Kansas State vs. Baylor Picks, Predictions College Football Week 11: Can Wildcats End Baylor’s Streak?
Kansas State has a chance to tie the all-time series against with Baylor at 10-10 and can break the Bears' active three-game win streak entering Week 11. Check out our top Kansas State-Baylor college football picks below.
Baylor topped the Oklahoma Sooners in Norman last week following wins over Kansas and Texas Tech. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are coming off a one-score loss to Texas in a tight Big 12 title race.
Here are our Kansas State-Baylor college football picks for Week 11 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our college football Week 11 picks roundup, games to watch, and best against-the-spread picks.
Kansas State vs. Baylor Game Info
Date: Saturday, Nov. 12, 7 p.m. ET
TV: Big 12 Network, FS1
Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
Weather: 57 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 13-mph winds
Kansas State vs. Baylor Odds
Kansas State vs. Baylor Odds Analysis
FanDuel has the Kansas State moneyline at +105 and Baylor at -126, Caesars Sportsbook has Kansas State priced a bit higher at +112 and -154 odds for Baylor. DraftKings has Kansas State sitting at +110 odds while pricing Baylor at -135.
The consensus opening spread of -3.5 in favor of Baylor has dipped to -2.5 as of Wednesday evening, even with 58% of the tickets and 67% of the cash backing the Bears.
Kansas State vs. Baylor Picks
Kansas State vs. Baylor ATS Pick
Baylor -2.5 (-110) ★★★★
Baylor won each of its last four meetings against Kansas State, taking a 20-10 road win last year, and now gets home-field advantage in Waco. Baylor looks to dominate on the ground coming off a win over Oklahoma without a passing touchdown.
Rushing for 281 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, Baylor managed a three-point win over the Sooners thanks to running back Craig Williams tallying 192 of those yards and two touchdowns.
Kansas State, however, has played ranked opponents more often than not recently. Despite losing two of their last three matchups against ranked Big 12 opponents in TCU and Texas, the Wildcats lost by 10 or fewer points in both of those games.
Kansas State vs. Baylor O/U Pick
Over 52.5 (-114) ★★★
The Over is 6-0 in Baylor’s last six games. The Bears are averaging 38.3 points per game for the season, with at least 35 points in each of their last four games.
Kansas State has averaged 30.6 points per game this season and tallied at least 27 points in each of its last three games – all against ranked Big 12 opponents.
Each team has also allowed at least 19 points per game this season, with Baylor allowing 24.6 points per game on average. Kansas State hit the Over 52.5 in three of its last five games and scored 48 points alone in its shutout of Oklahoma State.
Kansas State vs. Baylor Prop Pick
Baylor to win by 1-13 (+175) ★★★
While Baylor is favored to win and control its fate in the Big 12, Kansas State won’t make it easy as it must win out for a chance at the title game. The Wildcats also have a dual-threat star in running back Deuce Vaughn, who has five rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns this year.
Baylor also won only one of its last six games against Big 12 opponents by more than 13 points. Kansas State has been within 13 points of its opponent, win or loss, in six of its last seven games.
Running back Richard Reese scored at least one touchdown in each of Baylor’s last three wins, recording 13 touchdowns and 798 yards on the ground this season. Kansas State is allowing just 148 rushing yards per game but Reese hit that number himself in two of Baylor’s last three games.
Where to Bet on Kansas State vs. Baylor
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Kansas State vs. Baylor picks made 11/9/2022 at 3:46 p.m. ET.