FIU vs. Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds For Today

We expect FIU to be in for a tormenting night in Lynchburg when they take on Liberty, the Group of Five College Football Playoff bid hopefuls.

Rob Paul

Last updated: October 8, 2024 4:07 PM EDT • 4 min read

New Mexico State Aggies safety Mehki Miller and safety Jordan Vincent try to tackle Liberty Flames running back Quinton Cooley as we offer our FIU vs. Liberty prediction. — New Mexico State Aggies safety Mehki Miller and safety Jordan Vincent try to tackle Liberty Flames running back Quinton Cooley. Photo by Brian Bishop via Imagn Images

Liberty is incredibly well rested entering tonight's game against FIU. They haven't played since Sept. 21 after their Sept. 28 game against Appalachian State was cancelled.

Tonight's contest kicks off at 7 p.m. ET from Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Va. The spread moved fairly significantly in the lead up to the game. While our prediction backs Liberty at -19.5, FanDuel now has the Flames as the 16.5-point favorite.

Liberty, among the College Football Playoff odds favorites, has Kaidon Salter under center, one of the top C-USA quarterbacks. He's so highly touted that he entered the season as one of the G5's top Heisman Trophy odds contenders.

Meanwhile, FIU is 2-3 and have lost two of their last three, and they got thrashed by the Flames 38-6 at Pitbull Stadium last season. Liberty are the prohibitive favorites across all of our best college football betting sites.

The below picks are part of our exhaustive Week 7 college football predictions.

Best FIU vs. Liberty picks

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

Against the spread pick: Liberty -19.5 (-105 via FanDuel) vs. FIU ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Player prop pick: Quinton Cooley 2+ touchdowns (+210 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

FIU vs. Liberty against the spread prediction: Week 7

Liberty to cover the spread: -19.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Liberty vs. FIU opening odds:

FIU: +20 (-110)
Liberty: -20 (-110)

The most notable thing FIU has done this season is sell its stadium naming rights to Mr. 305 himself to rename its home field Pitbull Stadium. The second most notable thing? Unveiling these 'Vice U' uniforms.

This is an unserious football program that handed Monmouth its first-ever FBS win a few weeks ago. Head coach Mike MacIntyre is 10-19 since taking over the program in 2022, while Jamey Chadwell won more games in his first season at Liberty last year (13).

FIU's defense is one of the worst in the country - 112th in SP+ - and stands no chance against Salter, Quinton Cooley, and Treon Sibley. Those three have the Flames 42nd in SP+ on offense.

And it's not as if the Panthers are capable of keeping up. They scored just 17 on a horrific Louisiana Tech program two weeks ago and are 109th in EPA per dropback and 98th in EPA per rush.

Liberty should win this game by several scores, I'm thinking 45-17. If they do, a $10 bet pays a $9.52 profit.

Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%

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FIU vs. Liberty prop pick for Week 7

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Quinton Cooley 2+ touchdowns (+210) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Honestly, I'm surprised the odds are this long for Quinton Cooley to score twice against the Panthers - this price pays a $21 profit on a $10 winning bet.

FIU is 120th in EPA per rush on defense while Liberty is 38th in EPA per rush on offense. Chadwell's spread option attack gives Cooley plenty of opportunities for explosive plays and he's sixth in the G5 in 15-plus-yard runs (7) and 10th in yards after contact per carry (4.38), per PFF.

The Panthers allow 186 rushing yards per game and have given up the 11th-most rushing TDs this season (13). Cooley will be like a fireball running through this defense, causing tacklers to timber on contact.

Best odds: +210 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 32.26%

FIU vs. Liberty odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

FIU vs. Liberty game info

When: Tuesday, Oct. 8
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Where: Williams Stadium (Lynchburg, Va.)
How to watch: CBSSN
Weather: 59 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 4 mph S
Favorite: Liberty -19.5 (-105 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.