EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

Boxing Champ · 10-14-11, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Demonata.........the Boy Genius .......

BrianLaverty......not so much............

.............................so Far.....

Brian you can always make a come back...

1-0 Demonata

Jankovic J. (Srb) vs Rodina E. (Rus)......

BrianLaverty · 10-14-11, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Big 12 Expert

you must not be aware that she is a much better indoor player than hard court

Dude....get off my dick.

I know about petras indoor hard court record....its the perfect court for her style.. but she played like shit the first two matches of this tourney. Did u ******* watch it? Or are you just talking shit to talk shit?

Hantuchova had great success here.... two finals.... and she had tons of momentum coming into today from tomorrows great comeback..... there was tons of value when she was almost +250 considering her history here.... and the fact that kvitova has been in horrible form.

Talking shit about pc hoops? Is that really relevant to this conversation at all? Tennis is my 2nd best sport besides cbb and I know what I'm doing.... one bet that was completely based on value doesn't mean anything in the long-run.

I got $400 on rodina today..... completely based on the fact that jankovic can't be trusted at those odds.... am I gonna rethink or even sweat it out if rodina gets smoked? No...not at all....its less then an average bet for me and its a 100% value play

Demonata · 10-14-11, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

1-0 Demonata Jankovic J. (Srb) vs Rodina E. (Rus)......

HAHAHAHA

Boxing Champ · 10-14-11, 12:31 PM

Dude....get off my dick.

I know about petras indoor hard court record....its the perfect court for her style.. but she played like shit the first two matches of this tourney. Did u ******* watch it? Or are you just talking shit to talk shit?

Hantuchova had great success here.... two finals.... and she had tons of momentum coming into today from tomorrows great comeback..... there was tons of value when she was almost +250 considering her history here.... and the fact that kvitova has been in horrible form.

Talking shit about pc hoops? Is that really relevant to this conversation at all? Tennis is my 2nd best sport besides cbb and I know what I'm doing.... one bet that was completely based on value doesn't mean anything in the long-run.

I got $400 on rodina today..... completely based on the fact that jankovic can't be trusted at those odds.... am I gonna rethink or even sweat it out if rodina gets smoked? No...not at all....its less then an average bet for me and its a 100% value play

Brian is a about to blow a gasket....because of below avg value play....

Demonata · 10-14-11, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by BrianLaverty

Dude....get off my dick. I know about petras indoor hard court record....its the perfect court for her style.. but she played like shit the first two matches of this tourney. Did u ******* watch it? Or are you just talking shit to talk shit? Hantuchova had great success here.... two finals.... and she had tons of momentum coming into today from tomorrows great comeback..... there was tons of value when she was almost +250 considering her history here.... and the fact that kvitova has been in horrible form. Talking shit about pc hoops? Is that really relevant to this conversation at all? Tennis is my 2nd best sport besides cbb and I know what I'm doing.... one bet that was completely based on value doesn't mean anything in the long-run. I got $400 on rodina today..... completely based on the fact that jankovic can't be trusted at those odds.... am I gonna rethink or even sweat it out if rodina gets smoked? No...not at all....its less then an average bet for me and its a 100% value play

Jankovic takes this to finish my parlay. She can't be trusted? How can a player favored by that much not be trusted? She will win today. Why bet on that much of an underdog in WTA tennis. How is it value if you lose? you need a closer match to have value. So I should pick indiana to beat Wisconsin in college football tomorrow because of how much I could win if Indiana wins? Wheres the value in huge underdogs? I like my 3 player parlay value more than hoping an underdog wins.

showtiime · 10-14-11, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Demonata.........the Boy Genius .......

Demonata · 10-14-11, 12:34 PM

I mean with the value that would be like saying bet every team that's an underdog in college football playing a top 25 team. Good value if all lose? Pick like 4-5 of the top 25 teams in a parlay than betting the underdog in each of them. Favored team or player usually wins.

blackbeSSt · 10-14-11, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Jesus guys. Can you start a play by play thread or something instead of posting four pages worth of running commentary next time?

bump.

too much crap to filter out in here just to find EP's plays

Boxing Champ · 10-14-11, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by blackbeSSt

bump.

too much crap to filter out in here just to find EP's plays

Noted

BrianLaverty · 10-14-11, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

Jankovic takes this to finish my parlay. She can't be trusted? How can a player favored by that much not be trusted? She will win today. Why bet on that much of an underdog in WTA tennis. How is it value if you lose? you need a closer match to have value. So I should pick indiana to beat Wisconsin in college football tomorrow because of how much I could win if Indiana wins? Wheres the value in huge underdogs? I like my 3 player parlay value more than hoping an underdog wins.

