Houston final 2017

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  • ProDane
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-03-15
    • 261

    #1
    Houston final 2017
    Steve Johnson - Thomaz Bellucci
    Line: 1.56 - 2.43

    Final on the dirt in Houston. To me, the only advantage Johnson has here is that he is playing on home soil. He is a hardcourt/grass-guy, and I don't even know how he managed to get past the likes of Sock and especially Verdasco.
    On the other side Brazilian Bellucci loves the clay. He has played 4 3-set matches, and he might have heavy legs tody. Although I believe that the claycourter will beat the hardcouter. They are very similar in terms of body type, and they both have a good serve (slight advantage to Johnson) and a decent forehand.
    They met in Australian Open last year (hardcourt) where Johnson won 3-0, but this is going to be a complete different match since it is on the dirt.

    Value is clearly on Bellucci at a great odds of 2.43.
  • ProDane
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-03-15
    • 261

    #2
    Furthermore I also believe that Marketa Vondrousova will win the final in Biel at odds 1.75.

    Good luck to anyone who trails. Feel free to discuss my picks.
    Comment
    • sunshineSpecial
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-09-17
      • 379

      #3
      Agree on Vondrousova - 2 sets. Disagree on Bellucci. Johnson frequently bails in the early rounds, but he's actually pretty talented. Right now he's steaming. Bellucci struggled with Escobedo (who is also given'er at the moment); Johnson is going to plough through him.
      Comment
      • gambleForLife
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-16-12
        • 292

        #4
        I like the over. Bellucci is too inconsistent for me to back him, but I can see him taking a set.
        Comment
        • gorwin068
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-16-16
          • 920

          #5
          Regarding Johnson, I guess it is because this clay court surface is a really fast one, that's why he performed better...But Bellucci is not reliable for me, so I would just skip this kind of match.
          Comment
          • gorwin068
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-16-16
            • 920

            #6
            Vondrousova won in straight sets, good call. She saved 13 out of 14 break points lol
            Comment
            • ProDane
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-03-15
              • 261

              #7
              I can't quite believe what I just saw.
              Bellucci was up 4-3 with a break in the final set. Okay. Johnson breaks him, and at 5-5 and 40-30 Johnson gets a massive cramp in his leg and cant walk. Still wins game with a useless second serve at about 50 mph. Bellucci then loses the tiebreak 7-5. wtf. massive brazilian clown... sorry for rage.
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Watched it...Tons of heart and grit by Johnson. I think Bellucci was gassed as well from playing5 3 setters. I was hoping for a Michael Chang underhanded serve
                Comment
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