A-League Handicapping 2011/12

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  • MatI
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-11
    • 5200

    #1646
    Pathetic.

    Brisbane controlled that game.

    They may not have won but if the shitty linesman actually knew what an offside call actually was it would have been 1-1 just after half time and then Jets wouldn't not have been able to just park the bus for the last 30mins.

    FML.
    Comment
    • AllTimeHigh
      SBR Hustler
      • 06-12-11
      • 74

      #1647
      Originally posted by MatI
      Pathetic.

      Brisbane controlled that game.

      They may not have won but if the shitty linesman actually knew what an offside call actually was it would have been 1-1 just after half time and then Jets wouldn't not have been able to just park the bus for the last 30mins.

      FML.
      Agree. Had Roar -0.5 2H.

      Any suggestions for today?

      Have van Dijk to score @ 2.62 and leaning to Glory +0.5.
      Comment
      • MatI
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5200

        #1648
        Back for more punishment!! Yeah I like Glory +0.5 and Wellington ML.

        So...take the opposite??
        Comment
        • ultrasouth
          SBR MVP
          • 12-23-10
          • 1175

          #1649
          Man i continue to get destroyed in the a-league was hoping to tail you MatI but you dont sound to confident lol Might play the over in the phoenix/heart game so expect unders lol
          Comment
          • MatI
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-17-11
            • 5200

            #1650
            No way I am confident about any play in A-League right now. Teams are too close and games too unpredictable, especially with amateur referees! The last couple of weeks have been very up and down.

            I am fairly confident about a Wellington win, they are 5-1 at home in their last 6, only losing to a very in-form Perth Glory.

            Both teams have everything to play for here, so im expecting a big fight from both, but Wellington's home ground has traditionally been a fortress for them, and I was reading ticket sales have been strong this week, so should have lots of local support for this one. Also, I have been successful fading Heart when Fred is out of the line-up, so I will continue to fade them in this spot and hope the trend continues.

            Wellington to WIN @ 2.20 - 1u
            Comment
            • BigTimeWinner
              Restricted User
              • 01-13-12
              • 1070

              #1651
              Originally posted by MatI
              Back for more punishment!! Yeah I like Glory +0.5 and Wellington ML.

              So...take the opposite??
              lol if I take the opposite, I'm wondering what would be the other opposite option
              Comment
              • MatI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5200

                #1652
                lol, good point.

                Heart AH & Adelaide AH if i was to fade myself!
                Comment
                • ultrasouth
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-23-10
                  • 1175

                  #1653
                  3-1 phoenix now 25mins to go
                  Comment
                  • MatI
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-11
                    • 5200

                    #1654
                    Originally posted by ultrasouth
                    3-1 phoenix now 25mins to go
                    Cash it. Well done on the over too mate.
                    Comment
                    • Sol
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-29-12
                      • 111

                      #1655
                      Hey guys, new around here, nice to see a few Aussies around. Glad i didn't bet the early game as i was leaning Heart . Took a chance on Perth @ 3.25 wasn't looking good early, Djite missed a sitter and Adelaide had all the play, hoping Perth can hold on to their lead in the second half.
                      Comment
                      • BigTimeWinner
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-13-12
                        • 1070

                        #1656
                        Originally posted by Sol
                        Hey guys, new around here, nice to see a few Aussies around. Glad i didn't bet the early game as i was leaning Heart . Took a chance on Perth @ 3.25 wasn't looking good early, Djite missed a sitter and Adelaide had all the play, hoping Perth can hold on to their lead in the second half.
                        0-3 already, its over

                        I'm glad I took over 2.5 at 1,97
                        Comment
                        • MatI
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-17-11
                          • 5200

                          #1657
                          Originally posted by Sol
                          Hey guys, new around here, nice to see a few Aussies around. Glad i didn't bet the early game as i was leaning Heart . Took a chance on Perth @ 3.25 wasn't looking good early, Djite missed a sitter and Adelaide had all the play, hoping Perth can hold on to their lead in the second half.
                          Welcome Sol.

