2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

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  • Conqueror
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-08-13
    • 16777

    #596
    Originally posted by Jeff_Black
    ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
    Dusan Lajovic vs John Isner
    Total Games: Over 23.5 Games, 1.854 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play
    Congrats!
    Comment
    • Jeff_Black
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-15
      • 3571

      #597


      334 - 340 - 25 (45.359u)

      ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
      Reilly Opelka vs Borna Coric
      Total Games: Over 25.5 Games, 1.917 on Pinnacle
      Stake: 2u play

      ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
      Marin Cilic vs Radu Albot
      Handicap: Marin Cilic -3.5, 1.917 on Pinnacle
      Stake: 2u play

      ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
      Miomir Kecmanovic vs Felix Auger Aliassime
      Moneyline: Miomir Kecmanovic, 2.56 on Pinnacle
      Stake: 2u play

      ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
      Pablo Carreno Busta vs Gilles Simon
      Total Games: Over 22.5 Games, 1.99 on Pinnacle
      Stake: 2u play
      Comment
      • Jeff_Black
        SBR MVP
        • 04-04-15
        • 3571

        #598
        337 - 341 - 25 (+50.293u)

        ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
        Grigor Dimitrov vs Stan Wawrinka
        Handicap: Stan Wawrinka -3, 1.854 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
        Gael Monfils vs Frances Tiafoe
        Moneyline: Gael Monfils, 1.925 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play

        ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
        Daniil Medvedev vs Kyle Edmund
        Total Games: Under 22.5 Games, 1.833 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 2u play
        Comment
        • nuxx??
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-06-17
          • 473

          #599
          Think La monf will tank here with US open coming up
          Comment
          • Conqueror
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-08-13
            • 16777

            #600
            Originally posted by nuxx??
            Think La monf will tank here with US open coming up
            So prophetic.
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #601
              338 - 343 - 25 (+47.959u)

              ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R3
              Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs Richard Gasquet
              Moneyline: Richard Gasquet, 2.47 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R3
              Lucas Pouille vs Karen Khachanov
              Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5, 1.98 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, R3
              Miomir Kecmanovic vs Roberto Bautista Agut
              Total Games: Over 22.5 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, R3
              David Goffin vs Adrian Mannarino
              Handicap: David Goffin -3.5, 2.01 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 2u play

              ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, R3
              Andrey Rublev vs Roger Federer
              Moneyline: Andrey Rublev, 7.42 on Pinnacle
              Stake: 1u play


              Comment
              • Conqueror
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-08-13
                • 16777

                #602
                Nice hit on Rublev.
                Comment
                • Jeff_Black
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-04-15
                  • 3571

                  #603
                  Originally posted by Conqueror
                  Nice hit on Rublev.
                  Thanks, honestly tried not to overthink it but when I saw the price I thought it was good value even with the stats of Federer favoured here having not lost before the QF since 2008. And probably why the price was set high.

                  But did like Rublevs form leading into the tournament playing well and I was very impressed with his win over Stan.

                  He also noted in the media that he was really pumped to play against Federer for the first time and wanted to give it his best so I think that motivation on the back of some good form contributed to it to.
                  Comment
                  • WaveRunner33
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 03-23-18
                    • 58

                    #604
                    Agree with the above, great pick on Rub. Do you think he'll best Medvedev?
                    Comment
                    • Jeff_Black
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-04-15
                      • 3571

                      #605
                      Originally posted by WaveRunner33
                      Agree with the above, great pick on Rub. Do you think he'll best Medvedev?
                      It's a tough one because Medvedev has played some matches but playing well and he's here to play too. I am going to go with my belief that he'll suffer a let down and take Medvedev to win in two sets. I don't think the high of the Federer win will be enough to carry him into a match against a guy who has been playing (probably) better then him in this US hard court series.
                      Comment
                      • Jeff_Black
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-04-15
                        • 3571

                        #606
                        341 - 345 - 25 (+55.339u)

                        ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, QF
                        Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev
                        Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Sets, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                        Stake: 3u play

                        ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, QF
                        Yoshihito Nishioka vs David Goffin
                        Handicap: David Goffin -3, 1.925 on Pinnacle
                        Stake: 3u play

                        ATP Cincinnati Masters, Mens Singles, QF
                        Roberto Bautista Agut vs Richard Gasquet
                        Moneyline: Richard Gasquet, 4.05 on Pinnacle
                        Stake: 1u play
                        Comment
                        • WaveRunner33
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 03-23-18
                          • 58

                          #607
                          Yeah, I think you're right.

