2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

[nuxx??]

I think the courts play way too fast to fade Cilic here. I'm Croatian and Cilic lost me ALOT of money due to him being mental midget, but theres actually value on him here, i think he's undervalued by books.

[Jeff_Black]

Love everything you do but would have absolutely no reason to fade Cilic in that matchup. Just saying.
Respect your insight here. Always.

Noticed there is a lot of love for Fognini but I think Thiem is probably going to be disrespected by the public for a little while more. I just yet can't back Cilic on clay at the moment. On another surface I'd may be agree but to beat The finalist at Monte Carlo and Del Potro as well as Thiem isn't an easy feat. If Laslo didn't have such a great clay campaign so far and his title at Rio wasn't a flash in the pan so I'll respect what he's done. Cilic on any other surface here id probably back 10times out of 10.

BOL to y'all as always

[Jeff_Black]

219 - 215 - 15 (+53.73u)

ATP Madrid Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexander Zverev
Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas -2, 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

ATP Madrid Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
Stan Wawrinka vs Rafael Nadal
Handicap: Stan Wawrinka +4, 2.04 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

[Conqueror]

BOL!

[Jeff_Black]

BOL!

And to you, as always!

220 - 216 - 15 (+53.73u)

ATP Madrid Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, Final
Novak Djokovic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets, 2.11 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Marton Fucscovics
Handicap: Marton Fucscovics -3.5, 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Mateo Berreteni vs Lucas Pouille
Moneyline: Lucas Pouille, 2.91 on pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

221 - 217 - 15 (55.06u)

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Felix Auger Alliasime vs Borna Coric
Moneyline: Felix Auger Alliasime, 2.13 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Fabio Fognini
Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga +3.5, 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Fernando Verdasco vs Kyle Edmund
Moneyline: Fernando Verdasco, 2.15 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s singles, R1
Lorenzo Sonego vs Karen Khachanov
Moneyline: Lorenzo Sonego, 2.11 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
Richard Gasquet vs Jeremy Chardy
Moneyline: Richard Gasquet, 2.35 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

222 - 221 - 15 (+52.21u)

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Jannik Sinner
Handicap: Jannik Sinner +5, 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
Jeremy Chardy vs Rafael Nadal
Handicap: Rafael Nadal -6.5, 2.07 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
Roger Federer vs Rafael Nadal
Handicap: Roger Federer -5.5, 2.06 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
Fabio Fognini vs Radu Albot
Set Handicap: Fabio Fognini -1.5 Sets, 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
David Goffin vs Juan Martin Del Potro
Moneyline: Juan Martin Del Potro, 2.38 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R2
Diego Schwartzman vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
Moneyline: Albert Ramos Vinolas, 2.52 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[DavidGoliath5003]

Hopefully Tsistpas takes the day off or he will nuke Sinner

[Jeff_Black]

Ya interesting day ahead

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men's Singles, R3
Fernando Verdasco vs Karen Khachanov
Moneyline: Fernando Verdasco, 2.70 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men's Singles, R3
Jan Lennard Struff vs Kei Nishikori
Moneyline: Jan Lennard Struff, 2.94 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Poisec]

Ya interesting day ahead

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men's Singles, R3
Fernando Verdasco vs Karen Khachanov
Moneyline: Fernando Verdasco, 2.70 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men's Singles, R3
Jan Lennard Struff vs Kei Nishikori
Moneyline: Jan Lennard Struff, 2.94 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

I think Struff has a shot. Verdasco however, I doubt he can have the upper hand physically after playing against Thiem the same day.

[Jeff_Black]

I think Struff has a shot. Verdasco however, I doubt he can have the upper hand physically after playing against Thiem the same day.

I’ve never seen Verdasco have serious issues with fatigue and backing up playing two matches in one day. I was more confident in him because Khachanov is usually overvalued in general and more so on clay here. If Verdasco wasn’t backing up would he be that long?

Struff was more of a long shot but he’s been unhittable on serve and probably could have won if he didn’t tighten up

Another day awaits though!

[Poisec]

I’ve never seen Verdasco have serious issues with fatigue and backing up playing two matches in one day. I was more confident in him because Khachanov is usually overvalued in general and more so on clay here. If Verdasco wasn’t backing up would he be that long?

Struff was more of a long shot but he’s been unhittable on serve and probably could have won if he didn’t tighten up

Another day awaits though!

Well done on Verdasco.

[Jeff_Black]

Thanks!

