2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

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  • Jeff_Black
    SBR MVP
    • 04-04-15
    • 3571

    #456
    Originally posted by Gaze73
    Tell me about it, I took it hook line and sinker. Is is just me or do favs play better at grands slams? The motivation is an obvious factor but still. I'm a dog guy at heart, always hoping they take at least a set but I barely break even doing that. Usually the dogs drop the first 2 sets and then I have to hope for a miracle. Khachanov already failed me and Zverev isn't looking good either. Just take every fav 3:0 and you can't lose money.
    To be fair Zverev was the better player for a lot of the first set but tightened up when it mattered. Djokovics backhand was basically unhittable and the down to Line was money every time he pulled the trigger.
    Zverev will be better for it, he showed signs today

    It wasn’t a terrible bet given what we saw.
    Comment
    • burtonrider726
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-15-13
      • 247

      #457
      Heck of a job Jeff. Thanks for the plays. I find the slams way more predictable than challengers just because it’s the highest of the high.
      Comment
      • Capybara
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-17-08
        • 11803

        #458
        Jeff, nothing for the finals, huh?
        Comment
        • Jeff_Black
          SBR MVP
          • 04-04-15
          • 3571

          #459
          French Open, 2000, Men’s Singles, SF
          Roger Federer vs Rafael Nadal
          Total Games: Over 32.5 Games, 1.90 on Pinnacle
          Stake: 4u play
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #460
            Originally posted by burtonrider726
            Heck of a job Jeff. Thanks for the plays. I find the slams way more predictable than challengers just because it’s the highest of the high.
            Thanks. There are advantages to both to both/all levels I think at times.
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #461
              Originally posted by Capybara
              Jeff, nothing for the finals, huh?
              Just taking my time with less matches :P
              Comment
              • Jeff_Black
                SBR MVP
                • 04-04-15
                • 3571

                #462
                French Open 2000, Men's Singles, SF
                Novak Djokovic vs Dominic Thiem
                handicap: Novak Djokovic -4, 2.09 on Pinnacle
                Stake: 4u play
                Comment
                • Jeff_Black
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-04-15
                  • 3571

                  #463
                  French Open 2000, Men's Singles, SF
                  Novak Djokovic vs Dominic Thiem
                  Moneyline: In play Novak Djokovic, 2.19 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 4u play

                  French Open, Women's Singles, Final
                  Ashleigh Barty vs Marketa Vondrousova
                  Handicap: Ashleigh Barty -3, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 5u play
                  Comment
                  • Capybara
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-17-08
                    • 11803

                    #464
                    Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                    French Open 2000, Men's Singles, SF
                    Novak Djokovic vs Dominic Thiem
                    Moneyline: In play Novak Djokovic, 2.19 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 4u play

                    French Open, Women's Singles, Final
                    Ashleigh Barty vs Marketa Vondrousova
                    Handicap: Ashleigh Barty -3, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 5u play
                    Sharps seem to be moving a bit on Vondrousova. And spread is down to -2.5. Hmmm... Anyone have a take on this? Making me nervous about my girl Ash.
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #465
                      Screw it, rolling with my girl... she has the pedigree, she has the fierce will, she has the all-around game. I still didn't max bet her, but rolling with 2.5 units.
                      Comment
                      • DavidGoliath5003
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-20-18
                        • 4100

                        #466
                        Vondrousova for me. Beating Konta was impressive
                        Comment
                        • DavidGoliath5003
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-20-18
                          • 4100

                          #467
                          Nice job Barty backers... vondrousova is dead money
                          Comment
                          • Capybara
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-17-08
                            • 11803

                            #468
                            Men's final, what are we doing? Laying the big juice??
                            Comment
                            • DavidGoliath5003
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-20-18
                              • 4100

                              #469
                              Originally posted by Capybara
                              Men's final, what are we doing? Laying the big juice??
                              Whats the weather like?
                              Comment
                              • Capybara
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-17-08
                                • 11803

                                #470
                                Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                Whats the weather like?
                                Doesn’t seem that bad... 60s, mixed, maybe a shower?