                          And nice hit on the Glory win!

                          I was keen on playing this as well but just played my lean (Glory +0.5). I just couldn't pull the trigger on the ML with the way my A-League plays have been so up and down lately.

                          Adelaide actually played pretty well, especially 1st half, but just couldn't convert and Glory are playing with so much confidence at the moment. They seem to just look at the ball and it will be in the back of the net.

                          Good day.

                          Time to cap overseas games...
                          Comment
                          • BigTimeWinner
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-13-12
                            • 1070

                            #1658
                            Originally posted by MatI
                            Welcome Sol.

                            And nice hit on the Glory win!

                            I was keen on playing this as well but just played my lean (Glory +0.5). I just couldn't pull the trigger on the ML with the way my A-League plays have been so up and down lately.

                            Adelaide actually played pretty well, especially 1st half, but just couldn't convert and Glory are playing with so much confidence at the moment. They seem to just look at the ball and it will be in the back of the net.

                            Good day.

                            Time to cap overseas games...
                            yeah, those first few minutes were crazy, they hit the post and the same guy missed an open goal ...

                            care to share your overseas games? what is/are your best tips for sunday?

                            Thanks mate! and good luck to all of us
                            Comment
                            • MatI
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-17-11
                              • 5200

                              #1659
                              Only game I will def play at this stage is Bundesliga, MÖNCHENGLADBACH 0.0 @ 2.00

                              other leans-
                              Inter Milan to WIN @ 1.68
                              Real Sociedad WIN @ 1.98

                              Also, lots of juice, so might parlay
                              AC Milan & Celtic
                              Comment
                              • Puda
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-10
                                • 1798

                                #1660
                                nice work fellas, was in a cbf mood with the a league...
                                Comment
                                • MatI
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5200

                                  #1661
                                  Originally posted by Puda
                                  nice work fellas, was in a cbf mood with the a league...
                                  How you thinking how boys will go tomorrow night?

                                  They are playing down in Tassie, so neutral ground, prob more support for MV if anything?

                                  I don't think I can lay anything on Victory win, but might jump on the Over 2.5. Already @ 1.77, but...GC have been pretty solid in defence so maybe not...
                                  Comment
                                  • gotov
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-16-10
                                    • 198

                                    #1662
                                    Been thinking about it... Mite wait for lineup first
                                    I think Victory will have one eye on the derby this wkend
                                    Mati u know if any players have left for int. duty not sure if it's olyroos ?
                                    Comment
                                    • MatI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5200

                                      #1663
                                      i'm not aware of any from either side recruited for Aus duty.

                                      EDIT - actually, just doing a check on the Olyroos squad, Cernak & Foschini for MV have been selected. Bit confusing that, because everything I have read so far says they are going to be playing tomorrow. Maybe they are heading out after tomorrows game?

                                      Terry Antonis (Sydney FC), Aziz Behich (Melbourne Heart), Mark Birighitti (Gk - Adelaide United), Oliver Bozanic (Central Coast Mariners), Kerem Bulut (Fkmlada Boleslav, Czech Republic), Isaka Cernak (Melbourne Victory), Mate Dugandzic (Melbourne Heart), Diogo Ferreira (Melbourne Victory), Matthew Foschini (Melbourne Victory), Antony Golec (Adelaide United), Jason Hoffman (Melbourne Heart), Matthew Jurman (Brisbane Roar), Ben Kantarovski (Newcastle Jets), Daniel Mullen (Adelaide United), Mitch Nichols (Brisbane Roar), Dimitrios Petratos (Sydney Fc), Sebastian Ryall, (Sydney FC), Mathew Ryan (Gk - Central Coast Mariners), Adam Taggart (Perth Glory), Rocky Visconte (Brisbane Roar).
                                      Stand By Players: Mustafa Amini (Central Coast Mariners), Bernie Ibini (Central Coast Mariners).

