EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[Diesel79]

Here's the Google translation someone posted on another site. Love how it refers to Kanepi as Cannabis.

http://translate.google.cz/translate...php%3F06121094

Kanep means Cannabis in estonian language..... Kanepi means pretty much the same

[shari91]

Kanep means Cannabis in estonian language..... Kanepi means pretty much the same

Really?? That's awesome. So funny

At the end of the day though, she's one of my favourites to make money on so I hope she recovers quickly and is back in action next week.

[EaglesPhan36]

WTA ACAPULCO: PUOS TIO +115
Good chance to take another dog here with the Spaniard up against Halep. Puos Tio has looked pretty solid on clay over the past two tournaments. She made a final on the ITF level and then followed with a QF appearance last week in Bogota on the WTA level. She's also played well at this tournament previously, making the QFs last year losing a tough three set match to Venus. Halep lost her first up on dirt in two tight tie breaks, nothing to be ashamed of last week. Halep has plenty of game on this surface with a couple good runs last year on dirt. I THINK though that given current form, Pous Tio rates a shot today. Both girls are WTA-style serves in that they will offer the other chances to break ... 1st serve will be important.

[face]

nice write up on hantuchova $$$$

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP DELRAY BEACH: SWEETING -125
Sweeting draws Andreev today and this looks to be a nice spot for the American. He ran through qualis easily here to get to the main draw and actually flashed some pop on-serve. This is the surface Sweeting plays the majority of his matches on and he's been fairly consistent on it this season. Andreev meanwhile has been in dismal form with a 3-5 record, including 1-3 in his last three tournaments. All those were on clay. Switching now to hard courts won't improve his chances much as he's about a .500 player on the surface. He is 2-3 on it this year in main draws with wins over Chardy and Volandri. Last year, the Russian played just nine main draw matches on outdoor hard courts going 4-5. Andreev doesn't have the kind of overpowering serve that would give Sweeting trouble, so this figures to be about consistency in saving break opps and converting break opps. If Sweeting can carry over his service form from qualis, he rates a solid shot to win.

[EaglesPhan36]

Fukkin Kunitsyn. Broke Dodig early in the 3rd to go up 2-1 and has promptly won one point in his next two service games.

[757sFinest]

where can i find the delray online ep?

[EaglesPhan36]

Just scores or video? Don't know of any video.

[757sFinest]

Yea i got the scores, can't find any site to watch streaming video. LSH just has dubai and doha.

[Diesel79]

What you guys think Bubka +620 against Gasquet tomorrow? I watched both of their matches yesterday and Bubka looked like top 30 player and dominated against Ljubicic in 1st set before Ljubicic retired.... and Gasquet looked just average (he didnt need to do anything though because Dimitrov missed almost all his shots).... I think Bubka has very realistic chance of winning this match

[EaglesPhan36]

Can't read much into Bubka yesterday. Ljubicic was hurt before the match started with a leg injury that he said hampered every thing he tried to do.

[EaglesPhan36]

WTA ACAPULCO: GALLOVITS-HALL +145
I like betting on something that sounds like a college dormitory. I hooked up with a chick in Gallovits-Hall once ... and then never called her back. The Romanian draws Arn on dirt today with these two having met several times in their careers. The last came two years ago at this spot when Arn won in straights. Quite outdated, so I won't read too much into that. What I do like here for Gallovits-Hall is that she got her first clay match under her belt last week in Bogota. A competitive three set loss. Meanwhile, Arn has played sparingly this season since her surprise Hobart title. She lost in the opening round at Melbourne and played one match in Fed Cup play in which she was beaten soundly by Rus. That leaves her to try and hit the court running here on dirt for the first time in 2011. Arn has played in Acapulco plenty, but has just 1-4 in the main draw. She's shown some ability on dirt, but mainly has struggled to consistently win in the main draw. Gallovits-Hall had a fantastic year on clay at the lower level ITF with three titles in 2010. She also made the semis here last year. I THINK this is another one where serving holds will be at a premium. Getting 1st serves in will again be of upmost importance and whichever girl can consistently do that likely walks away the winner. I give Gallovits-Hall a little edge here with some match play on dirt already and Arn needing to reprove herself after her one shining moment early this year.

[EaglesPhan36]

Puos-Tio comes through in a grinding three setter. The 2nd set was some horrible shit with eight service breaks.

[Pew Pew]

Old ass Phau retired with only 1 game left.... would've won another $100 if he played through at least the first set

Anyone see Juan Monaco losing?

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah those are a major pisser when those fukks don't get through a set. Monaco should get through Zeballos. Good price for parlay usage perhaps.

Sweeting

[reformed]

hey do you think there is value in hanescu +180 against almagro?. I was going to take it at +315 last night but didnt pull the trigger.

