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J.J. McCarthy Player Props, Odds: Predictions for Washington vs. Michigan in National Championship

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: January 8, 2024 6:34 PM EST • 3 min 30 sec read.

Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy hasn't been tested much late in the year, but our top J.J. McCarthy player props based on the best college football odds at the best college football betting sites believe in the Wolverines passer against Washington ahead of Monday's national championship game.

While Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy is among the top prospects in the 2024 NFL Draft, he's faced intense scrutiny throughout his college football career, largely because of the Wolverines' recent College Football Playoff appearances without much success prior to this year.

The junior passer has a chance to quiet the naysayers as he leads Michigan's quest for their first national championship since 1997. Tasked with overcoming Heisman runner-up Michael Penix Jr. and Washington, McCarthy may need a defining performance to cap off the Wolverines' flawless season.

To go along with our Washington vs. Michigan prediction, our Washington vs. Michigan player props, and our Michael Penix Jr. player props, here are our best J.J. McCarthy player props for Monday's national championship game (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

J.J. McCarthy player props: National Championship

J.J. McCarthy Under 7.5 rushing attempts (-125 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite getting healthy during the month between games, McCarthy didn't use his legs much against Alabama during an overtime win in the CFP semifinals. McCarthy recorded three rushing attempts for 25 yards, netting a big gain on a designed run in the first half on nifty play design.

With McCarthy's rushing yardage prop trading in the 20s once again, we prefer betting against his volume with ESPN BET. McCarthy has recorded eight-plus rushing attempts in only two games so far this season, averaging 4.2 rushes per contest. McCarthy has finished with six or fewer rushing attempts in four straight games entering Monday's matchup.

Because we project just below 20 rushing yards for McCarthy, there is some value on Under 25.5 rushing yards at FanDuel when the rest of the best sports betting apps dropped the mark down to 20.5. But this is the better wager for the same angle, and that's why it's a five-star play.

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J.J. McCarthy Over 16.5 completions (-114 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If the Huskies were to win the national title on Monday night, they would be one of the worst defenses to do so in quite some time. They rank 44th on defense via SP+. That doesn't necessarily mean they can't secure the crown, but it does mean that McCarthy's props are probably too low given the favorable matchup.

We project McCarthy to flirt with 200 passing yards and multiple touchdown passes against Washington, which is actually right in line with the market. His passing yards prop is trading in the 190s at our best sports betting sites, while his touchdown total is being set at 1.5 with the Over priced at plus-money.

Rather than take those production-related props, however, we prefer betting on McCarthy to finish with at least 17 completions. He did just that against Alabama on a night when he finished only 17-of-27, and he's cleared this mark in six different games thus far.

Washington is surrendering nearly 24 completions per game so far this season, and I think we see McCarthy take advantage of a soft secondary when he's asked to throw the ball.

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J.J. McCarthy Under 0.5 interceptions (-125 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

The start of the Rose Bowl was a near-nightmare for McCarthy and Co., when he threw an interception on the first play of the game. Ultimately, the turnover was overturned and McCarthy never put the ball in harm's way again.

McCarthy has thrown four interceptions all season, with three of them coming in a win over Bowling Green back in September. Since then, McCarthy has finished 10 of his 11 games without throwing an interception. He has just eight turnover-worthy plays over that span, per PFF.

Caesars is offering a nice deal with this -125 price, especially when you consider FanDuel is charging as much as -146 for the same wager. This is only a three-star play because projecting turnovers is ultimately rather difficult.

J.J. McCarthy player props made Sunday at 11:45 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.