Florida State vs. NC State Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for Week 13

My best Florida State vs. NC State player props focus on Tommy Castellanos, Duce Robinson, and Terrell Anderson, ahead of Friday's game at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, N.C. (8 p.m. ET, ESPN). Florida State is the 4.5-point betting favorite, and the total is set at 61.5.  

NC State’s pass defense is allowing the most passing yards per game, and I explain why they have no chance of slowing down Castellanos and Robinson. The picks below are part of our college football predictions for Week 13.

✅ Florida State vs. NC State player prop bets

See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 13.

💰 Best Florida State vs. NC State player props

⬆️ Tommy Castellanos player prop: Over 235.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Castellanos threw for just 189 yards in a blowout win over Virginia Tech last week, but he’s still topped 235.5 passing yards in six of his last seven games. 

NC State has the worst pass defense in the entire country, as the Wolfpack are allowing 299.9 passing yards per game. Castellanos has completed fewer than 60% of his passes five times this year. But NC State is allowing an average of 8.1 yards per pass attempt, so even if Castellanos struggles with accuracy, his completions will be meaningful. After all, in four of the five games in which he struggled, Castellanos still topped 235.5 yards.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that Castellanos hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $8.77. I'm also backing Castellanos in my Florida State vs. NC State same-game parlay.

⬆️ Duce Robinson player prop: Over 85.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

If Castellanos is going to have a huge game, then so is Florida State’s leading receiver. Robinson has 49 catches for 947 yards this season. He has three consecutive 100-yard games and five total this season. He’s topped 85.5 yards in seven of his 10 games.

NC State has allowed a receiver to top 90 yards in four consecutive games. Robinson is the only Florida State receiver with a chance to hit this mark on Friday, as he has 425 more yards than any other Florida State receiver.

FanDuel’s price implies a 53.27% chance that Robinson records at least 86 yards. A $10 bet would profit $8.77. If this number rises before kickoff, I’d play the Over up to 100.5.

6️⃣ Best Florida State vs. NC State touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Terrell Anderson TD pick: Score a touchdown (+225) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Anderson has been quiet the last couple of weeks, but he still leads NC State in receiving yards and is second on the team in receptions and receiving touchdowns. He hasn’t caught a touchdown pass in three games, but he did catch one against Notre Dame, and he caught two against Duke.

NC State has thrown 20 passing touchdowns this season, tied for the fourth-most in the ACC. Florida State has given up 15 passing touchdowns, but only nine rushing, so any scoring NC State does is likely to be through the air. 

You could consider taking Justin Joly to score, as he leads the team in receiving touchdowns. However, he only has one more than Anderson, and his price is +155, much less favorable than the +225 that DraftKings is offering for Anderson. The price implies a 30.77% chance he scores. A $10 bet would profit $22.50.

📊 Florida State vs. NC State anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live college football odds for every game in Week 13.

📺 How to watch Florida State vs. NC State

• Date: Friday, Nov. 21
• Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Carter-Finley Stadium (Raleigh, N.C.)
• TV: ESPN