2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

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  • dvb02
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-09
    • 2941

    #491
    Do you plan on having any more plays in the near future?
    Comment
    • Jeff_Black
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-15
      • 3571

      #492
      Yes

      Focussing on Wimbledon at the moment
      Comment
      • Jeff_Black
        SBR MVP
        • 04-04-15
        • 3571

        #493
        280 - 267 - 22 (+60.879u)

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Felix Auger Aliassime vs Vasek Pospisil
        Handicap: Vasek Pospisil +7.5, 2.08 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Janko Tipsarevic vs Yoshihito Nishioka
        Moneyline: Janko Tipsarevic, 2.16 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Steve Darcis vs Mischa Zverev
        Handicap: Steve Darcis -3, 1.943 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Hubert Hurkacz vs Dusan Lajovic
        Total Games: Over 37.5 Games, 1.943 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Stan Wawrinka vs Ruben Belemans
        Total Games: Under 36 Games, 1.97 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Marcos Giron vs Feliciano Lopez
        Total Games: Under 37.5 Games, 1.97 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Benoit Paire vs Juan Ignacio Londero
        Moneyline: Juan Ignacio Londero, 3.52 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1u play

        Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R1
        Cedrick Marcel Stebe vs Reilly Opelka
        Moneyline: Cedrick Marcel Steve, 6.62 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1u play

        Comment
        • leovegas
          SBR MVP
          • 09-03-17
          • 2543

          #494
          Thank you Jeff
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #495
            Originally posted by leovegas
            Thank you Jeff
            You're welcome
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #496
              286 - 269 - 22 (+71.011u)
              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Hugo Dellien vs John Millman
              Moneyline: Hugo Dellien, 9.94 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 1u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Taylor Fritz vs Tomas Berdych
              Moneyline: Tomas Berdych, 3.16 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 1u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Marco Cecchinato vs Alex De Minaur
              Moneyline: Marco Cecchinato, 5.48 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 1u play


              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Steve Johnson vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
              Set Handicap: Steve Johnson -2.5 sets, 2.15 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Lucas Pouille vs Richard Gasquet
              Total Games: Under 40.5 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Nick Kyrgios vs Jordan Thompson
              Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -4, 2.15 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Brayden Schnur vs Marcos Baghdatis
              Handicap: Marcos Baghdatis -2, 2.06 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Mateo Berreteni Vs Aljaz Bedene
              Total Games: Over 35.5 Games, 1.943 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play



              Wimbledon 2000 Men's Singles, R1
              Ricardis Berankis vs Denis Shapovalov
              Total Games: Over 33.5 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R1
              Marin Cilic vs Adrian Mannarino
              Total Games: Under 37.5 Games, 1.961 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play
              Comment
              • Dynasty3669
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-10-17
                • 516

                #497
                Keep up the great work Jeff.
                Comment
                • Jeff_Black
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-04-15
                  • 3571

                  #498
                  Thanks

                  291 - 274 - 22 (+74.199u)

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Kevin Anderson vs Janko Tipsarevic
                  Total Games: Over 33 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Karen Khachanov vs Feliciano Lopez
                  Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 2.09 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Daniil Medvedev vs Alexei Popyrin
                  Total Games: Over 36.5 Games, 1.925 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Benoit Paire vs Miomir Kecmanonovic
                  Moneyline: Miomir Kecmanovic, 2.16 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Stevr Darcis vs Roberts Bautista Agut
                  Moneyline: Steve Darcis, 13.90 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 1u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Jeremy Chardy vs David Goffin
                  Total Games: Over 37 Games, 1.925 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Leonardo Mayer vs Hubert Hurkacz
                  Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz -3.5, 1.917 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Pablo Cuevas vs Jiri Vesely
                  Moneyline: Pablo Cuevas, 4.03 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 1u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Ivo Karlovic vs Thomas Fabbiano
                  Moneyline: Ivo Karlovic, 2.11 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play

                  Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                  Robin Haase vs Milos Raonic
                  Total Games: Over 35.5 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 2u play
                  Comment
                  • fademe101
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 02-16-19
                    • 74

                    #499
                    Curious why you’re backing Cuevas. Value play? BOL with all the picks!
                    Comment
                    • Jeff_Black
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-04-15
                      • 3571

                      #500
                      And I strongly think the favourite is way too overvalued as well.
                      Comment
                      • fademe101
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-16-19
                        • 74

                        #501
                        Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                        And I strongly think the favourite is way too overvalued as well.
                        Gotcha.. hopefully Vesely falls after beating Zverev
                        Comment
                        • Jeff_Black
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-04-15
                          • 3571

                          #502
                          Wasn’t to be, if he gets that second set maybe he pulls it off, oh well. Was playing well up until then as well.