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
Fernando Verdasco vs Rafael Nadal
Handicap: Fernando Verdasco +6.5, 2.03 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1.5u play
Moneyline: Fernando Verdasco, 15.78 on Pinnacle
Stake: 0.5u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
Kei Nishikori vs Diego Schwartzman
Moneyline: Diego Schwartzman, 2.49 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Roger Federer
Moneyline: Roger Federer 2.25 on pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

227 - 227 - 16 (+52.75u)

ATP Rome Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, Final
Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal
Moneyline: Novak Djokovic, 2.68 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

[Conqueror]

Yes, tremendous value Djokovic. BOL.

[Jeff_Black]

Yes, tremendous value Djokovic. BOL.

You too!

ATP Lyon 250, Men's Singles, R1
John Millman vs Pablo Andujar
Handicap: Pablo Andujar -2, 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men's Singles, R1
Jo Wilfred Tsonga vs Dusan Lajovic
Total Games: Over 22.5 Games, 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men's Singles, Qualifiers
Tristan Lamasije vs Jannik Sinner
Handicap: Jannik Sinner -3, 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Prefer the field in Lyon for next weeks tournaments so I'm going with that.

[Conqueror]

Sinner is one kid I expect will rise quickly through the ranks. Talent is embedded in him.

[Jeff_Black]

Sinner is one kid I expect will rise quickly through the ranks. Talent is embedded in him.

No doubt. Let’s just hope he’s not as dodgy and corrupt as some of his countrymen are.

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R1
Benoit Paire vs Mackenzie McDonald
Moneyline: Mackenzie McDonald, 3.31 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R1
Hubert Hurkacz vs Pablo Cuevas
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas -2, 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R2
Felix Auger Alliasime vs John Millman
Hancicap: Felix Auger Alliasime -3, 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[shadymcgrady]

Is the thinking here of the belief that milfman can't return and/or hurt FAA much?

[Jeff_Black]

Is the thinking here of the belief that milfman can't return and/or hurt FAA much?

Yeah. I’ve never really rated him on clay whatsoever. I mean he tries but against the more talented players it’s tougher.

[Jeff_Black]

230 - 230 - 17 (+51.732u)

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R2
Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov
Moneyline: Ugo Humbert, 2.68 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R2
Pablo Cuevas vs Benoit Paire
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas -3.5, 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, R2
Richard Gasquet vs Taylor Fritz
Moneyline: Richard Gasquet, 2.42 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

230 - 232 - 18 (+49.732u)

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, QF
Felix Auger Alliasime vs Steve Johnson
Set Handicap: Felix Auger Alliasime -1.5 sets, 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, QF
Benoit Paire vs Denis shapovalov
Handicap: Benoit Paire -2, 2.09 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, QF
Jo wilfried Tsonga vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -1.5, 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Conqueror]

Get'em tomorrow.

[Jeff_Black]

Get'em tomorrow.

That’s the plan as always!

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, SF
Benoit Paire vs Taylor Fritz
Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.35 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, SF
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Felix Auger Alliasime
Moneyline: Nikoloz Basilashvili, 2.39 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

[Conqueror]

The sportsbooks don't seem to understand the tennis philosophy of Benoit Paire.

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Geneva 250, Men’s Singles, SF
Alexander Zverev vs Federico Delbonis
Handicap: Alexander Zverev -3.5, 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

[Jeff_Black]

The sportsbooks don't seem to understand the tennis philosophy of Benoit Paire.

Yeah he will have maybe 2-3 tournaments where he looks like a top 5-10 player (usually on clay) and then stink it up during the rest of the year

Best time to bet against him is when he is massively short priced like in his round 1 French open match :P

[Conqueror]

Yeah he will have maybe 2-3 tournaments where he looks like a top 5-10 player (usually on clay) and then stink it up during the rest of the year

Exactly.

[Jeff_Black]

232 - 235 - 19 (+50.392u)

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, Final
Benoit Paire vs Felix Auger Aliasime
Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

ATP Geneva 250, Men’s Singles, Final
Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry
Handicap: Alexander Zverev -3, 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

[gorwin068]

232 - 235 - 19 (+50.392u)

ATP Lyon 250, Men’s Singles, Final
Benoit Paire vs Felix Auger Aliasime
Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

ATP Geneva 250, Men’s Singles, Final
Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry
Handicap: Alexander Zverev -3, 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

Tailing Paire

[Conqueror]

Congrats, JB!

[Jeff_Black]

Pretty annoyed about Zverev blowing another match like that though heh