A-League Handicapping 2011/12

AllTimeHigh · 01-20-12, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by MatI

To be honest, im leaning Adelaide AH. I am expecting a draw in this one. CCM have nothing to prove and Adelaide will be keen to avenge the result from last time these two met. Adelaide lose and their season is over, they win, they are well in it still.

Also will continue to fade Heart i think.

I'm with you on Adelaide, Mariners losing form for every game at the moment. But Heart +0.5 is one of my favorite picks of the weekend (fancy Tottenham a lot too). Roar on the road is a totally different team and they are not comfortable playing against teams that doesn't let them play their game. Heart will provide pressure, just like Sydney did last time in the first half.

BigTimeWinner · 01-20-12, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by AllTimeHigh

I'm with you on Adelaide, Mariners losing form for every game at the moment. But Heart +0.5 is one of my favorite picks of the weekend (fancy Tottenham a lot too). Roar on the road is a totally different team and they are not comfortable playing against teams that doesn't let them play their game. Heart will provide pressure, just like Sydney did last time in the first half.

Heart played very good the last game and if they hadn't missed a trillion chances they would've won the game vs mariners by 3-4 goals difference

I agree that they can easily win this game even though brisbane are a good team, but at times they don't seem to work as a team what will create more chances for heart and hopefully they'll score some goals this time.

What do you guys think of under 2.5 on the marines-adelaide match ?

Puda · 01-20-12, 11:54 PM

Done my calculations, have it like this. CMM & Roar slightly as favorites.. .mmmm... will post plays soon.

Puda · 01-21-12, 12:21 AM

i'm not playing either games... not convinced..

MatI · 01-21-12, 12:28 AM

my play -

Adelaide United (+0.5,+1.0) @ 1.885 - 1u

BigTimeWinner · 01-21-12, 12:38 AM

guys out of topic, one thing that bothers me, why do they use those simple chairs as a 'bench' for the reserves? is that part of a tradition or they can't afford upgrading lol

Bluedragon · 01-21-12, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by BigTimeWinner

guys out of topic, one thing that bothers me, why do they use those simple chairs as a 'bench' for the reserves? is that part of a tradition or they can't afford upgrading lol

It's probably the latter but those involved will claim the former.

I like the fact that Bet365 streams all of these in GREAT condition. I will prob throw some on CCM ML and the BTS and then just watch the match and live-bet for fun before I fall asleep lol. Have to go to a wedding with my girl tomorrow, will be drinking heavier than everyday and need a bit of rest. Hopefully I can lay my head on bills by the time I sleep lol.

Hope everyone does well. Whatever isn't made tonight can be returned 10-fold tomorrow with the 100+ assessable matches

MatI · 01-21-12, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by BigTimeWinner

guys out of topic, one thing that bothers me, why do they use those simple chairs as a 'bench' for the reserves? is that part of a tradition or they can't afford upgrading lol

There wasn't much money in the league to start with, and things havent changed too much! Slowly, slowly.

I much prefer the A-League benches to the ones you see in EPL. They look silly sitting in those car seats.

Bluedragon · 01-21-12, 01:00 AM

Originally posted by MatI

There wasn't much money in the league to start with, and things havent changed too much! Slowly, slowly.

I much prefer the A-League benches to the ones you see in EPL. They look silly sitting in those car seats.

i've always wondered how may people are sitting in back-breaking seats during their couple-hour commute to work everyday whilst average football players are in top-notch racing sets built for comfort, circulation, stability, etc.

Puda · 01-21-12, 01:17 AM

Its because, as Mario Batoletti would say, 'its cause were poor'

BigTimeWinner · 01-21-12, 01:36 AM

lol no offense, but I have a couple of those in my backyard and rarely ever use them ... I started following the a-league 2 weeks ago so it was something that I've never seen before even in the lowest divisions in all other leagues, but hey who cares, as long as we can win our bets

we wanna make the managers comfortable dont we :P

BigTimeWinner · 01-21-12, 01:49 AM

CCM nice goal

Hell yea

1-1 , I took over 2.5 before the game

a-league FTW

hahahah well that was a QUICK over 2.5 right there. Adelaide will win this match seems like ..

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 01:52 AM

high scoring game on hand it appears.

MatI · 01-21-12, 01:55 AM

fuk me. Leave the tv for 5 mins and miss 3 goals!

Puda · 01-21-12, 02:13 AM

CMM has hit a mini slump (even if their winning).. I wanted to fade them today, but couldnt pull the trigger.

3 goals already, more should follow.