                                      Australian under-23 soccer coach Aurelio Vidmar has named a 20-man squad for the upcoming London Olympics qualifiers.
                                      Comment
                                      • gotov
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 06-16-10
                                        • 198

                                        #1664
                                        Thanks Mati
                                        Comment
                                        • Puda
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-26-10
                                          • 1798

                                          #1665
                                          epl tonight?? you playing>>?<
                                          Comment
                                          • MatI
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 5200

                                            #1666
                                            Originally posted by Puda
                                            epl tonight?? you playing>>?<
                                            will report back...
                                            Comment
                                            • MatI
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5200

                                              #1667
                                              Sorry for late posting, been a busy night and only finalising my plays now.

                                              Swansea +0.5 @ 1.95
                                              Tottenham WIN / ManUtd WIN @ 1.62
                                              Tottenham WIN / Gabon +0.5 @ 1.61

                                              3 plays tonight.

                                              Swansea are a beast at home, only conceding 6 goals all year in EPL. Chelsea's Drogba still away on African Cup duty as well as other regular starters off due to injury. I see a draw on the cards.

                                              I don't like any of the handicaps on Tottenham or ManUtd, so have stuck with the ML and parlayed. I think it's safer that way.

                                              I do think Tottenham will have a good game and prob win by a good margin but i'm not keen on taking the chance. ManUtd i'm not so confident about, lots of injuries but they should still prevail, but only just in a tight game. Stoke have been playing well and not conceding many goals either.

                                              I have thrown Gabon in another Parlay with Tottenham. They are not playing for much except top spot and an easier schedule for the next round. Gabon have been the stronger side in this group and Tunisian players have not only been struggling with the humidity but many will be rested due to either injury, fatigue or protection from more yellow cards. Gabon to WIN on home turf, but i will take the AH because all they need is a draw to secure top spot in the group.
                                              Comment
                                              • Sol
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-29-12
                                                • 111

                                                #1668
                                                With you on Swansea Also have a play on Wolves with Gerrard out, not too optimistic though
                                                Comment
                                                • Aussiecapper101
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-04-10
                                                  • 2220

                                                  #1669
                                                  Originally posted by MatI
                                                  Sorry for late posting, been a busy night and only finalising my plays now.

                                                  Swansea +0.5 @ 1.95
                                                  Tottenham WIN / ManUtd WIN @ 1.62
                                                  Tottenham WIN / Gabon +0.5 @ 1.61

                                                  3 plays tonight.

                                                  Swansea are a beast at home, only conceding 6 goals all year in EPL. Chelsea's Drogba still away on African Cup duty as well as other regular starters off due to injury. I see a draw on the cards.

                                                  I don't like any of the handicaps on Tottenham or ManUtd, so have stuck with the ML and parlayed. I think it's safer that way.

                                                  I do think Tottenham will have a good game and prob win by a good margin but i'm not keen on taking the chance. ManUtd i'm not so confident about, lots of injuries but they should still prevail, but only just in a tight game. Stoke have been playing well and not conceding many goals either.

                                                  I have thrown Gabon in another Parlay with Tottenham. They are not playing for much except top spot and an easier schedule for the next round. Gabon have been the stronger side in this group and Tunisian players have not only been struggling with the humidity but many will be rested due to either injury, fatigue or protection from more yellow cards. Gabon to WIN on home turf, but i will take the AH because all they need is a draw to secure top spot in the group.
                                                  Nice! 3-0
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MatI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5200

                                                    #1670
                                                    Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                                                    Nice! 3-0


                                                    AC! Hope your killin it mate!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigTimeWinner
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-13-12
                                                      • 1070

                                                      #1671
                                                      Originally posted by MatI
                                                      Sorry for late posting, been a busy night and only finalising my plays now.