                                What are y’all doing?
                                Comment
                                • Grivas_Digeni
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-08-15
                                  • 5307

                                  #471
                                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                  Whats the weather like?
                                  Sunny, partly cloudy, with average temperatures of 6-3 6-4 6-3
                                  Comment
                                  • Jeff_Black
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-04-15
                                    • 3571

                                    #472
                                    Yeah it's tough backing someone many would have never hear of lol, moving on to this week

                                    like the look of Stuttgart

                                    ATP Stuttgart 250, Men's Singles, R1
                                    Denis Shapovalov vs Jan Lenard Struff
                                    Moneyline: Jan Lenard Struff, 2.13 on Pinnacle
                                    Stake: 2u play

                                    269 - 255 - 21 (+63.994u)
                                    Comment
                                    • Jeff_Black
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-04-15
                                      • 3571

                                      #473
                                      ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R1
                                      Nick Kyrgios vs Matteo Berreteni
                                      Set Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -1.5 Sets, 2.40 on Pinnacle
                                      Stake: 2u play

                                      ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R1
                                      Feliciano Lopez vs Lucas Pouille
                                      Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 2.01 on Pinnacle
                                      Stake: 2u play

                                      ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R1
                                      Dustin Brown vs John Millman
                                      Moneyline: Dustin Brown, 2.08 on Pinnacle
                                      Stake: 2u play
                                      Comment
                                      • gorwin068
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-16-16
                                        • 920

                                        #474
                                        Kyrgios is still always a match fixing jerk
                                        lost 0-2
                                        Comment
                                        • Jeff_Black
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-04-15
                                          • 3571

                                          #475
                                          Which means he will win his next tournament lol
                                          Comment
                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-20-18
                                            • 4100

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by gorwin068
                                            Kyrgios is still always a match fixing jerk
                                            lost 0-2
                                            He just dosnt care.
                                            Comment
                                            • Jeff_Black
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-04-15
                                              • 3571

                                              #477
                                              Probably should make a new rule where we only back him as a dog lol.

                                              That was pretty much the case against everyone he played in Acupalco except maybe the first round lol.
                                              Comment
                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-04-15
                                                • 3571

                                                #478
                                                271 - 257 - 21 (+64.414u)

                                                ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                Marton Fucscovics vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
                                                Handicap: Marton Fucscovics -3, 2.09 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 2u play

                                                ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Milos Raonic
                                                Moneyline: Milos Raonic, 2.20 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 2u play

                                                ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                Lucas Pouille vs Daniil Medvedev
                                                Moneyline: Lucas Pouille, 2.68 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 1u play
                                                Comment
                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                  • 3571

                                                  #479
                                                  274 - 257 - 21 (+70.674u)

                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Single, R2
                                                  Dustin Brown vs Alexander Zverev
                                                  Moneyline: Dustin Brown, 3.66 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                  Gilles Simon vs Felix Auger Alliasime
                                                  Total Games: Over 23 Games, 1.961 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s singles, R2
                                                  Mateo Berreteni vs Karen Khachanov
                                                  Moneyline: Mateo Berreteni, 2.16 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 2u play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Conqueror
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-08-13
                                                    • 16778

                                                    #480
                                                    Great calls so far. BOL with your remaining play. A winning day already.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jeff_Black
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-04-15
                                                      • 3571

                                                      #481
                                                      Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                      Great calls so far. BOL with your remaining play. A winning day already.
                                                      Thanks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Jeff_Black
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-04-15
                                                        • 3571

                                                        #482
                                                        276 - 258 - 21 (+73.267u)