MatI · 01-21-12, 02:18 AM

Originally posted by Puda

CMM has hit a mini slump (even if their winning)..

Very much agree mate. They are still doing well by keeping opposition goals to a minimum but they are not in the best of form at the moment. And there is no pressure on them at the moment with the points gap they have over 2nd place. This was a perfect time to fade them IMO.

At this stage, Bribane Roar & Melb Heart (only once Fred re-joins), are the danger sides.

my 2 cents.

gotov · 01-21-12, 02:33 AM

I think Heart will have plenty of chances again the likes of Duganzic & Behich will rip the flanks
as roar backs like to go forward.... should be a cracker
Might do some fun bets like Nichols or Paartalu to score first

gl

MatI · 01-21-12, 03:06 AM

how the hell does the linesman think that is offside! crazy.

AllTimeHigh · 01-21-12, 03:11 AM

This is ridiculous

MatI · 01-21-12, 03:14 AM

speechless...

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 03:18 AM

tough beat for whoever had adelaide. They really dominated the 1H and deserved to get the win here.

MatI · 01-21-12, 03:20 AM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

tough beat for whoever had adelaide. They really dominated the 1H and deserved to get the win here.

It shits when teams play defensively in the 2nd half with only a 1 goal lead. Will almost always lead to disaster.

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 03:27 AM

I agree, but on the bright side the next game gives you a chance to redeem your losses.

MatI · 01-21-12, 03:28 AM

Indeed, only lost a half unit with a push on half the AH.

played this a little earlier on Pinny.
Brisbane Roar (0, -0.5) @ 1.909 - 1u

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 03:33 AM

not bad. I think the roar might have one of their more entertaining matches in this one. At least I am hoping as I am on the O2.5-3 even money

MatI · 01-21-12, 03:34 AM

Yeah I think so too. I got too distracted with that previous game but I was going to say I think Roar will be still buzzing from their win last weekend. They will come on hard and early.

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 03:37 AM

I get very tired trying to predict which team will win in this league. It seems endings like the previous one happen more often then not in this league. The roar 2 goals in ET for another example. I was on a draw a few weeks ago which had a 2-0 scoreline. Other team came back to tie it 2-2 with about 10 minutes left, and 1 minute later boom! 3-2 just like that... It is exhausting losing bets like those.

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 03:43 AM

the line on the total just jumped against me... not what I wanted to see.

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 04:30 AM

A missed PK by the roar. Didn't even put it on net! Man I am not having good luck.

Lookingtostart · 01-21-12, 06:07 AM

A-league has been bad for me too, I should just blindly bet underdogs. Flipping a coin at more than $2.00 price is common sense

.

MatI · 01-21-12, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by MatI

Indeed, only lost a half unit with a push on half the AH.

played this a little earlier on Pinny.
Brisbane Roar (0, -0.5) @ 1.909 - 1u

I ended up getting called into work last night just after kick-off, so missed the game completely. Push & Loss on the play AGAIN!

Only lost a unit on the day but feel like I got raped.

I haven't had much chance to cap todays games properly but gut tells me Sydney & Perth.

FindTheLock · 01-21-12, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by MatI

I ended up getting called into work last night just after kick-off, so missed the game completely. Push & Loss on the play AGAIN!

Only lost a unit on the day but feel like I got raped.

I haven't had much chance to cap todays games properly but gut tells me Sydney & Perth.

man the roar should have won that game. They missed a PK and a million other chances during the game. It was one of the worst beats I've ever seen for the over and the roar bettors.

MatI · 01-21-12, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

man the roar should have won that game. They missed a PK and a million other chances during the game. It was one of the worst beats I've ever seen for the over and the roar bettors.

Just reading up on the game now. Brutal. And Berisha can't even hit the target on a PK! He deserves another week ban for that!

Puda · 01-21-12, 08:35 PM

2 games today, have GC oh so slightly as favs, likely draw - not playing this game.

at have Perth as small favs, ml worth the play likely draw.

have not liked this round.. cant pull the trigger on coin toss games.

BigTimeWinner · 01-22-12, 12:28 AM

sydney - gold coast under 2.5 @1,855
melbourne - perth over 2.5 @1,962

odds from 5Dimes.

Simply hoping there will be no more than 2 goals as in most of the a-league games recently. I've usually gone for the overs but that's why I got burned most of the time. on the first one I expect gold coast to defend with more players and we all know the difficulties that sydney have to score goals.
The other one is simply based on nothing, so its gonna be either hit or miss.

GL all, post your suggestions