A-League Handicapping 2011/12

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  • alias69
    SBR MVP
    • 06-21-09
    • 1017

    #1471
    new coaches always seem to give out first wins. i think this will go under as well. bol
    Comment
    • MatI
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-11
      • 5200

      #1472
      Amigo's, locking this in early as I'm heading out for dinner for my birthday.

      Both Teams to Score - YES @ 1.67 - 1u

      This is a little too much juice than I like, but the more I think about it, the more I like the play.

      It is difficult to predict how Melbourne Victory will play here, but one thing is certain, and that is you cannot trust the defence. Reports are suggesting Leijer will be back in the squad but I don't think it will be enough to stop the leaking of goals, especially with an on form Adelaide coming to town in another classic rivalry game.

      Since Kossie took over, Adelaide have scored at least one goal in every game, including 3 goals on a talented Heart side at the same ground 2 weeks ago. I'd be very surprised if these boys get held goalless.

      Melbourne Victory have not had much to worry about up front in my opinion, they have scored more than one goal in 9 out of their last 10 games and the other was a 1-1 draw in Melbourne against Adelaide in early December.

      Big game for both these teams, a Win for either could jump them up into the Top 4 and make it that much easier to secure a finals spot. Enjoy the game boys, probably won't be able to check in until after the game.

      Oh, and Come on Melbourne!!!
      Comment
      • Hugh Madbrough
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-08-12
        • 834

        #1473
        Happy Birthday.
        Comment
        • Puda
          SBR MVP
          • 03-26-10
          • 1798

          #1474
          vs .

          Happy bday! Both teams to score is wise bet... Melbourne have been unable to keep clean sheets for the last 9 games I believe.. and the Reds like you said have been scoring regularly... but no value.for me. Can see this game ending 2-1, 1-1 . New coach factor is unknown really.. usually gives the team some sort of boost.. The Reds have had the better of the rivalry of late and how will the Melbourne's defence handle Dario and Van Dyk is big in the outcome of the match. My suggestion is flipping a coin.

          My play:
          I'm going to wager a small play on the draw. 1-1 ... 2-2 . .

          Good luck









          Comment
          • ultrasouth
            SBR MVP
            • 12-23-10
            • 1175

            #1475
            Melb victory 2-0 3-0
            Comment
            • pokerwhiz90
              SBR MVP
              • 10-02-10
              • 2618

              #1476
              got a good price for the victory +155, put 1 unit on it
              Comment
              • cro
                SBR MVP
                • 09-16-09
                • 1088

                #1477
                Easy over
                Comment
                • Puda
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-26-10
                  • 1798

                  #1478
                  On the way home.. 1-1! Typical victory performance, should of scored + 2 goals in the first half, but choked . Then ran out of legs in the 2nd....
                  Comment
                  • MatI
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-11
                    • 5200

                    #1479
                    Originally posted by Puda
                    Happy bday! Both teams to score is wise bet... Melbourne have been unable to keep clean sheets for the last 9 games I believe.. and the Reds like you said have been scoring regularly... but no value.for me. Can see this game ending 2-1, 1-1 . New coach factor is unknown really.. usually gives the team some sort of boost.. The Reds have had the better of the rivalry of late and how will the Melbourne's defence handle Dario and Van Dyk is big in the outcome of the match. My suggestion is flipping a coin.

                    My play:
                    I'm going to wager a small play on the draw. 1-1 ... 2-2 . .
                    Nice hit mate! Hope you enjoyed the game, sounded like a cracker!

                    Originally posted by Hugh Madbrough
                    Happy Birthday.
                    and thanks Puda and Hugh.
                    Comment
                    • ultrasouth
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-23-10
                      • 1175

                      #1480
                      Tricky league ohh well get it back tomorrow night (hopefully) in the overseas leagues

                      PS:happy bday mat1
                      Comment
                      • Puda
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-26-10
                        • 1798

                        #1481
                        Originally posted by MatI
                        Nice hit mate! Hope you enjoyed the game, sounded like a cracker! and thanks Puda and Hugh.
                        Nice win yourself... Kewell was sublime, could of had 3-4 assists if the donkeys hes surrounded with could finish basic goals.

                        2 games in the A league today and 2 more on Sunday.. lets get them
                        Comment
                        • MatI
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-17-11
                          • 5200

                          #1482
                          Thanks mate! Tough break with the loss. Sounds like MV had a good chance at getting well clear.

                          I'm sussing out international games now. Let's get it.
                          Comment
                          • MatI
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 5200

                            #1483
                            Originally posted by Puda
                            Nice win yourself... Kewell was sublime, could of had 3-4 assists if the donkeys hes surrounded with could finish basic goals.

                            2 games in the A league today and 2 more on Sunday.. lets get them
                            Thanks amigo!