You know what.... I'm done with this. You don't have a clue and I'm not wasting another minute on it

Gaskan · 10-14-11, 01:06 PM

F Lopez and F Mayer seemed like pretty good value to me this week.

tevari · 10-14-11, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by BrianLaverty

You know what.... I'm done with this. You don't have a clue and I'm not wasting another minute on it

honestly, trying to argue with him is pointless, he doesn't understand what you're talking about so it's best to not even try

showtiime · 10-14-11, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

Jankovic takes this to finish my parlay. She can't be trusted? How can a player favored by that much not be trusted?.

yikes.

Boxing Champ · 10-14-11, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

Jankovic takes this to finish my parlay. She can't be trusted? How can a player favored by that much not be trusted?

I'm sorry....... that is a

,

statement.....

Demonata · 10-14-11, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by tevari

honestly, trying to argue with him is pointless, he doesn't understand what you're talking about so it's best to not even try

Worked good for my parlay so far I inderstand.

Demonata · 10-14-11, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

I'm sorry....... that is a

,

statement.....

Well why is she not a good choice for my parlay?

Demonata · 10-14-11, 02:12 PM

Just like my parlay I'm doing in college football with Georgia tech and Clemson And Oklahoma state.

Boxing Champ · 10-14-11, 02:26 PM

Let's keep this thread clean....
It's EP's thread and we have to respect his wishes...
Demonata....play what ever works for you...

Demonata · 10-14-11, 02:37 PM

Ya i agree man

EaglesPhan36 · 10-14-11, 08:36 PM

Looks like we might at least get a start in Osaka.

Demonata · 10-14-11, 08:38 PM

Good to hear. So who will win between lopez or ferrer?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-14-11, 09:00 PM

Adding ...

WTA Osaka
Cetkovska-Zheng Over 21 [+104]

ATP Shanghai
Lopez +130

Rustyglobes · 10-14-11, 09:08 PM

poor start by tanasugarn, i'm also on her at +5.5 but at this rate she wont even win a game... lets hope she turns it around FAST

Rustyglobes · 10-14-11, 09:11 PM

is there anywhere to watch a live stream of osaka??

Astros148 · 10-14-11, 09:59 PM

havnt found any streams yet sorry bro

mattyheisman · 10-14-11, 10:08 PM

Anyone think its worth taking a shot on KEI at +800? I mean hes been the luckiest player going.

birdmanweezy · 10-14-11, 10:25 PM

i like falacio today

EaglesPhan36 · 10-14-11, 10:28 PM

Parlay finally cashed from yesterday for Kvitova-Bartoli. I will gladly take a push on the +5 on Tanasugarn because she easily could have lost worse.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-14-11, 11:12 PM

Just for the hell of it too, I am putting some on Lopez +800 to win Shanghai. Just need him to be in the final and it's worth the couple bucks I throw on it.

Ericg320 · 10-14-11, 11:53 PM

EP? Just parlayed this:

(1) #4325 - Feliciano Lopez +1½ (-220)
(2) #4328 - Andy Murray -1½ (-300)

Thoughts?

Thanks

EaglesPhan36 · 10-14-11, 11:58 PM

Seems like a good shot.

Ericg320 · 10-15-11, 12:06 AM

New to tennis betting.

sportman1313 · 10-15-11, 12:08 AM

Hey EP, I'm liking Lopez to beat ferrer...u think he'll win? I just think ferrer struggles against lefties and especially big serving lefties, takes away a good bit from his inside-out forehand shot that would go to forehand of lefties....and if lopez serves the way he has the last couple of matches, you got to fancy his chances. Ferrer has had tough matches against big servers here and found ways to win but i think lopez can end this, what r ur thoughts?

Also, any surprise with kvitova being -200? I thought this would've been higher...I wanna pound her big as she's an absolute stud on indoor hards and on fire right now, while jankovic is playing okay but hadn't played in indoor hard since october of last yr b4 this tournament. Plus, if she implodes she really does implode...thinking of taking kvitova quite big but do worry about kvitova's ability to implode as well. Any thoughts?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-15-11, 12:08 AM

Good Luck Eric. Welcome to the frustrating and sometimes rewarding world of tennis betting!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-15-11, 12:15 AM

I would think Kvitova could win, but she has yet to play anyone who plays defense like JJ, so anything is possible. Still, if she serves well, JJ will be in for a tough night I think. I've been riding Lopez all tournament and think it's another good spot to take him as a dog. He's got a solid record against Ferrer on hard surfaces. All comes down to his serve. If he serves well, he's very tough to beat. A tie break might make the difference and the Flodonis is a pretty solid tie break player, not that Ferrer is chopped liver ..