                          I'm going to hold off, and watch live... If Rublev takes first set and the price is OK I might bet on him live. Medvedev often gives up when he's behind
                          Comment
                          • Jeff_Black
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-04-15
                            • 3571

                            #608
                            I will be honest, and it's probably a really contrarian opinion, despite his form if he is highly overvalued against someone in the early (maybe 1st) round of the US Open depending on who he plays I could see fading him potentially being huge value. Because of exactly what you said heh. I think if someone can drag out five sets and is a scrapper its definately possible.

                            Lost 1R in the French with similar circumstances despite some nice flashes on clay (beating Djokovic) who went on to win Madrid.
                            Comment
                            • Conqueror
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-08-13
                              • 16777

                              #609
                              Yesterday, you got Rublev. Today, you got Gasquet. Congrats!
                              Comment
                              • Jeff_Black
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-04-15
                                • 3571

                                #610
                                Originally posted by Conqueror
                                Yesterday, you got Rublev. Today, you got Gasquet. Congrats!
                                Thanks, I didn't want to get put off by the loss against him in Montreal, and almost didn't do it. There are probably multiple examples where players play each other in between a short space of time or b2b tournaments like these Masters or a smaller events where either they split the wins or spread coverings.
                                Was actually surprised I got better odds for him the second time around despite maybe the h2h mismatch and matchup in general as I thought Gasquet has looked better and recovered from his injury that was plauging him in Europe. And in his previous match against Bautista.
                                Comment
                                • Conqueror
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-08-13
                                  • 16777

                                  #611
                                  Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                  Thanks, I didn't want to get put off by the loss against him in Montreal, and almost didn't do it. There are probably multiple examples where players play each other in between a short space of time or b2b tournaments like these Masters or a smaller events where either they split the wins or spread coverings.
                                  Was actually surprised I got better odds for him the second time around despite maybe the h2h mismatch and matchup in general as I thought Gasquet has looked better and recovered from his injury that was plauging him in Europe. And in his previous match against Bautista.
                                  He was at 4.13 at Bookmaker.
                                  Comment
                                  • Maizey
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-11-18
                                    • 226

                                    #612
                                    I watched Gasquet beat Delbonis on a tiny side court on Wednesday and he looked very healthy and very motivated. I was also surprised at his price against Bautista.

                                    Tomorrow is supposed to be quite hot here in Cincinnati (even hotter on Sunday). With a mid afternoon match under the strong sun, I can't see Gasquet being able to hang with the younger and well rested Goffin.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jeff_Black
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-04-15
                                      • 3571

                                      #613
                                      On first looks at the prices and current form I am inclined to agree, Goffin has also been pretty good too. Had his test against Fritz, and has done well ever since.
                                      Not sure if Gasquet can keep backing up these performances either
                                      Comment
                                      • Jeff_Black
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-04-15
                                        • 3571

                                        #614
                                        On another note I didn’t think Rublev looked that bad against Medvedev, sprayed shots and missed shots he made earlier but when your opponent isn’t missing it is pretty hard
                                        You could tell he was trying but as I mentioned the likeliness that it’d happen he was probably overwhelmed a bit with his win over Federer.
                                        Didn’t really concentrate on serve and gave away some cheap points.
                                        Tennis always has little margin for error and today was no different
                                        Comment
                                        • Jeff_Black
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-04-15
                                          • 3571

                                          #615
                                          342 - 345 - 25 (+61.245u)

                                          ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, SF
                                          Richard Gasquet vs David Goffin
                                          Handicap: David Goffin -3, 1.917 on Pinnacle
                                          Stake: 4u play
                                          Comment
                                          • Jeff_Black
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-04-15
                                            • 3571

                                            #616
                                            343 - 345 - 25 (63.996u)

                                            ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, R1
                                            Steve Johnson vs Corentin Moutet
                                            Total Games: Under 22 Games, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 2u play

