GL EP - i'm leaning away win in that one - hate the juice on the over but it's the obvious play
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PLAY #108
Had to wait until late, but got it. 2-1 Blackpool.
Record: 55-52-1 [-3.56]
Draw Project Plays: 13-27 [+3.69]Comment -
PLAY #109: [ITALY SERIE A] CHIEVO-INTER MILAN UNDER 2.5 [-167]
Crazy chalk, but the situation warrants. Chievo has scored four goals in six home matches and yielded four. Inter has just five road goals and has allowed just three. Inter has now played eight straight Serie A matches to totals of two goals or less. Chievo comes into this match with no goals in their last four matches in league play and just one goal allowed, while Inter hasn't scored more than one goal in a match since September. Has the makings of a 1-0 or 1-1 match at worst I think, so chalk me up. If you can find a split 2.5/2 line, I think that makes the best sense.Comment -
Good luck tomorrow!Comment -
Screwed by a 90th minute goal. Guess that was due.Comment -
Record: 55-53-1 [-5.23]
Draw Project Plays: 13-27 [+3.69]
PLAY #110: [ITALY SERIE B] NOVARA-REGGINA OVER 2/2.5 [+100]
Novara has scored two goals or better in six of their seven home matches in Serie B this season. Reggina has scored at least one goal in five of their seven road matches and have just one clean sheet on the road. Novara has yielded just three goals at home this season, but Reggina is tied for 2nd in road goal scoring so it is possible they could help the cause here especially with Novara without a clean sheet in their last three overall. I think the worst case here is 2-0 Novara and a half stakes loss, but am hopeful the third goal will be found.
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PLAY #110
'Twas a tasty treat.
Record: 56-53-1 [-4.23]
Draw Project Plays: 13-27 [+3.69]
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PLAY #111: [CHAMPIONS LEAGUE] ROMA vs. BAYERN MUNICH OVER 2.5 [-118]
Roma comes into this match in a good run of form overall and has tallied multiple goals at home in five of their last six matches in all competitions. They have conceded in four of those six and in Champions League play, have not kept a clean sheet in four matches. Bayern Munich comes in with injury worries, but pretty decent form in spite of that as far as results go. They have gone unbeaten in their last nine overall. In Champions League play, the German side is already clinched for the knockout stages. They have managed multiple goals in all four CL matches, including their 2-0 home win vs. Roma. They have been a bit hit & miss with goal scoring on the road since domestic play began, but have scored at least once in six of nine road matches. Roma played an unlikely defensive style of play when these two met back in September. At home and in need of a win to help push them toward KO stage qualification, look for Roma to come out punching offensively.Comment -
Good Luck EP ... On ROma today.Comment -
TUESDAY CHAMPIONS LEAGUE DRAW PROJECT
BRAGA-ARSENAL +230
PARTIZA BELGRADE-SHAKHTAR DONETSK +240
Arsenal needs just a draw to work through to the KO stages and with their injury concerns, that might suit them just fine against the road vs. Braga with a weekend tilt on the road against Aston Villa looming. Braga for their part you'd expect would be keen to show they are not the side that Arsenal thrashed 6-0 earlier in this competition. Braga needs a result to keep any hope alive of advancement and even that will depend on the outcome in Belgrade. Partizan has failed to gain a result in the CL and that will likely be their rallying cry to day in their final CL home match. Shakhtar Donetsk certainly would like to get a win to keep pace with Arsenal at the top of this group, but they are likely focused simply on gaining the club's first ever spot in the KO stages which could be done with a draw today and an Arsenal win.Comment -
Record: 57-53-1 [-3.23]
Draw Project Plays: 13-29 [+1.69]
Total hit pretty easily, but disappointed with the draw project today. Arsenal really blew it late.