                          295 - 279 - 22 (+71.519u)
                          Comment
                          • Jeff_Black
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-04-15
                            • 3571

                            #503
                            Will do more later but grabbing this one early

                            Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Singles, R2
                            Mateo Berreteni vs Marcos Baghdatis
                            Moneyline: Marcos Baghdatis, 6.02, on Pinnacle
                            Stake: 1u play
                            Comment
                            • Jeff_Black
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-04-15
                              • 3571

                              #504
                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Steve Johnson vs Alex De Minaur
                              Moneyline: Steve Johnson, 2.60 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Nick Kyrgios vs Rafael Nadal
                              Moneyline: Nick Kyrgios, 3.79 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 1u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Ricardis Berankis vs Jo Wilfred Tsonga
                              Total Games: Over 33.5 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Gilles Simon vs Tennys Sandgren
                              Total Games: Under 36 Games, 1.917 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Roger Federer vs Jay Clarke
                              Total Games: Under 27 Games, 2.03 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              John Millman vs Laslo Djere
                              Moneyline: Laslo Djere, 3.69 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play

                              Wimbledon 2000, Men's Singles, R2
                              Marton Fucscovics vs Fabio Fognini
                              Moneyline: Martin Fucscovics, 2.23 on Pinnacle
                              Stake: 2u play
                              Comment
                              • fademe101
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 02-16-19
                                • 74

                                #505
                                Thoughts on bagdaddy first set?
                                Comment
                                • dvb02
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-30-09
                                  • 2941

                                  #506
                                  Jeff, you taking a break?
                                  Comment
                                  • Dynasty3669
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-10-17
                                    • 516

                                    #507
                                    I would surmise that no posted plays today means he’s taking today off.
                                    Comment
                                    • dvb02
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-30-09
                                      • 2941

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by Dynasty3669
                                      I would surmise that no posted plays today means he’s taking today off.
                                      Understood that Dynasty. I was just trying to see if he was taking a break for a while etc....
                                      Comment
                                      • Jeff_Black
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-04-15
                                        • 3571

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by dvb02
                                        Understood that Dynasty. I was just trying to see if he was taking a break for a while etc....
                                        No, would rather just step away for a day when things don’t go the way I want then stress out picking every day. I think it’s whats kept me sane so far this season and nearly 509 picks by June is a lot by my standards
                                        Comment
                                        • Jeff_Black
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-04-15
                                          • 3571

                                          #510
                                          296 - 286 - 22 (+62.719u)

                                          Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Singles, R3
                                          Sam Querrey vs John Millman
                                          Handicap: Sam Querrey -5, 2.06 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 2u play

                                          Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Singles, R3
                                          Kei Nishikori vs Steve Johnson
                                          Handicap: Steve Johnson +5, 2.09 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 2u play

                                          Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Single, R3
                                          Mateo Berreteni vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
                                          Total Games: Under 38.5 Games, 1.97 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 2u play

                                          Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Singles, R3
                                          Lucas Pouille vs Roger Federer
                                          Total Games: Under 33.5 Games, 1.943 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 2u play

                                          Wimbledon 2000, Men’s Singles, R3
                                          Joao Sousa vs Dan Evans
                                          Handicap: Dan Evans -5, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 2u play
                                          Comment
                                          • Jeff_Black
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-04-15
                                            • 3571

                                            #511
                                            297 - 289 - 23 (+58.605)

                                            Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, R16
                                            Serena Williams vs Carla Suarez Navarro
                                            Handicap: Serena Williams -5.5, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 4u play

                                            Not often I take a look into the womens rounds earlier like this but whenever these two play it's just a way better matchup for Serena going against CSN's one handed backhand which becomes severely negated. Serena is a bit older since they last played but I think she's playing well enough to take advantage of it. In their six games that Serena has won all quite convincingly she has bagelled CSN four times including one double bagel win. She barely averages to win 2-3 games in these matchups and I can't see a different result at one of Serena's favourite venues.

