing positions, scoring swings are more likely, and matchup advantages become increasingly apparent.

Fourth-round props offer value if you’ve been tracking how the first three days have played out. The weather will be clear, and the field will be ready with Jacob Bridgeman in the lead at -19. But Rory McIlroy is six-strokes back looking to mount a comeback.

Let’s break down the best value plays heading into Sunday’s action that tee's off at 10:05 a.m. ET.

⛳ Genesis Invitational Round 4 leaderboard & odds

Here is Genesis Invitational leaderboard  heading into Round 4 at Riviera Country Club; outright odds via FanDuel.

🏆 Who'll win the Genesis Invitational?

Here are my golf picks for Round 4 of the Genesis Invitational on Saturday:

Rory McIlroy (+600)

Rory McIlroy has the tools and experience to mount a comeback at the Genesis Invitational despite being six shots back. He thrives under pressure, and Riviera Country Club’s risk-reward layout suits his aggressive style off the tee and precision with approach shots. Bridgeman has never won on the PGA Tour, and we are banking on nerves effecting his game. 

Rory has a proven track record of strong weekend performances, particularly when chasing the lead, and his putting has been sharp this week. With the leaderboard tightening, momentum can shift quickly, and a low final-round score is well within his capabilities. 

💰 Best Round 4 props for the Genesis Invitational

Akshay Bhatia: Top-10 finish (+270)

Akshay Bhatia has a real chance to finish in the top-10 at the Genesis Invitational because he’s only one shot back entering the final day - and momentum matters as he sits at -8, T-13. He’s shown strong ball-striking this week, keeping himself in position with smart tee-to-green play and good course management on a challenging layout. When a player is that close on the leaderboard, confidence can turn into scoring opportunities.

His short game and putting have been solid enough to limit damage, which is crucial on Sunday when pressure mounts and every shot counts. A clean front nine could quickly turn a one-shot gap into a top-10 position. Experience competing at high levels and a fearless approach down the stretch will help him stay composed. Put together, his skill set and position create a strong case for a top-10 finish.

Adam Scott: Top Oceania (-125)

Adam Scott has every reason to believe he can be the top Oceania player and edge out Ryan Fox in the final round as both players sit T-9 at -8. Scott’s experience on big stages gives him a major advantage when the pressure ramps up Sunday - he’s navigated leaderboard battles countless times. His ball-striking has looked crisp this week, keeping him in solid position off the tee and allowing him to attack favorable approaches.

When scores tighten, experience becomes a weapon, and Scott knows how to manage momentum and momentum swings better than most. He understands course strategy and won’t force risky shots just to keep pace. That maturity, combined with his current form and competitive savvy, makes a strong case that he’ll outlast Fox and finish as the leading Oceania contender.

Nick Taylor: Top Canadian (-105)

Nick Taylor (-3) has a strong case to finish as the top Canadian at this event and outperform both Corey Conners (-3) and Taylor Pendrith (-1) in the final round. Taylor’s experience and steady temperament give him an edge on Sunday's. He’s proven he can grind through challenging conditions and stay composed on the leaderboard. His ball-striking has been consistent this week, setting up good scoring opportunities and keeping him in contention.

Taylor’s short game and putting - often the difference in close finishes - have shown promise, and if he can get hot on the greens, he can quickly leapfrog rivals. While Conners and Pendrith are formidable competitors, Taylor’s ability to manage his game and avoid big numbers under pressure makes him especially dangerous down the stretch. Confidence climbing into Sunday, combined with smart strategy and a calm mindset, could be the key ingredients that allow him to emerge as Canada’s top performer and leave the weekend with a strong result.

☀️ Sunday's weather at Riviera Country Club

Weather from Accuweather.com: