South Carolina vs. Florida Picks, Predictions College Football Week 11: Can the Gators Cover at Home?
The Gamecocks are underdogs of greater than a touchdown against the 5-4 Gators. Read on for our South Carolina-Florida picks and predictions.
The South Carolina Gamecocks have won five of their last six games, and they earned a victory at Vanderbilt in Week 10 to achieve bowl eligibility. Meanwhile, the Florida Gators are just 2-4 during SEC play, but three of their four losses are to teams in the top seven of the College Football Playoff rankings.
Here are our South Carolina-Florida college football picks for Week 11 (odds via DraftKings and FanDuel sportsbooks; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our college football Week 11 picks roundup, games to watch, ATS picks, and Over/Under picks.
South Carolina vs. Florida Game Info
Date: Saturday, November 12, 4 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
Weather: 58 degrees, 15% chance of precipitation, 6-mph winds
South Carolina vs. Florida Odds
South Carolina vs. Florida Analysis
The Gators opened as 9-point favorites before the line dropped to eight, despite nearly a quarter of the cash and tickets backing Florida.
The line has moved back up to 8.5 at FanDuel, but there's been no such movement at other sportsbooks. The total opened at 59 and hasn’t moved anywhere except FanDuel, where it slid to 58.5.
South Carolina vs. Florida Picks
South Carolina vs. Florida ATS Pick
Florida -8 (-110) ★★★
The Gators are just 1-2 against the spread over their last three home games, with the team's only cover being a 42-20 loss to Georgia as 23-point underdogs. Florida struggled against a depleted Texas A&M team in Week 10, trailing 24-20 at the half before pulling away in the third quarter.
Despite all of that negativity, the Gators are the right play. The Gamecocks have been inflating their offensive and defensive numbers against weak opponents all season. Their only truly impressive triumph came during a 24-14 victory at Kentucky.
After playing Florida, the Gamecocks finish with contests at home against Tennessee and at Clemson. This is a look-ahead spot for a team that's already bowl-eligible, and going into a hostile environment.
South Carolina vs. Florida O/U Pick
Over 58.5 (-115) ★★★
Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson is going to be the difference-maker in this one. He's thrown for 657 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions over his last three games, all while also rushing for 206 yards and three touchdowns.
Richardson’s play has led to Florida averaging 32 points per game. However, the Gators can't stop opposing offenses.
They're allowing 29.2 points per matchup, and have given up 37 points per game across their last three outings. The Gamecocks are averaging 24 points per game during their last four matchups against SEC competition. This total should end in the 60s due to the success of each offense and the struggles of the Gators’ defense.
South Carolina vs. Florida Prop Pick
Florida Over 16.5 first-half points (-140) ★★★★
The Gamecocks could be a play for the Over on 12.5 first-half points. But with this being a potential look-ahead spot, it's probably best to avoid first-half bets tied to them.
However, the Gators are almost a lock to hit their first-half total. They've scored 20-plus points in the first half during two of the team's last three games. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks have allowed 14-plus first-half points in three consecutive affairs.
Of the teams that the Gamecocks have played, the Gators’ offense is the best and the hottest right now. This bet is the best prop of the game, even at an inflated price.
Where to Bet on South Carolina-Florida Picks
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
South Carolina-Florida picks made 11/9/2022 at 8:36 p.m. ET
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