                                            ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, R1
                                            Raymond Sarmiento vs Jeremy Chardy
                                            Moneyline: Raymond Sarmiento, 3.60 on Pinnacle
                                            Stake: 1u play
                                            Comment
                                            • Jeff_Black
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-04-15
                                              • 3571

                                              #617
                                              344 - 346 - 25 (64.796u)

                                              ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, R2
                                              Benoit Paire vs Ugo Humbert
                                              Moneyline: Ugo Humbert, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                                              Stake: 2u play

                                              ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, R2
                                              Feliciano Lopez vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                              Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 2.97 on Pinnacle
                                              Stake: 1u play

                                              ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, R2
                                              Sam Querrey vs Andrey Rublev
                                              Set Handicap: Sam Querrey -1.5 Sets, 2.67 on Pinnacle
                                              Stake: 1u play
                                              Comment
                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-04-15
                                                • 3571

                                                #618
                                                US Open 2000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                Stefano Napolitano vs Hyeon Chung
                                                Moneyline: Stefano Napolitano, 4.91 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                US Open 2000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                Gregoire Barrere vs Nikola Milojevic
                                                Moneyline: Nikola Milojevic, 2.27 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 1u play
                                                Comment
                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                  • 3571

                                                  #619
                                                  344 - 351 - 25 (+58.796u)

                                                  ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, QF
                                                  Steve Johnson vs John Millman
                                                  Set Handicap: Steve Johnson -1.5 Sets, 2.66 on Pinnacle
                                                  Stake: 3u play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                    • 3571

                                                    #620
                                                    344 - 352 - 25 (+55.796u)

                                                    ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, Final
                                                    Benoit Paire vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                                    Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.429 on Pinnacle
                                                    Stake: 5u play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Conqueror
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                      • 16777

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                                      344 - 352 - 25 (+55.796u)

                                                      ATP Winston Salem 250, Mens Singles, Final
                                                      Benoit Paire vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                                      Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.429 on Pinnacle
                                                      Stake: 5u play
                                                      Many thanks for posting this.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Jeff_Black
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-04-15
                                                        • 3571

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                        Many thanks for posting this.
                                                        Am surprise he is juiced up so much for a Final when there is a title on the line. His experience is showing in this match so far. The delay probably doesn't help his momentum but I think he can still get the job done either way.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jeff_Black
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-04-15
                                                          • 3571

                                                          #623
                                                          344 - 353 - 25 (+50.796u)

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Denis Kudla vs Janko Tipsarevic
                                                          Moneyline: Janko Tipsarevic, 2.68 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Marton Fuscovics vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
                                                          Moneyline: Marton Fuscovics, 2.28 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Jeremy Chardy vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                                          Total Games: Under 39 Games, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Philipp Kohlscriebber vs Lucas Pouille
                                                          Moneyline: Philipp Kohlscriebber, 2.85 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Tomas Berdych vs Jenson Brooksby
                                                          Total Games: Under 36.5 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Marco Trungeletti vs Kei Nishikori
                                                          Total Games: Under 31 Games, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Ricardis Berankis vs Jiri Vesely
                                                          Total Games: Over 39 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 2u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Taylor Fritz vs Feliciano Lopez
                                                          Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 5.32 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 1u play

                                                          US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                          Soowoon Kwon vs Hugo Dellien
                                                          Moneyline: Hugo Dellien, 8.27 on Pinnacle
                                                          Stake: 1u play

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jeff_Black
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-04-15
                                                            • 3571

                                                            #624
                                                            348 - 357 - 26 (+58.022u)

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Joao Sousa vs Jordan Thompson
                                                            Total Games: Over 39.5 Games, 1.99 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Casper Ruud vs Jan Lennard Struff
                                                            Handicap: Jan Lennard Struff -5, 2.00 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Kyle Edmund vs Pablo Andujar
                                                            Total Games: Under 35 Games, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Gael Monfils vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
                                                            Total Games: Over 35.5 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            John Millman vs Rafael Nadal
                                                            Handicap: Rafael Nadal -9.5, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Thanisi Kokkinakis vs Ilya Ivashka
                                                            Handicap: Thanisi Kokkinakis -1, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Bjorn Frangetelo vs Gilles Simon
                                                            Moneyline: Bjorn Frangetelo, 2.86 on Pinnacle
                                                            Stake: 2u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Hyeon Chung vs Ernesto Escobedo
                                                            Moneyline: Ernesto Escobedo, 4.55 on Pinnacle