                            Initially i'd say win for CCM & Roar, but really crappy odds. At this stage i would only take those teams to win 1st half at more favourable odds.
                            Comment
                            • AllTimeHigh
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 06-12-11
                              • 74

                              #1484
                              Originally posted by MatI
                              Thanks amigo! Initially i'd say win for CCM & Roar, but really crappy odds. At this stage i would only take those teams to win 1st half at more favourable odds.
                              I'm on Roar -1 @ 2.1 and CCM -0.5 1H @ 2.0.
                              Can't see Sky Blues or Jets cause any trouble.

                              Cheers!
                              Comment
                              • AllTimeHigh
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-12-11
                                • 74

                                #1485
                                Roar -0.5 2H around evens could be something as well.
                                Comment
                                • Puda
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-10
                                  • 1798

                                  #1486
                                  How are you fellas leaning for the 2 games today ?
                                  Comment
                                  • Puda
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-26-10
                                    • 1798

                                    #1487
                                    vs

                                    Next two games don't really offer much value.. Jets have been quite poor of late, especially on the travels, whilst CCM have been flying. Can see this game going 2-0, 3-1.

                                    So the only value play is the -1.

                                    vs

                                    The big boys are back for the Roar. This game should be fairly competitive and will not be a cake walk like many people think. Roar should of smashed Reds last week but didnt have that killer finish, hopefully with their better players they should find the back of the net. Roar should just edge out the Blues. 2-1 me thinks.

                                    My play is -1 CMM/ROAR parlay, small.

                                    Good Luck














                                    Comment
                                    • MatI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5200

                                      #1488
                                      sorry for late response, been out most of the day and only getting a chance to lock in my plays now. CCM game first:

                                      1st Half - CENTRAL COAST MARINERS @ 2.00 - 1.5u
                                      CENTRAL COAST MARINERS (-1.0) @1.78 - 1u

                                      CCM are a very strong 1st half side, scoring a goal in the first 45 in their last 4 home games. With a full squad and up against an away jets team i'm tipping for CCM to get out to an early lead and hold it for the game. If 1st half play doesnt come through I will probably try and get that back with a play on CCM to win the 2nd half.

                                      Good luck Amigos!
                                      Comment
                                      • ULTRANORTH
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 12-30-11
                                        • 57

                                        #1489
                                        yeah -1 seems best
                                        Comment
                                        • ULTRANORTH
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 12-30-11
                                          • 57

                                          #1490
                                          brisbane into ccm 2.30
                                          Comment
                                          • babypenguin
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 12-03-11
                                            • 17

                                            #1491
                                            my bets for the day;

                                            CCM-Newcastle over 2.5
                                            Brisbane -1
                                            Comment
                                            • MatI
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5200

                                              #1492
                                              chasing the 1st half bet -

                                              live bet-
                                              (Current Score 0-1) Central Coast Mariners AH -0.5,-1.0 @ 1.85
                                              Comment
                                              • MatI
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 5200

                                                #1493
                                                fuk me, got that bet in about 30 seconds before Penalty. Would have loved to have had that goal.
                                                Comment
                                                • Puda
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-26-10
                                                  • 1798

                                                  #1494
                                                  Whats happening with CMM>?>
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MatI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5200

                                                    #1495
                                                    not happening today...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MatI
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 5200

                                                      #1496
                                                      I should have given up on CCM earlier. 1-1!

                                                      Come on CCM, don't stop now!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Puda
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-26-10
                                                        • 1798

                                                        #1497
                                                        1-1 . oh well. this is why you go small on plays like this and wait for the value to cash.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Lookingtostart
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-25-11
                                                          • 1584

                                                          #1498
                                                          The Mariners/Jets and Roar/Sydney lines were tight. I capped them to be similar.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MatI
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5200

                                                            #1499
                                                            The missus was busting my balls, so missed a play before the start of the Brisbane game. Seems like she saved my ass this time. Brisbane down a goal.

                                                            live bet-
                                                            (Current Score 0-1) Brisbane Roar in-play AH -0.5 @ 1.85 - 1u
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MatI
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-17-11
                                                              • 5200

                                                              #1500
                                                              WOOOOOAAAAH

                                                              fukn amazing
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gotov
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 06-16-10
                                                                • 198

                                                                #1501
                                                                Guys what a fkn ending unbelievable
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gotov
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 198

                                                                  #1502
                                                                  Originally posted by MatI
                                                                  WOOOOOAAAAH

                                                                  fukn amazing
                                                                  Crazy I threw my ticket in the bin
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MatI
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 5200

                                                                    #1503
                                                                    Berisha is a madman. I love it! That was crazy crazy tv.

                                                                    This will be an interesting follow up. Thought they were just going to have to get them all off the field for a minute.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AllTimeHigh
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 06-12-11
                                                                      • 74

                                                                      #1504
                                                                      Hey, interesting scenes at the end of the game. What did actually happen? I missed the fight
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • gotov
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 06-16-10
                                                                        • 198

                                                                        #1505
                                                                        Yeh I loved it... U don't see it often in football, I wonder what Bossc said
                                                                        Comment
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