EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

Shifty107 · 02-23-11, 01:00 AM

Any thoughts on Berdych over Davy EP?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 01:05 AM

Skipping. Davydenko owns him head-2-head, but isn't trustworthy at this stage. Over might be the better bet than a side.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 01:22 AM

A lot of good matches today.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 01:24 AM

I like davy over tomas.

ha1ogen · 02-23-11, 01:34 AM

id like berdych over davy, davydenko has been playing really poor of late

sickpicks · 02-23-11, 03:31 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Youzhny has the great record in Dubai and the great head-2-head vs. Simon. Yet something screams be careful. I'm going to avoid it, but I think Youzhny should advance but it might be a tough one.

Sh!t happened but thanks to your opinion i played youzhny for small stake.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 08:14 AM

Damn parlays are about worthless this week. Kohlschreiber was damn horrible.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 08:36 AM

Heh heh. I have that stupid Green Bay Packers thing stuck in my head where they say Go Pack Go, but I'm substituting Go Peng Go!

This is what happens from being at work for 12 hours yesterday.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 08:42 AM

Safarova/Pennetta, over 20.5 looks nice. Could see a 3 setter or a 75 64. Both have been playing well. Thoughts?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 09:08 AM

Not sure on totals lately, so I can't offer much help there man. Peng wins. At least that evens out the bets to start the day. Time to take a look at the rest of the day.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 09:19 AM

WTA DOHA: JANKOVIC-MIRZA OVER 20 [-116]
Jankovic has actually found some form over the past two tournaments, but at heart this is still JJ - shit serve & excellent defensive player who is still searching for her game. She outclassed her wildcard opponent yesterday, but otherwise has rarely done anything with ease on this surface lately. Mirza has some game here and when she plays without turning the error machine on, she is capable of sticking in matches and definitely can take a set here. Mirza has only taken one set off JJ in four career meetings, but those all came ages ago. Different day, different Jankovic. Different Mirza for that matter. Get your break on because we're gonna see a bunch.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 09:55 AM

DEUCE #2: MANNARINO + DOLGOPOLOV [+105]

Mannarino draws Leo Mayer in Delray Beach today. The only reason I THINK this line isn't even larger [-190] is that Mayer won a couple matches here last season. Otherwise, he's not very good on this surface whereas Mannarino continues to prove that he is worthy on outdoor courts. The Frenchman is 6-3 in main draws this year on outdoor courts, losing only to solid players. Mayer meanwhile has dropped his last eight on this surface, including an embarassing showing at the Australian Open against Schwank. He's switch over from clay which is another minus for him here. Mannarino should have every chance to win this match if he holds serve well. Pair with Dolgopolov. Yes, he's not the most trustworthy in the world but you have to throw out the loss to Acasuso in Buenos Aires last tournament. It was an Argentine at home and Dolgopolov was coming off a long week that ended in a finals appearance. His flop there was not that surprising. This week is off to a solid start as he beat Capdeville in straights. He draws Berlocq who is a dirt baller through and through, but does nothing that hurts Dolgopolov. Berlocq is competitive, but I THINK his game in general is good enough to beat Challenger level guys, but not top flight ATP talent. He could make it cagey for a bit, but Dolgopolov should pull through in the end.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 10:02 AM

Mirza. Wow. You suck. 23% getting 1st serves in. I think I could do that.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 10:09 AM

6-0 Jankovic. Mirza quit and give me a mercy cancellation.

Regul8er · 02-23-11, 10:18 AM

HAHA......never seems to happen in our favor does it EP?? Oh well, on to the next one.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 10:21 AM

No more totals for me for awhile. I don't seem to have any feel for them right now. I'll leave those to beefcake's system.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 10:38 AM

I took the under. To much pressure for the indian. Her first serve is well, she has no first serve. LOL. The total now falls in the tracker category for safarova match. The over is at -130 20.5 and +100 for under. Just thought i;d throw that out there. Still playing the over though.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 10:53 AM

WOW. 2 straight love games for lopez in second set. uh oh. lol

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 10:59 AM

10 points says Lopez loses the set still.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 11:13 AM

Novak slept through that 2nd set. Wow.

757sFinest · 02-23-11, 11:19 AM

I"ll take those 10 points now.

...

Honestly, if he somehow pulls this out I will be so P*ssed. Something was telling me to throw a little on lopez....

Third set has actually been high quality play....

Great 7th game there...

Nice match for lopez, gave him a good battle.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 12:58 PM

WTA ACAPULCO: CIRSTEA +135
Cirstea draws Pous-Tio today who has been on a good run over the last two weeks plus. However, I THINK this is a good spot to go against her. The Spaniard was on-court yesterday for nearly three hours and really was a bit shaky in beating Halep in three. 16 break opps, but she saved 12. She blew numerous chances to make that match rather straight forward by doling out the break opps. Cirstea meanwhile looked solid in her transition back to clay with a simple straight sets win over Mayr. She was surprisingly good on-serve and was all over Mayr's 1st and 2nd serves. Pous-Tio has a good dirt pedigree, but as mentioned yesterday, a lot of her numbers have come at the lower ITF level. Cirstea is fairly solid on dirt when it comes to playing against players who do not possess a skill level above hers and I THINK that rates her a shot to win today.

iceman8847 · 02-23-11, 02:35 PM

E/P what's going on Dodig is this he a good play or no play

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 03:06 PM

Didn't have an opinion really on that one. I liked him to lose yesterday. Sela has some game, but I don't think enough to beat him unless Dodig goes into a service funk - but he seemed to find some rhythm as the match went on yesterday. Still was not really sold on what he did, so would not be shocked if Sela won.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 04:41 PM

Oy vay. Cirstea looking like dung early. Sad that I'll need Dolgopolov tonight to cash that parlay just to avoid having a total crap day.

beefcake · 02-23-11, 05:03 PM

what a surprise..Wawra playing like rabbit crap... up 4-1 and serving now struggling to get to a breaker..

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 05:31 PM

Stupid scoreboard is frozen again. Alright Dolgopolov is up next. Gotta have it fukk nut. Giraldo beat Montanes for anyone who needed that.

face · 02-23-11, 05:31 PM

anyone know how stanislas is doing? my scoreboard is frozen.

face · 02-23-11, 05:32 PM

i'm on fognini it was getting good

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 05:33 PM

2-1 Wawrinka in the 2nd, up a break.

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face · 02-23-11, 05:40 PM

thanks

redwingsny · 02-23-11, 05:48 PM

Does Nadal or Federer play anytime soon? those 2 are both locks everytime!

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 07:02 PM

Alright well Doggy put Berlocq to bed early to cash that parlay.

nyed1010 · 02-23-11, 07:04 PM

blake vs nishikori thoughts?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-23-11, 07:10 PM

ATP DELRAY BEACH: BLAKE +115
Who that, who that, who that on the J-Block? Me, I THINK. Nishikori will be a good fitness test for Blake with his athletic ability to run down shots. Both did enough to get by their first round opponents. I liked Blake's solid play against Becker, while Nishikori made his 2nd set a bit more interesting that need-be against Dabul. Nishikori is generally pretty solid on this surface, but his lack of a big weapon usually leaves him open to giving out opportunities. If Blake can serve solidly like he did in his opener, he will give himself a legit shot here as Nishikori does give out break opportunities off his own serve. I THINK that is where to watch in this match tonight. If Blake's serve is on and Nishikori's stays flat ... J-Block can rock.

Don't worry, I'm having my head examined right now.