                                                            Stake: 1u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Diego Schwartzman vs Robin Haase
                                                            Moneyline: Robin Haase, 4.35 on Pinnacle

                                                            Stake: 1u play

                                                            US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                            Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Bautista Agut
                                                            Moneyline: Mikhail Kukushkin, 9.35 on Pinnacle

                                                            Stake: 1u play
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FOREVER HUSKERS
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-21-19
                                                              • 252

                                                              #625
                                                              Hell of a call Jeff Black on Mikhail. etc.etc.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-04-15
                                                                • 3571

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by FOREVER HUSKERS
                                                                Hell of a call Jeff Black on Mikhail. etc.etc.
                                                                Thanks! I do try and look out for players who can struggle in the conditions in the august heat in New York, and on the flip side have seen Kukushkin play a lot of tough matches here and push some good players.

                                                                Dellien should have paid out too, for those with the right books, most of them do pay MLs I believe and I think it’s worth it and can even live with the losses because of the retirements (that I grade on here as losses)

                                                                It also helps turn those average days into good ones :P
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                                  • 3571

                                                                  #627
                                                                  352 - 363 - 26 (+62.18u)

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Bradley Klahn vs Kei Nishikori
                                                                  Total Games: Under 34.5 Games, 1.925 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Roger Federer vs Damir Dzhumir
                                                                  Total Games: Under 28 Games, 2.03 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Novak Djokovic vs Juan Ignacio Londero
                                                                  Handicap: Juan Ignacio Londero +10, 1.826 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Miomir Kecmanovic vs Paulo Lorenzi
                                                                  Total Games: Under 30.5 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Dan Evans vs Lucas Pouille
                                                                  Moneyline: Dan Evans, 2.62 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Feliciano Lopez vs Yoshihito Nishioka
                                                                  Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 2.94 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
                                                                  Moneyline: Jenson Brooksby, 4.13 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                  Pablo Carreno Busta vs Ricardis Berankis
                                                                  Moneyline: Ricardis Berankis, 4.00 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play
                                                                  Last edited by Jeff_Black; 08-28-19, 04:18 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                                    • 3571

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Will be interesting to play the game of, 'which big underdog gets up this time'. But minus the big names, I'm not too keen on them.

                                                                    Goffin is seasoned and has looked good in the US Summer, and it's hard to fade Medvedev who is the in-form player at the moment. Plus he's playing a challenger guy who has played predominantly on clay so far who got a bit fortunate with his opponent (who should have never) been so short to begin with. Kecmanovic is very short but I've watched him since he made the US Juniors Final here and he's accustomed to the conditions since he spends/has spent a lot of time in America playing college tennis and he is based in Florida where it's also warm. He won't struggle with the conditions in comparison to some of the other guys I think and Lorenzi played someone well beneath his level in 1R.
                                                                    There will probably be upsets, just don't see a big one happening.

                                                                    But Womens? Take your pick!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dogball
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 04-15-10
                                                                      • 625

                                                                      #629
                                                                      JEff
                                                                      weather here in NY is not humid this week. Some Humidity returning this weekend but it’s been cool here last week.
                                                                      Anyway what’s the best 3 plays for today for someone who wants to tail.
                                                                      Evans or Lopez ..?
                                                                      Thank you
                                                                      Last edited by Dogball; 08-28-19, 07:07 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jeff_Black
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-04-15
                                                                        • 3571

                                                                        #630
                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        Hyeon Chung vs Fernando Verdasco
                                                                        Moneyline: Fernando Verdasco, 2.17 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u

                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        John Isner vs Jan Lennard Struff
                                                                        Moneyline: John Isner, 1.793 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        Alexander Zverev vs Francis Tiafoe
                                                                        Handicap: Alexander Zverev -3.5, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        Aljaz Bedene vs Benoit Paire
                                                                        Moneyline: Aljaz Bedene, 3.11 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play

                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        Tennys Sandgren vs Vasek Pospisil
                                                                        Moneyline: Vasek Pospisil, 2.52 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
                                                                        Cedric Marcel Stebe vs Marin Cilic
                                                                        Moneyline: Cedric Marcel Stebe, 8.95 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play
                                                                        Comment
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