                                                      Swansea +0.5 @ 1.95
                                                      Tottenham WIN / ManUtd WIN @ 1.62
                                                      Tottenham WIN / Gabon +0.5 @ 1.61

                                                      3 plays tonight.

                                                      Swansea are a beast at home, only conceding 6 goals all year in EPL. Chelsea's Drogba still away on African Cup duty as well as other regular starters off due to injury. I see a draw on the cards.

                                                      I don't like any of the handicaps on Tottenham or ManUtd, so have stuck with the ML and parlayed. I think it's safer that way.

                                                      I do think Tottenham will have a good game and prob win by a good margin but i'm not keen on taking the chance. ManUtd i'm not so confident about, lots of injuries but they should still prevail, but only just in a tight game. Stoke have been playing well and not conceding many goals either.

                                                      I have thrown Gabon in another Parlay with Tottenham. They are not playing for much except top spot and an easier schedule for the next round. Gabon have been the stronger side in this group and Tunisian players have not only been struggling with the humidity but many will be rested due to either injury, fatigue or protection from more yellow cards. Gabon to WIN on home turf, but i will take the AH because all they need is a draw to secure top spot in the group.
                                                      MatI mate you need to post your picks on other leagues somewhere It would really help me. Last time I think you had real sociedad home win and they convincingly won vs gijon, but I missed the bet just because you posted it here, as I noticed it only after the match was over.

                                                      Thanks and looking forward to your bets tomorrow !
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sol
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-29-12
                                                        • 111

                                                        #1672
                                                        Swansea Good stuff MatI
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MatI
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 5200

                                                          #1673
                                                          For tonight,
                                                          Melbourne Victory to WIN @ 2.20 - 0.5u

                                                          Starts in 10, sorry for late post. I'm not crazy about this game, but taking MV at good odds. Neutral ground so no advantage to Gold Coast, if anything, i see a pro-MV crowd. Victory will be keen for 3 points, otherwise it will be very hard for them to make top 6. Looking at formation and squad, i see MV trying to shut GC down and get Harry to feed to Archie and Solarzano.

                                                          Again, take with a grain of salt as Victory are my team, only half a unit on it as well, but they have always played well against GC and I think they get it done tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MatI
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5200

                                                            #1674
                                                            Originally posted by Sol
                                                            Swansea Good stuff MatI
                                                            Originally posted by BigTimeWinner
                                                            MatI mate you need to post your picks on other leagues somewhere It would really help me. Last time I think you had real sociedad home win and they convincingly won vs gijon, but I missed the bet just because you posted it here, as I noticed it only after the match was over.

                                                            Thanks and looking forward to your bets tomorrow !
                                                            Thanks fellas!

                                                            And BTW, it might be an idea to start a thread and clear some of the clutter out of here. I am no expert by any means but happy to share my thoughts. I have usually just posted in here to share with the other boys. It all started I think when we all had too much spare time over xmas break and not enough footy to cap!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ultrasouth
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-23-10
                                                              • 1175

                                                              #1675
                                                              I agree you should have your own thread Mat your picks are solid
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Puda
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-26-10
                                                                • 1798

                                                                #1676
                                                                victory should win. gl matt
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FindTheLock
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-27-10
                                                                  • 7194

                                                                  #1677
                                                                  I took a few weeks off from betting this league, but I would have gone down with the ship in the 93rd minute if I took this game too. I can't believe how incredibly unbelievable the A league games are. It's like opposite day every game in this league down under.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MatI
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 5200

                                                                    #1678
                                                                    Victory didnt deserve the win. The equaliser was coming for the last 25 minutes. Covic was only person keeping them in the game.

                                                                    Fukn pissed with MV.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Puda
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-26-10
                                                                      • 1798

                                                                      #1679
                                                                      epl action/
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MatI
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 5200

                                                                        #1680
                                                                        yep, will get back to you at decent hour this time!

                                                                        you got anything layed down yet?
                                                                        Comment
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