EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

tevari · 10-17-11, 08:56 PM

my contact just ripped in my eye.

i like rochus +185 over blake, and robredo +120 over kamke

Gaskan · 10-17-11, 10:11 PM

Was thinking more like Berrer 4-0 against Stak who is playing fairly poor as well as the home dog Kravchuk 2-0 against Muller. They are a stretch and i haven't seen any of them play in a while, but the stat history does make you stop and think.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-17-11, 10:16 PM

For Tuesday ...

Parlay
Nieminen + Chardy

[-110]

ATP Stockholm
Baghdatis-Raonic Over 23 [-114]

Waiting to see on some handicaps for tomorrow. I think maybe tread careful on all the dogs who seem to be "easy" head-2-head picks. Many times when we seem to like tons of dogs, the chalk wins out. Make sure you look deeper than just the head-2-head stats.

TheWu · 10-17-11, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

For Tuesday ...

Parlay
Nieminen + Chardy

[-110]

ATP Stockholm
Baghdatis-Raonic Over 23 [-114]

Waiting to see on some handicaps for tomorrow. I think maybe tread careful on all the dogs who seem to be "easy" head-2-head picks. Many times when we seem to like tons of dogs, the chalk wins out. Make sure you look deeper than just the head-2-head stats.

I'm getting Nieminen + Chardy for -166 still worth it?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-17-11, 10:26 PM

Eek. That's a bad price. I like the parlay, but that's still really high chalk to have to lay for a parlay.

TheWu · 10-17-11, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Eek. That's a bad price. I like the parlay, but that's still really high chalk to have to lay for a parlay.

Thank you sir appreciate it. Anything else on tap for late night tennis? Also enjoy the great work you have been doing in Soccer threads, greatly enjoyed your insight.

Boxing Champ · 10-17-11, 10:44 PM

EP you do soccer too?????
What's your thread???
I wanna confirm my picks for tomorrows UEFA...
Thanks for all your plays. God bless..

EaglesPhan36 · 10-17-11, 11:01 PM

Adding ...

ATP Stockholm
Robredo +114

TheWu · 10-17-11, 11:11 PM

Thanks! Let's do this BOL

Boxing Champ · 10-17-11, 11:24 PM

What's the exact formula on conversion of euro odds to american odds????

I'm getting this parlay at 1.78..what is it in american odds???

EaglesPhan36 · 10-17-11, 11:26 PM

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/odds-converter/

1.78 is roughly -128

Onenguyen · 10-17-11, 11:43 PM

Robredo has been complete fade material lately. Do you think he can bounce back or is your faith in Kamke that low?

sharlataans · 10-17-11, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by Onenguyen

Robredo has been complete fade material lately. Do you think he can bounce back or is your faith in Kamke that low?

Watched Robredo against Bohli and he struggled hard. He is not in form yet. But if I had to chose between him and Kamke, then Kamke sucks more on hard.

sharlataans · 10-17-11, 11:53 PM

Savchuk plays good tennis lately. Savchuk +5 is a bomb, +4.5 also could be tried. I even think she might snatch a win while hot.

Diesel79 · 10-18-11, 01:02 AM

EP. what you think about Muller-Kravchuk over 22,5? I usually dont bet over-unders but this looks like a sure thing. Muller has great serve and Kravchuks last 5 matches are like this:

6-7 6-7 loss
6-7 5-7 loss
7-6 7-6 win
5-7 6-3 6-3 win
7-5 7-6 win

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 01:06 AM

Originally posted by Diesel79

EP. what you think about Muller-Kravchuk over 22,5? I usually dont bet over-unders but this looks like a sure thing. Muller has great serve and Kravchuks last 5 matches are like this:

6-7 6-7 loss
6-7 5-7 loss
7-6 7-6 win
5-7 6-3 6-3 win
7-5 7-6 win

muller cant return a good serve for shit

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 01:29 AM

Well it might be true as someone said that bet365 has their own hadicapping department

All bookies have Savchuk +4.5 or +4, but they have +3.5. Good work guys

Boxing Champ · 10-18-11, 01:47 AM

Savchuk....Kravchuk....I almost got faking confused with all these ..chuks

Boxing Champ · 10-18-11, 02:13 AM

Odds on Chardy have been going down...from -260,270 to -235...Not good...

People betting the other way......

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:34 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Odds on Chardy have been going down...from -260,270 to -235...Not good...

People betting the other way......

def not bettting, these games are so rigged in these russian tournies, its insane.

