Heisman Trophy Odds 2025: Betting Takeaways & Movement After Week 7
This Heisman Trophy odds race is shaping up to be one of the most underwhelming in recent memory, with no clear-cut front-runners following a chaotic Week 7 in college football.
While Miami's Carson Beck is the new Heisman Trophy odds favorite after Oregon's Dante Moore struggled in a loss to Indiana, Beck's stats are nowhere near those of recent Heisman-winning QBs. Meanwhile, Alabama's Ty Simpson looks like the best option following a win over Missouri, and Indiana's Fernando Mendoza is a threat after knocking off the Ducks.
Even with the regular season about halfway through, the Heisman Trophy odds movement continues to be vast week to week, with no obvious choice for your college football picks.
🚨 Heisman Trophy odds movement after Week 7
- After entering Week 7 as the Heisman Trophy odds favorite, Oregon's Dante Moore has seen his odds lengthen from +700 to +2000 following the Ducks' loss to Indiana
- Thanks to the biggest win in Hoosier football history, Indiana's Fernando Mendoza has seen his Heisman odds move from +1600 to as short as +550 at some of our best college football betting sites
- Alabama's Ty Simpson is now the consensus second-biggest Heisman favorite following a three-touchdown pass performance in a road win over No. 14 Missouri (his odds moved from +800 to +700)
- Returning to the field just 17 days after thumb surgery, Oklahoma's John Mateer struggled in the Sooners' Red River Rivalry loss to Texas, with his Heisman odds plummeting from +3300 to +10000 (Texas' Arch Manning remains a long shot at +15000)
- Ohio State's Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith helped the college football national championship odds favorites cruise to a win over Illinois, but Sayin's odds didn't move (+1600), and Smith's lengthened (+1000 to +1500)
- Although USC's Jayden Maiava led the Trojans to a huge win over No. 15 Michigan, it only cut his Heisman Trophy odds from +3500 to +3300 - he's among the best values on the board right now
- Several Heisman-contending QBs struggled in Week 7 and saw their odds lengthen: Ole Miss' Trinidad Chambliss (+1600 to +2200), Tennessee's Joey Aguilar (+2200 to +3300), Notre Dame's CJ Carr (+2500 to +3300), and Georgia's Gunner Stockton (+3000 to +3500)
- With the Hurricanes on a bye in Week 7, Miami's Carson Beck jumped up the board to the top spot from +800 to +575 following mediocre play from other top Heisman contenders
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❓ Heisman Trophy FAQs
Who is the Heisman Trophy favorite?
Miami quarterback Carson Beck is the Heisman Trophy odds favorite with his odds shortening from +800 to +575 following Week 7. His odds (+575) imply a 14.81% probability he will win the award.
What are Arch Manning's Heisman Trophy odds?
After opening with Heisman odds of +950 and seeing them shorten to no longer than +700, Arch Manning's Heisman Trophy odds lengthened to +1800 following Week 1. They then shortened to +1600, following Week 2, but plummeted to between +3000 and +4000 after Week 3.
Manning's Heisman Trophy odds are now +15000 following Week 7, implying a 0.66% probability he'll win the award.
When will the Heisman Trophy be decided?
The 2025 Heisman Trophy ceremony will be Saturday, Dec. 13, at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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