A-League Handicapping 2011/12

[gotov]

Full team for reds? I can't find the lineups

[MatI]

No official line-ups released yet that I have found. There shouldnt be major changes to either side for tonight but I have read that Caravella has not recovered in time and will def be out for Adelaide.

Keep in mind while this is a home game for Adelaide, it is being played in Bathurst, so will probably have more Newcastle fans in attendance than reds.

Still, i'll be taking Reds:
Reds ML @ 2.07

[MatI]

REDS ML
RED -1

Good day.

Let's get it mate!

[gotov]

Heaps of rain about in NSW

[FindTheLock]

weather.com doesn't say it is raining at the moment. anyone see the pitch yet? I am considering a play on the under if the weather is bad enough.

[MatI]

Personally, I don't think it is particularly bad where they are playing. See following link for rain radar

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR712.loop.shtml#skip

Bathurst is in the middle left of screen.

Also, the following link shows the amount of rain hitting the area, only 4mm at about 3pm, so should be good.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN60801/IDN60801.94730.shtml

[gotov]

its been raining but pitch looks good

[FindTheLock]

so there is no weather edge then. This league kicks my ass and I keep coming back for more punishment.

[MatI]

I wouldnt touch the under, both teams could easily put in a couple of goals. Might not happen, but no way I would touch it.

[FindTheLock]

I took adelaide...

[Puda]

1-1, 20mins to play.

[FindTheLock]

yeah, this has been my luck with this league. I can't seem to pick a winner from Australia

[Puda]

yeah, this has been my luck with this league. I can't seem to pick a winner from Australia

oh well cant win them all. if only the reds knew how to how a lead.

[MatI]

I took adelaide...

Sorry to talk you out of the under.

oh well cant win them all. if only the reds knew how to how a lead.

I cannot believe Adelaide let that goal through, you could almost see it happening in slow motion! They should have been all over that!

[DarkNite]

I lost because Reds got Draw.

[Supamanu]

Any news or info on line ups/missings for tonights game?

[gotov]

http://www.foxsports.com.au/football/a-league/all-the-squads-for-round-eighteen-of-the-2011-2012-a-league-season-this-weekend/story-e6frf4gl-1226254402480

[MatI]

Tonight's Gold Coast vs Central Coast game has been cancelled due to the threat of flooding in the area.

Rescheduled for 22nd February.

[Bluedragon]

wondering if i should ask for my bets back or just them ride. Had parlays that all came through except for CCM DNB. I'm worried that if I just let them ride, the 22 Feb day may end up being a bad day for CCM or something to that effect. liked the situation for them last night, but unsure of what may come between now and 22 Feb, they could end up getting caught between too many matches or something like that. Looking for advice on this, dudes. Thanks very much!!!

[BigTimeWinner]

wondering if i should ask for my bets back or just them ride. Had parlays that all came through except for CCM DNB. I'm worried that if I just let them ride, the 22 Feb day may end up being a bad day for CCM or something to that effect. liked the situation for them last night, but unsure of what may come between now and 22 Feb, they could end up getting caught between too many matches or something like that. Looking for advice on this, dudes. Thanks very much!!!

that all depends on your luck mate , if the difference between mariners and the second is bigger than what it is now then it'll be harder for them to win the match


What do you guys think of todays game? Brisbane or jets ?

[MatI]

wondering if i should ask for my bets back or just them ride. Had parlays that all came through except for CCM DNB. I'm worried that if I just let them ride, the 22 Feb day may end up being a bad day for CCM or something to that effect. liked the situation for them last night, but unsure of what may come between now and 22 Feb, they could end up getting caught between too many matches or something like that. Looking for advice on this, dudes. Thanks very much!!!

Personally, I would ask for it to be voided. CCM will be spreading their squad amongst A-League & AFC Asian Champions League games in Feb. A lot can change in a month...

[FindTheLock]

I am back for another beat down from this league. I keep winning money on other leagues and giving some back on this one. I think Roar should win easily tonight, so that means everyone needs to take newcastle!

[BigTimeWinner]

I am back for another beat down from this league. I keep winning money on other leagues and giving some back on this one. I think Roar should win easily tonight, so that means everyone needs to take newcastle!

lol mate I know how you feel, this league is so unpredictable but the odds are juicy sometimes, mostly on over 2.5
I think Im gonna waste some $$$ on over tonight, even though I don't feel it'll happen ...

any idea if that guy henrique is playing for the roars ?