                                            Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R16
                                            Roger Federer vs Mateo Berreteni
                                            Total Games: Under 35.5 Games, 1.892 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 2u play

                                            Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R16
                                            Guido Pella vs Milos Raonic
                                            Total Games: Over 37.5 Games, 1.854 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 2u play

                                            Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R16
                                            Kei Nishikori vs Mikhail Kukushkin
                                            Total Games: Under 34 Games, 1.877 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 2u play

                                            Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, R16
                                            Benoit Paire vs Roberto Bautista Agut
                                            Total Games: Over 38 Games, 1.961 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 2u play
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #512
                                              Thanks Jeff.Really like Strycova myself.
                                              Comment
                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-04-15
                                                • 3571

                                                #513
                                                All good, I probably won't look at any more womens until the QF/SF onwards and that's an if. That one just stood out to me because of the matchup they should be giving CSN another two game head start. We'll see how it pans out.
                                                Comment
                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                  • 3571

                                                  #514
                                                  300 - 291 - 23 (+61.679u)

                                                  Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, QF
                                                  Alison Riske vs Serena Williams
                                                  Handicap: Alison Riske +4.5, 2.03 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                  Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, QF
                                                  Simona Halep vs Shuai Zhang
                                                  Handicap: Simona Halep -5, 1.877 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                  Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, QF
                                                  Barbora Strycova vs Johanna Konta
                                                  Handicap: Barbora Strycova +4, 1.819 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 2u play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #515
                                                    Lets go! Barbora and Allison!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Conqueror
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                      • 16778

                                                      #516
                                                      Great job you're doing here!
                                                      BOL.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grivas_Digeni
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-08-15
                                                        • 5307

                                                        #517
                                                        Halep should destroy her.

                                                        Still I am trying to hedge H. future so if you want to tail Jeff, please bet against me:

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Gaze73
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-27-14
                                                          • 3291

                                                          #518
                                                          I was on Zhang +5.5, fortunately traded out. I don't know what's up with those players who absolutely fall apart after losing set 1 TB, I just knew it would happen because she already threw the first set from 3:0.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TonyPhizzle
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-30-17
                                                            • 410

                                                            #519
                                                            Risked really gonna blow this 4.5 cover huh
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jeff_Black
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-04-15
                                                              • 3571

                                                              #520
                                                              303 - 291 - 23 (+67.131u)

                                                              Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, QF
                                                              Novak Djokovic vs David Goffin
                                                              Handicap: David Goffin +7.5, 1.961 on Pinnacle
                                                              Stake: 2u play

                                                              Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, QF
                                                              Guido Pella vs Roberto Bautista Agut
                                                              Total Games: Over 36 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                              Stake: 2u play

                                                              Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, QF
                                                              Sam Querrey vs Rafael Nadal
                                                              Moneyline: Sam Querrey, 7.37 on Pinnacle
                                                              Stake: 2u play

                                                              Wimbledon 2000, Mens Singles, QF
                                                              Roger Federer vs Kei Nishikori
                                                              Total Games: Under 34.5 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                              Stake: 2u play
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-04-15
                                                                • 3571

                                                                #521
                                                                304 - 294 - 23 (62.949u)

                                                                Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, SF
                                                                Serena Williams vs Barbora Strycova
                                                                Handicap: Barbora Strycova +4.5, 2.01 on Pinnacle
                                                                Moneyline: Barbora Strycova, 4.42 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 3u & 1u plays

                                                                Wimbledon 2000, Womens Singles, SF
                                                                Elina Svitolina vs Simona Halep
                                                                Handicap: Elina Svitolina +4, 1.943 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 3u play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Grivas_Digeni
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-08-15
                                                                  • 5307

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Money continues to pour on Serena. -150 to win 2-0 and -127 to cover the -4.5 games spread

                                                                  Apart from the obvious fact you wish you had waited to bet Strycova (and get a better price).. do you think that money moves in such high profile matches are indicative of anything?

                                                                  I've heard a sharp guy say(post) that in NBA finals line moves that happen later than 30 minutes after opening lines are posted (super sharps often bet asap)... those moves are straight trash and should be faded if anything.

                                                                  Would you agree it's the same with Grand Slam tennis?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fademe101
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 02-16-19
                                                                    • 74

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Anyone watch the Svitolina/Halep match? Saw the first two games took 20ish minutes to complete and then the rest of the match took under an hour lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • angryitalian
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-12-16
                                                                      • 193

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Yeah terrible she should be fined for not trying !!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fademe101
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 02-16-19
                                                                        • 74

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Halep & Serena win in straight easy sets.. how boring
                                                                        Comment
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