[EaglesPhan36]

I know many want to fade him because of his back-2-back titles run here. Don't know really. Hanescu is someone I generally loathe and doesn't match-up against the best dirt guys. Almagro is very good at this tournament too.

[iceman8847]

E/P was sweeting canceled my book has it at No action says it was canceled I saw it on livescore.com it has him winning 6-2 6-3 did your book pay up

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah I got paid. He played Andreev who was the listed opponent. You should go inquire at your book, definitely was a winner.

[EaglesPhan36]

WTA ACAPULCO: JOHANSSON -105
Stupid is as stupid does, but how in the fukk do you want to back Govortsova as a favorite here? She's only won around 34% of her last 50 matches overall and on clay, has lost seven of her last nine matches. Outside of her surprise trip to the Ponte Vedra final last April, she generally has been a very average player on dirt. Overall, she's lost her three main draw matches in 2011 and has not been on clay yet. Johansson meanwhile comes in with some form after making the Bogota final last week. She's played exclusively on clay the last two weeks and should have a match-play advantage on the surface as a result. On clay, she has been a solid performer but most of those recent results are from the ITF level. Still, the South African won four titles on this surface in 2010. She should have the confidence that if she can serve reasonably well and keep her double faults low, she'll have a chance today.

[iceman8847]

Betus, they are a bunch of assholes they said they put the wrong player against sweeting so that canceled the match I don't remember who he was matched up with I knew I gust took sweeting I had 5 units on the match they had no problem taking my 3units on youzhny I hope I hit on Edina gallovits hall I will lay only 1 unit her

[Shifty107]

Hey EP. I havent seen Dulko play in a while but I saw Tatishvili last game I think. I honestly think she can take Dulko and at +250, I think that is value right there

[iceman8847]

E/P sorry to bother you with my problems . By the way Johansson is a -125 favorite on my shitty book

[EaglesPhan36]

Nada problem. Sucks they messed that up.

[Pew Pew]

What is wrong with Monaco? He always gives back a break point once he's up 4-1 in a set.

[Pew Pew]

He broke back mountain after he let Zeba break. I bet he bet the over on his own match grrr

[smitshah]

come on monaco, you got to 4-1 TWICE in both sets lol how do you go to a tie break..

[EaglesPhan36]

Alot of these clay court guys have shit serves an obviously the court speed is slower, you'll see more breaks on-serve on dirt then you will on most other surfaces.

[Pew Pew]

What do you think about Verdasco? -230 seems too good to be true? Trap?

[EaglesPhan36]

First match on clay, I'm not touching him. Bellucci is very capable on this surface although he's a mental case. Verdasco should come through, but I don't see it is a must play ... better to watch and see how he adapts to dirt. Should be fine as he showed during a great run last year, but you never know.

[Beason5209]

Why is Almagro only -275, maybe less at other books? Simply because the books expect him to be tired? He has been dominant on clay.

[noober]

Chela's betfair account got a nice bonus

[EaglesPhan36]

No shit. I was going to take Schwank just to fade Chela's recent heavy workload .... but the guy is up a set and the 2nd set is tight and he quits? Don't know what he retired from, but Chela has been a questionable schmoe in the past.

[reformed]

there was shady betting going on , and much higher volume than normal for a match of this stature. chela can expect an investigation

[EaglesPhan36]

2.23.11

DEUCE: KOHLSCHREIBER + PEER [+109]
Kohlschreiber looked sharp vs. Troicki & holds a head-2-head win over Petzschner on this surface in the last year. Petz worked hard to get past Seppi, but is not good on outdoor hard courts at under .500. Only won back-2-back in a hard court tournament once in the last year and a half. Peer is 7-2 vs. Bartoli. Good run by Peer over the past two weeks. Been excellent at converting break opps. Bartoli is good on this surface, but like most WTA players her serve can be a liability. Peer will use her returning and speed to try and make Bartoli work into unforced errors.

WTA DOHA: PENG +110
Schiavone has been pretty resilient, but on this surface she has not made deep runs routinely at non-Slams. Peng again has had plenty of court-time this week, running through qualis and a squash job in the opening round. This should be a great battle of wills with two players who run balls down and force their opponents to work for every point. I THINK Peng's form is a bit better at this point and in a match that looks fairly even outside of that, the plus money is where to go.

WTA DOHA: SAFAROVA +165
Safarova beat Pennetta twice last year on two different surfaces. Pennetta mostly has not been able to do enough with Safarova's serve in their previous meetings. Safarova was solid vs. Ag-Rad in her opener and should have some confidence here. Pennetta is the better player on this surface, but she's also played a bunch of tennis over the past three weeks. If Safarova serves well and makes Pennetta work, she could wear her down and I THINK is worthy of a shot here.