                                                        ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, QF
                                                        Marton Fucscovics vs Milos Raonic
                                                        Set Handicap: Milos Raonic -1.5 Sets, 2.20 on Pinnacle
                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                        ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, QF
                                                        Dustin Brown vs Felix Auger Alliasime
                                                        Set Handicap: Felix AugerAliasime -1.5 sets, 2.52 on Pinnacle
                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                        ATP Stuttgart 250, Men’s Singles, QF
                                                        Jan Lennard Struff vs Lucas Pouille
                                                        Moneyline: Lucas Pouille, 2.07 on Pinnacle
                                                        Stake: 2u play
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Gaze73
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-27-14
                                                          • 3291

                                                          #483
                                                          Going big against Brown right after he made us money? Tsktsktsk. He's a fighter from what I've seen yesterday, I'd expect him to take at least a set. I also faded Tsitsipas yesterday, easy money in these scrub tournaments.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TimmyUSA
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-18-19
                                                            • 9

                                                            #484
                                                            This is probably a dumb question, but what's the difference between -1.5 sets and winning straight sets or the money line?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ProDane
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 08-03-15
                                                              • 261

                                                              #485
                                                              Winning -1.5 sets means, that your pick has to win 2-0 in sets (or 3-0 or 3-1 if it's an ATP Grand Slam)
                                                              Winning straight sets means winning 2-0 or 3-0
                                                              Money line is just winning the game. Could be 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 (or said in other words - to progress to the next round)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • beefcake
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-26-09
                                                                • 14029

                                                                #486
                                                                Goddam dustin had MP on his racket and blew it..fcking A
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                                  • 3571

                                                                  #487
                                                                  277 - 260 - 21 (+71.667u)

                                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men's Singles, SF
                                                                  Jan Lenard Struff vs Mateo Berreteni
                                                                  Moneyline: Jan Lenard Struff, 2.16 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 3u play

                                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men's Singles, SF
                                                                  Milos Raonic vs Felix Auger Aliassime
                                                                  Set Handicap: Milos Raonic -1.5 sets, 2.16 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 3u play

                                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men's Singles, SF
                                                                  Set Handicap: Richard Gasquet -1.5, 2.36 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 3u play

                                                                  ATP Stuttgart 250, Men's Singles, SF
                                                                  Adrian Mannarino vs Borna Coric
                                                                  Handicap: Borna Coric -3, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 3u play
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                                    • 3571

                                                                    #488
                                                                    277 - 263 - 22 (+62.667u)

                                                                    ATP London/Queens 500, Men's Singles, R1
                                                                    Fernando Verdasco vs Daniel Medvedev
                                                                    Handicap: Fernandez Verdasco +3, 1.97 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 2u play

                                                                    ATP Halle 500, Men's Singles, R1
                                                                    Pierre Hueges Herbert vs Gael Monfils
                                                                    Handicap: Pierre Hueges Herbert +2, 2.02 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 2u play
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jeff_Black
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-04-15
                                                                      • 3571

                                                                      #489
                                                                      278 - 264 - 22 (+62.671u)

                                                                      ATP London/Queens 500, Men’s Singles, R1
                                                                      Alex De Minaur vs Aljaz Bedene
                                                                      Moneyline: Aljaz Bedene, 2.38 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 2u play

                                                                      ATP London/Queens 500, Men’s Singles, R1
                                                                      Stan Wawrinka vs Dan Evans
                                                                      Moneyline: Stan Wawrinka, 1.724 onPinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 2u play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jeff_Black
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-04-15
                                                                        • 3571

                                                                        #490
                                                                        280 - 264 - 22 (+66.879u)

                                                                        ATP London 500, Men’s Singles, R1
                                                                        Grigor Dimitrov vs Felix Auger Aliassime
                                                                        Set Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov -1.5 sets, 2.77 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        ATP Halle 500, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                                        Richard Gasquet vs Roberto Bautista Agut
                                                                        Moneyline: Richard Gasquet, 2.52 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        ATP Halle 500, Men’s Singles, R2
                                                                        Andreas Seppi vs Mateo Berreteni
                                                                        Moneyline: Andreas Seppi, 4.21 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play
                                                                        Comment
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