College Football Championship Expert Picks for Washington vs. Michigan

Our Sportsbook Review analysts highlighted their college football championship expert picks for Monday’s national championship game between Washington and Michigan based on the top NCAAF odds at the best college football betting sites. This page will serve as your one-stop shop for Monday’s CFP final.

The college football season will come to a satisfying conclusion with Monday's thrilling matchup between No. 1 Michigan and No. 2 Washington in the 2024 College Football Playoff National Championship Game, which kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

The Wolverines (14-0) are roughly -200 favorites to win by our College Football Championship odds after outlasting Alabama in overtime in last week's thrilling Rose Bowl, and one of our experts like Michigan's chances to stay unbeaten and take home its first title in nearly 30 years.

Our other expert is aligned with the underdog Huskies (14-0), who looked the part of a national champion for 59 minutes in the Sugar Bowl before Texas' inspired rally in the final minute. Washington came up clutch with a defensive stop in the end zone, securing its 10th consecutive victory by a margin of 10 or fewer points.

Presently, the only remaining undefeated teams in the nation are set to go head-to-head on Monday, offering a preview of the upcoming Big Ten rematch in October. Will Michigan conclude its eventful season with a national title, the first since 1997, or will Washington secure one last victory for the Pac-12 with its first title in 32 years?  

To accompany our Washington vs. Michigan prediction and Washington-Michigan player props, here are our best college football championship expert picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

College Football Championship expert picks

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College football championship picks: Washington vs. Michigan

SGP: Michigan ML and Blake Corum anytime TD (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Typically, a championship game in any sport can bring out more casual bettors. Sometimes people just want to have a little action on a big game that they are watching, and it doesn’t always have to be more complicated than that.

If that’s the case, this is the one bet I would recommend making to have a little rooting interest in this matchup. And don’t worry, BetMGM is offering a bargain with -125 odds on this same-game parlay, especially when you consider the rest of our best sports betting sites are charging between -130 and -147 for the same wager.

With a price of -125, this SGP has an implied probability of 55.6%. Of course, each of the two individual legs have a much better chance than that, with Michigan’s moneyline value sitting at -200 and Blake Corum’s touchdowns odds trading around -380.

The Wolverines’ talented tailback has accumulated 25 total touchdowns for an undefeated Michigan squad this season. Corum has actually scored multiple touchdowns in each of his last six games since early November, which is why he's listed around +150 to score two-plus times in the national title game.

Betting can be fun, especially for a championship game when markets are as sharp as ever. So we are placing a responsible wager on this SGP, and rooting for the Wolverines to finish the job en route to their first national championship since 1997.

In addition, don't forget to check out my Michael Penix Jr. player props and J.J. McCarthy player props ahead of kickoff.

–– Shane Jackson (SBR | Twitter/X)

Washington team total Over 24.5 points (-105 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

For all the pomp and circumstance surrounding Monday's title game, the prevailing narrative is that of an unstoppable force (Washington's offense) against an immovable object (Michigan's defense). I'm not so sure I see it the same way.

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Sure, the Wolverines owned the nation's top scoring defense (9.5 PPG) and ranked third in EPA/play allowed in the regular season. But that came against a mostly uninspiring group of Big Ten offenses, all of which lacked the explosiveness that we've seen from Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. and his arsenal of future NFL wideouts for the better part of two seasons.

Consider that Michigan's defense ranked 41st in explosive rate allowed through the air entering last week despite facing seven offenses ranked outside the top 100 in passing explosiveness. That feels like a serious issue opposite Penix, who leads the nation in attempts of 20-plus yards downfield (108) at the helm of an offense that ranked seventh in EPA/play and fourth in success rate entering bowl season.

Both of those marks easily outpaced Alabama, which scored 20 points in the CFP semifinals - the third opponent to score 20-plus on the Wolverines in their last four games. That came even as the Crimson Tide's offensive line was manhandled all game long, with a handful of errant snaps derailing their scoring attack in key situations, too.

As impressive as Michigan's pass rush is, I'd be shocked if it has the same impact on Monday. The Huskies' offensive line transformed from an inconsistent unit early in the year to arguably the nation's best entering the postseason, and they didn't allow a sack last week against Texas' star-studded defensive line.

I have bigger questions about Washington's ability to slow down Blake Corum, which is why I'd only endorse an outright play on the Huskies with three-star confidence. When it comes to this offense, though? Get your popcorn ready.

–– C Jackson Cowart (SBR | Twitter/X)

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