[MatI]

What do you guys think of todays game? Brisbane or jets ?

I am back for another beat down from this league. I keep winning money on other leagues and giving some back on this one. I think Roar should win easily tonight, so that means everyone needs to take newcastle!

lol mate I know how you feel, this league is so unpredictable but the odds are juicy sometimes, mostly on over 2.5
I think Im gonna waste some $$$ on over tonight, even though I don't feel it'll happen ...

any idea if that guy henrique is playing for the roars ?

No such thing as an easy win in the A-League! Jet's have been playing a lot better lately, but Roar is the play in my opinion. Henrique is in the squad as far as im aware, but havent confirmed yet.

Keep in mind Roar havent won by more than a goal since new years eve against Victory, and Jets havent lost by more than a goal since xmas. I wouldnt touch the -1.5.

[Bluedragon]

that all depends on your luck mate , if the difference between mariners and the second is bigger than what it is now then it'll be harder for them to win the match

Personally, I would ask for it to be voided. CCM will be spreading their squad amongst A-League & AFC Asian Champions League games in Feb. A lot can change in a month...

thanks brothers. it just hurts having to void it cuz it made the payouts so much nicer. on the other hand, when I woke up this morning, (toronto, canada - GMT -5h) and checked my account, I thought i had lost the bet cuz of my balance, so AT LEAST voiding the CCM DNB would be better than the situation i originally thought i was in lol. arggh i have been in this position several times before and I always void them but faacckk, i want to ride these so badly. the 1.43 added to the 3,4,5 and even 6 teamers i have that went through DOES significantly increase the payouts. gah, maybe i'll just fall on the safe side.

On another note, i like the Roar tonight at home and will prob play the -1. I wish the "Result/Goals - Roar & OV 2.5" had more value but its sitting at a measly 2.05 right now

thanks again brothers

[gotov]

Is Roar game on MatI ? would imagine the pitch is effected somewhat from all the rain had in qld

[MatI]

Is Roar game on MatI ? would imagine the pitch is effected somewhat from all the rain had in qld

Sounds good to go, just found this on Roar twitter feed:

@brisbaneroar Any idea how is the pitch looking for tonights game?

reply - Green! It'll be fine.

[MatI]

thanks brothers. it just hurts having to void it cuz it made the payouts so much nicer. on the other hand, when I woke up this morning, (toronto, canada - GMT -5h) and checked my account, I thought i had lost the bet cuz of my balance, so AT LEAST voiding the CCM DNB would be better than the situation i originally thought i was in lol. arggh i have been in this position several times before and I always void them but faacckk, i want to ride these so badly. the 1.43 added to the 3,4,5 and even 6 teamers i have that went through DOES significantly increase the payouts. gah, maybe i'll just fall on the safe side.

On another note, i like the Roar tonight at home and will prob play the -1. I wish the "Result/Goals - Roar & OV 2.5" had more value but its sitting at a measly 2.05 right now

thanks again brothers

No problem at all mate, whatever you decide, good luck!!

[gotov]

thanks dude

[MatI]

A fair amount of rain in Brisvegas right now, under looks good value. I already have Bris ML as final leg of parlay, so will just be rolling with that.

Teams -
BRFC XI: Theoklitos, Smith, Stefanutto, Franjic, Paartalu, Murdocca, Henrique, Adnan, Nichols, Broich, Fitzgerald.
bench: Jurman, Brattan, Redmayne, Meyer.

NJ XI: Kennedy, Topor-Stanley, Calvano, Kantarovski, Zadkovich, Elrich, Wheelhouse, Byun, Griffiths, Jeffers, Pepper.
bench: Regan, Brockie, Bridges, Nash.

Henrique & Broich starting for the first time in a very long time. Brockie, Bridges, Nash on the Jets bench, they could be dangerous with fresh legs late in the game.

Come on Roar, 1-0 will do me fine!

[WillC]

suncorp stadium has the best drainage in the country. pitch won't be a problem for the Roar

Its stopped raining btw

[WillC]

Fitzgerald to replace Berisha .. good that hes getting a chance but hopefully they don't play him as the lone striker

[FindTheLock]

brisbane have fallen quite a ways from last season and early this season. I am glad I fell asleep before placing my bet on them. I might as well fade myself when trying to pick a winner in this league anyway.

[gotov]

The Jets are Roars bogey team
Jets have a good record at Suncorp

[BigTimeWinner]

well that was such a stupid game as most of the australian league games unfortunately. definitely my last bet on this league ...