Akron vs. Miami (OH) Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 11: Redhawks to Dominate Zips
The Miami (OH) RedHawks host the Akron Zips as part of a Wednesday MAC tripleheader as we make our best Akron vs. Miami (OH) prediction based on the best college football odds.
In Week 10, the Zips secured their first victory of the year over an FBS opponent, defeating the Kent State Golden Flashes 31-27. Despite trailing by 17 points entering the fourth quarter, they managed to reel off 21 points, including 14 in the final 3:32, to improve their record to 2-7.
The RedHawks hold the top spot in the MAC East with a 4-1 record in conference play after defeating the Ohio Bobcats last week. Although they only lead Ohio by one game in the standings, their head-to-head victory effectively gives them a two-game buffer. Miami (OH) has secured all of its conference wins by a margin of 13 or more points.
As part of our Week 11 college football predictions, here is our best Akron vs. Miami (OH) prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Akron vs. Miami (OH) prediction: Week 11
Miami (OH) -17 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The only reason this play isn't getting a five-star rating is that the Redhawks might experience a letdown following their recent win over Ohio, which essentially secured their spot in the MAC title game. Nonetheless, even if Miami University endures a slow start, this matchup is one of the most significant in-conference mismatches on this week's college football schedule.
The Redhawks are averaging 25.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the Zips are ranked 125th of 133 in the nation, scoring an average of just 16.3 points per game. Defensively, the Redhawks are 20th in the nation, allowing just 18.9 points per game. The Zips are allowing an average of 30.1.
The Zips are 1-4 in conference, with a 41-point loss to Northern Illinois and a 27-point loss to Bowling Green on their resume. The Redhawks have been dominant in all four of their conference wins, winning by an average of 18.5 points.
Statistically, the Redhawks are better than the Zips in every facet of the game. They average more total yards, more rushing yards, and more passing yards per game. Defensively, they’re better than the Zips in all three categories as well. And finally, the Redhawks have a better average turnover margin per game.
Simply put, this is going to get ugly.
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Akron vs. Miami (OH) best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -17.5 | -17.5 | -17.5 | -17 | -17 |
| -112 | -105 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
Right now, bet365 and Caesars are offering this spread at -17 for a price of -110. They’re both offering a total of 43 for -110 on the Over and the Under, so there is no benefit to choosing one over the other if you’re looking to parlay.
We do recommend getting in as early as possible at one of these two sportsbooks. The rest of best sports betting apps all have this spread up at 17.5, and with the support the Redhawks are seeing, this number is going to continue to climb. We’d take this up to -21, but getting in early prevents the possibility of a backdoor cover.
Akron vs. Miami (OH) odds
Akron vs. Miami (OH) odds analysis
The Redhawks opened as 15-point favorites, and the spread has already jumped to 17 or 17.5 at every major sportsbook. At this time, 67% of wagers are backing the Redhawks to cover. This game is a huge mismatch on paper, so we expect this number to keep growing as the game gets closer to kickoff.
The total opened at 43.5, and despite 67% of wagers backing the Over, the number has either stayed put or moved down at every major sportsbook. Last week, the Zips scored more than 30 points in a game for the first time all season. Because of the Zips’ lack of offensive success this year, we expect oddsmakers to move this number down no matter how much support the Over garners.
Akron vs. Miami (OH) game info
- When: Wednesday, Nov. 8 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
- How to watch: ESPNU
- Weather: 50 degrees, 10-mph winds, 70% chance of precipitation
Akron vs. Miami (OH) prediction made 11/6/2023 at 2:08 p.m. ET.
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