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 02:38 AM

Originally posted by Astros148

def not bettting, these games are so rigged in these russian tournies, its insane.

I agree.

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 02:40 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Well it might be true as someone said that bet365 has their own hadicapping department

All bookies have Savchuk +4.5 or +4, but they have +3.5. Good work guys

Alright, people have hammered Zakopalova on bet365 to up -4.5.

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:41 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

I agree.

pervak was -130 odds and i laid money on her, right before tourney i look up odds and shes +105 and she looses the first set 6-1..

i think the best way to go in these tournies are go with the line movement srs. rather bet with russian gangsters then my knowledge

Boxing Champ · 10-18-11, 02:44 AM

Pironkova Retired...

You got your wish....Astro
What happened to her???

Nats' Fan · 10-18-11, 02:45 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Pironkova Retired...

You got your wish....Astro
What happened to her???

No.. Pir won by retirement.

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:46 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Pironkova Retired...

You got your wish....Astro
What happened to her???

i literally feel like fukin stabbing petra in the ******* throat. i dont mind losing, but losing 200 bucks to a ******* rig job is ******* complete bullshit

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 02:50 AM

Originally posted by Astros148

i literally feel like fukin stabbing petra in the ******* throat. i dont mind losing, but losing 200 bucks to a ******* rig job is ******* complete bullshit

Petra took injury break before last game. She wanted to complete the 1st set so bets stand.
I feel sorry for you

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:51 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Petra took injury break before last game. She wanted to complete the 1st set so bets stand.
I feel sorry for you

obvious ******* rig job. unbelievable, petra has a huge serve too and won one point off her serve through 5 games? FUKIN REALLY? i literally am on a mission to fukin kill this bish

how the **** does the WTA allow this kind of bullshit to happen?

Boxing Champ · 10-18-11, 02:54 AM

Did she slip????
Was it a prior injury???

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 02:56 AM

You can't prove a shit. Noone is interested to protect you. I believe players are not obliged to prove their injuries. It might be a headache as well.
Bookies also usually win money on most bets win or lose, so they are not going to argue.

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Did she slip????
Was it a prior injury???

dude her injury was fukin load of horse shit. took her "injury timeout" on her seve, won it and then decided to lose 0-40 on the next game and finish the first set so everyone would get paid.

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 02:58 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

You can't prove a shit. Noone is interested to protect you. I believe players are not obliged to prove their injuries. It might be a headache as well.
Bookies also usually win money on most bets win or lose, so they are not going to argue.

i dont want to spam EP thread as i have respect for you, but please dont try to argue it wasnt a rigged job. line movement goes from -130 to +105 in a matter of 3 hours nd she wins one point off her serve and takes her injury timeout right before the end of the first set but decides to finish the set and then retire....yeah right.

oh well on to the next bet

sharlataans · 10-18-11, 03:01 AM

Originally posted by Astros148

i dont want to spam EP thread as i have respect for you, but please dont try to argue it wasnt a rigged job. line movement goes from -130 to +105 in a matter of 3 hours nd she wins one point off her serve and takes her injury timeout right before the end of the first set but decides to finish the set and then retire....yeah right.

oh well on to the next bet

Did not want to offend you. Just wanted to confirm your point. I have been in your shoes many times. This is a hopeless battle for us bettors

shari91 · 10-18-11, 03:06 AM

You guys just need to be seriously careful this week. I talked a lot about this last year in my thread... this week will kill your bankrolls unless you cut down your unit size and expect the worst. It happens every year... you'll see steam move one way so you think it's a fix for the now favourite and it turns out it was a reverse fix for the dog. Then you'll have the reverse fix in your mind and it'll turn out it's a fix for the favourite. Then you won't see any line movement before the match but all of a sudden a -1200 is playing like my grandmother out there. Bad week to bet. Protect your cash.

Astros148 · 10-18-11, 03:07 AM

Originally posted by shari91

You guys just need to be seriously careful this week. I talked a lot about this last year in my thread... this week will kill your bankrolls unless you cut down your unit size and expect the worst. It happens every year... you'll see steam move one way so you think it's a fix for the now favourite and it turns out it was a reverse fix for the dog. Then you'll have the reverse fix in your mind and it'll turn out it's a fix for the favourite. Then you won't see any line movement before the match but all of a sudden a -1200 is playing like my grandmother out there. Bad week to bet. Protect your cash.

did this shit happened last year as well?