BigBurk's soccer thread

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  • swordsandtequila
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-23-12
    • 9757

    #351
    Hey Burk, Russia now -½ +155 (ml +154). Thinking about laying some more on them, was +120 when I took them. Opininion?
    Comment
    • swordsandtequila
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-23-12
      • 9757

      #352
      Russia (UEFA Euro) -½ +155

      Was too good to pass up. Make me proud boys!
      Comment
      • NotSammySosa
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-15-12
        • 239

        #353
        0-0 at +500 is tempting for the Poland/Greece game. anyone going for that?
        Comment
        • swordsandtequila
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-23-12
          • 9757

          #354
          Originally posted by swordsandtequila
          Russia (UEFA Euro) -½ +155

          Was too good to pass up. Make me proud boys!
          Comment
          • swordsandtequila
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-23-12
            • 9757

            #355
            Rolling with the Dutch today Burk, hope your boys don't let me down!

            Netherlands (UEFA Euro) -1 +153
            Denmark (UEFA Euro)/Netherlands (UEFA Euro) Over 2½ +111

            Post any thoughts you have on later game. Good luck today!

            Comment
            • swordsandtequila
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-12
              • 9757

              #356
              Second game:

              Germany (UEFA Euro) +122
              Germany (UEFA Euro) 1st Half -½ +175

              Comment
              • NotSammySosa
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-15-12
                • 239

                #357
                Germany corners -0.5 should be good.
                Comment
                • swordsandtequila
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-23-12
                  • 9757

                  #358
                  Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                  Second game:

                  Germany (UEFA Euro) +122
                  Germany (UEFA Euro) 1st Half -½ +175

                  Added:

                  Total corners over 12½ +218
                  hedged with
                  Total corners 10-12 +195

                  Sorry about your Dutch today, but still have time. Good luck!
                  Comment
                  • BigBurk
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-25-11
                    • 3785

                    #359
                    Sorry guys, I haven't been able to check in since the start of the tournament, hope you made some money during the first two days which (for me) really sucked.

                    Who would have even thought that Holland would not be able to score against the very very weak Denmark, let alone lose the match! I'm still sick about this loss. On forehand I said that if Holland would not win this match, they won't make the next round. So there you have it, they won't. 4 points could be enough depending on the outcome of the other matches but I don't even see them take 4 points even though Germany and Portugal played even worse yesterday.. Cause let's be honest, Holland played better than them, but if you don't make goals, you don't deserve nothing. Robben, Van Persie, Van Bommel, De Jong, Van der Wiel all let us down yesterday.

                    How does everyone think about tonight's matches? I am leaning Spain and Croatia but won't bet both. Spain line (-130 approx) is a bit too juiced for me while Croatia without Olic and some other key players makes me a bit hesitant to bet them. Just gonna try to enjoy the matches after the horrible start for me as a Dutchman.
                    Comment
                    • BigBurk
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-25-11
                      • 3785

                      #360
                      Originally posted by BigBurk
                      Poland (UEFA Euro) -½ +100* vs Greece (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                      Russia (UEFA Euro) -½ +121*
                      vs Czech Republic (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                      1-1 on the first two days, +0.21x
                      Comment
                      • BigBurk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-25-11
                        • 3785

                        #361
                        Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                        Russia (UEFA Euro) -½ +155

                        Was too good to pass up. Make me proud boys!
                        Great pick, I saw the line on friday having moved up all the way to +155 and I just could not figure out why, and I still can't. You were veryyy right to put some more money on it.
                        Comment
                        • BigBurk
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-11
                          • 3785

                          #362
                          Originally posted by BigBurk
                          EURO 2012 - Futures

                          To Reach the Final - Germany* +175 (2x)

                          Group A
                          Dual Forecast - Poland & Russia advance +240 (1x)

                          Group C Dual Forecast - Spain & Italy advance -115 (1.5x)


                          France (UEFA Euro) pk -133* vs England (UEFA Euro) (1x)
                          Add:

                          Matches:

                          Germany (UEFA Euro) pk -135* vs Netherlands (UEFA Euro) (2.5x)

                          I am laying a ton of juice on this one for this Wednesday's match. I really like this bet from a personal point of view, and I'll explain why. For some of you this is a better match to stay away from.

                          1) If I lose this bet, this means at least Holland has a great chance to reach the quarter finals.
                          2) If I push this bet, Holland can still make the next round depending on some other factors.
                          3) If I win this bet, Holland can go home, but at least it made me some money...

                          Either way, there is something positive in it for me personally....

                          Good luck.
                          Comment
                          • BigBurk
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-25-11
                            • 3785

                            #363
                            Originally posted by BigBurk
                            EURO 2012 - Futures

                            To Reach the Final - Germany* +175 (2x)

                            Group A
                            Dual Forecast - Poland & Russia advance +240 (1x)

                            Group C Dual Forecast - Spain & Italy advance -115 (1.5x)


                            Matches:

                            Germany (UEFA Euro) pk -135* vs Netherlands (UEFA Euro) (2.5x)

                            France (UEFA Euro) pk -133* vs England (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                            EURO2012TD 1-1-0 = +0.21x
                            Add:

                            Spain (UEFA Euro) -128* vs Italy (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                            Just because we need some action.
                            Comment
                            • BigBurk
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-25-11
                              • 3785

                              #364
                              Spain was a bad play. As soon as I saw the line up (Spain without a striker) I knew it would be difficult to beat the Italians.

                              EURO2012TD 1-2-0 = -1.07x
                              Comment
                              • BigBurk
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-25-11
                                • 3785

                                #365
                                Sweden (UEFA Euro) pk +107* vs Ukraine (UEFA Euro) (1x)
                                Comment
                                • swordsandtequila
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-23-12
                                  • 9757

                                  #366
                                  France wins & under 2½ goals +330
                                  hedged with
                                  France wins & over 2½ goals +408

                                  Sweden (UEFA Euro) pk +108

                                  Good luck to Burk! Yesterday not so good, so time to make it up!
                                  Comment
                                  • BigBurk
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-25-11
                                    • 3785

                                    #367
                                    Well, luckily France has equalized before the end of the first half. Still think they can take these English though. Poor squad.
                                    Comment
                                    • swordsandtequila
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-23-12
                                      • 9757

                                      #368
                                      Well that sucked. Gonna stick to totals and props. Should have played the corners prop, hits more often than not. Go Swedes.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigBurk
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-25-11
                                        • 3785

                                        #369
                                        Yup, France played weak, glad I took the pk.
                                        Comment
                                        • swordsandtequila
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-23-12
                                          • 9757

                                          #370
                                          Had the pk,-1/2, just thought they would win. First games have all been tight, execept Russia. Oh well. More games ahead.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigBurk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-25-11
                                            • 3785

                                            #371
                                            Not only have they been tight, they have had some unpredictable outcomes too.

                                            When Sweden took the lead yesterday it seemed like they had the best of Ukrain... But if even Shevchenko can net two..

                                            No harm done though, still plenty of games to come!
                                            Comment
                                            • BigBurk
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-25-11
                                              • 3785

                                              #372
                                              0-1-1 yesterday.

                                              EURO2012TD 1-3-1 = -2.07x


                                              Comment
                                              • BigBurk
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-25-11
                                                • 3785

                                                #373
                                                Russia (UEFA Euro) pk,-½ +108* vs Poland (UEFA Euro) (1.5x)
                                                Comment
                                                • BigBurk
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-25-11
                                                  • 3785

                                                  #374
                                                  Damn.. Another bet lost while looking good after the opening goal! Not been very lucky until now, but still plenty of games left!

                                                  Tonight, Holland!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigBurk
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-25-11
                                                    • 3785

                                                    #375
                                                    **** Holland.

                                                    +2.5x yesterday.

                                                    EURO2012TD 2-4-1 = -0.32x
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigBurk
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-25-11
                                                      • 3785

                                                      #376
                                                      Russia (UEFA Euro) -½ -133* vs Greece (UEFA Euro) (1.5x)

                                                      Strongest team of group A against the weakest team. Should be an easy win.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigBurk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-25-11
                                                        • 3785

                                                        #377
                                                        The worst thing about the whole Holland disaster is, that they are still not eliminated!

                                                        A 2 goal marging win against Portugal (not likely at all) and a Denmark loss against ze Germans will get them a place in the quarter finals.. They don't deserve shit though! No one deserves to go through with only 3 points.

                                                        I'll probably be on the Portugal pk sunday.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigBurk
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-25-11
                                                          • 3785

                                                          #378
                                                          Spain HT / Spain FT -136* vs Ireland (1x)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigBurk
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-25-11
                                                            • 3785

                                                            #379
                                                            Winner on the Spain play. +1x.

                                                            EURO2012TD 3-4-1 = +0.68x
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigBurk
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-25-11
                                                              • 3785

                                                              #380
                                                              Portugal (UEFA Euro) pk -101* vs Netherlands (UEFA Euro) (2x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigBurk
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-25-11
                                                                • 3785

                                                                #381
                                                                The Portugal line now at +105, whilst Netherlands pk is at -120. Do the bookies really favor this Netherlands squad?!

                                                                First prop can hit tonight, if Poland and Russia both advance (1x at +240). Russia won't be the problem, but a Poland victory over the Czech will be tough.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigBurk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-25-11
                                                                  • 3785

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Additions for the upcoming days:

                                                                  Ukraine (UEFA Euro) pk +153* vs England (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                                                                  Spain (UEFA Euro) -124* vs Croatia (UEFA Euro) (1x)

                                                                  Germany (UEFA Euro) -131* vs Denmark (UEFA Euro) (1x)


                                                                  Poland vs. Czech - Both teams score a goal -138* (1x)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigBurk
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-25-11
                                                                    • 3785

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Okay, I just saw two futures I could not pass on;

                                                                    Dual Forecast - Czech Republic & Russia advance +118
                                                                    Dual Forecast - Poland & Russia advance +175

                                                                    I am 110% sure that Greece will not win from Russia, meaning that locking both these futures in will guarantee profit.

                                                                    I have put 5 units on both futures, so;

                                                                    1) If Poland and Russia advance the profit amounts to 3.75 units;
                                                                    2) If Czech and Russia advance the profit amounts to 0.9 units.

                                                                    If Greece does win; I am ******.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • swordsandtequila
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-23-12
                                                                      • 9757

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Already had:

                                                                      +238 Dual Forecast - Poland & Russia advance
                                                                      +465 Straight Forecast - 1st: Russia, 2nd: Poland
                                                                      +155 Group A Winner - Russia

                                                                      Wondering if I should throw a cover wager on Russia/Czech, better some profit than none. Just got home, need to look at the numbers. Good luck today Burk!

                                                                      Added:

                                                                      +155 Straight Forecast - 1st: Russia, 2nd: Czech Rep

                                                                      Cover wager in case Poland falters. Played the straight vs dual forecast, better odds. As
                                                                      Russia has plenty of incentive to win the group, putting my faith in them to not lay an egg!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BigBurk
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-25-11
                                                                        • 3785

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Looking good, let's hope we both cash on the futures! Ideal situation would be a Poland victory with both teams scoring and Russia not losing.
                                                                        Comment
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