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PLAY #112: [CHAMPIONS LEAGUE] RUBIN KAZAN-COPENHAGEN UNDER 2.5/2 [-125]
Cannot bring myself to juice up to -175 for UNDER 2.5, so going with the split line which should still offer a solid shot of winning something. In the group stages in eight combined matches played, these two teams have never played a match that has seen more than two goals. Rubin Kazan has just one goal scored in those matches and has only conceded two goals, one came against Copenhagen in a 1-0 Copenhagen win. Copenhagen has scored in three of their four CL matches, but has managed clean sheets twice. Copenhagen needs just a result today in Russia to guarantee a pass to the KO stages, so they should be prepared to again play a low scoring match where one goal could provide the difference. Kazan needs a win to keep its slim hopes alive. I think this shapes up to be either 1-0 in either team's favor or hopefully 1-1 at worst on the draw and a half stakes win.Comment -
goodluck
on it too
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like it
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BOL
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PLAY #113: [CHAMPIONS LEAGUE] TOTTENHAM-WERDER BREMEN OVER 3/3.5 [+102]
Going a shade higher than the flat line of three to avoid the chalk. Tottenham has been on a scoring spree in all competitions with 13 goals in their last five matches. In the CL, the Spurs have scored at least two goals in each match in the Group Stages with three or more in three of those. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in all four matches and have gone eleven straight matches overall without a clean sheet. Werder has struggled mightily with 15 goals yielded in their last five overall and nine in the four Group Stage matches with no clean sheets. With a struggling Werder defense and a hot Tottenham offense, I think this one finds three goals minimum with a shot to get the four needed to clear this for a full stakes win.Comment -
Werder won't score.
Pizarro, Arnautovic, Almeida sidelined. Wagner only striker for bremen, maybe Testroet from Werder II.
Could still end 5-0 so the over is more than possible. I do see more value in Tottenham -1,5 though.Comment -
I'm not touching Tottenham even though it seems very obvious they should crush Werder. It's a huge public play and SBR play which often times does not pan out well. Good luck though! I'll take that 5-0, or 4-0!
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van der vaart out not sure that over hits...im looking at tottenham/valencia ml parlay pays -135 ishComment -
Record: 58-54-1 [-2.73]
Draw Project Plays: 13-29 [+1.69]Comment -
PLAY #114: [ENGLAND PREMIER] BOLTON-BLACKPOOL OVER 3 [-111]
Good mix here for some goals. Bolton has been in solid form scoring of late with 13 goals in their last four matches in the EPL. At home, Bolton has multiple goals in five of their last six and they have conceded in six straight. Blackpool has been hit & miss on the road, some matches finding their offense, some matches, getting pounded on defense. In their last five on the road, they have conceded ten goals. Overall, they have conceded in nine of their last ten while scoring in ten of their 14 EPL matches. This one should set up for at least three and a shot at four to clear of the push.Comment -
Good luck with this one EP - Blackpool will never sit back all season, so there will be plenty of chances todayComment -
I like it!Comment -
PLAY #114
Record: 59-54-1 [-1.73]
Draw Project Plays: 13-29 [+1.69]
Late goals are loverly.
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PLAY #115: [FRANCE LIGUE 1] BORDEAUX-LILLE OVER 2/2.5 [-105]
Goals have been plentiful in both these squads games in recent times. Bordeaux has conceded in five straight overall. At home, they have scored in all but one of their seven matches in Ligue 1 and have conceded four goals in their last three at home. Lille has been superb offensively in their last three in league play with ten goals scored. They have conceded in eight straight. Six of Lille's seven road matches have seen totals hit two goals or better. Big clash in France and I can see both scoring with the form that both squads carry. Lille has the power to score multiple times and likely will be the difference in getting this off a total of two goals, I think.Comment -
Nice hit on the EPL over
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Record: 59-55-1 [-2.26]
Draw Project Plays: 13-29 [+1.69]Comment -
Got an opinion on Real/Barca EP?Comment -
PLAY #116: [BULGARIA PREMIER] LOKOMOTIV PLOMDIV-CHERNOMORETS BOURGAS UNDER 2.5/2 [-111]
Two very stingy defenses here. Plomdiv has conceded just three goals in six home matches. Bourgas has yielded just two goals in six road matches. Plomdiv at home has been very hard to hold down with multiple goals yielded in five of six. Burgas though has seen totals of two or less in five of six on the road. They have not scored a goal in three of their last four on the road and have not conceded in four of their last five away from home. Overall, ten of their 14 matches overall in league play have hit for two or under.Comment -
Record: 60-55-1 [-1.76]
Draw Project Plays: 13-29 [+1.69]
Half stakes winner on the 2-0 final score.
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PLAY #117: [TURKEY SUPER LIGA] KAYSERISPOR PK/+0.5 [+121]
Meeting of two of the top three squads in Turkey's top league. Kayserispor is in fine form, having not dropped points in eight straight. Bursaspor has failed to take full points in three straight at home. Kayserispor has taken points in five of their six on the road this season. Both teams have been solid defensively with Kayserispor allowing the least goals in the league at six and Bursaspor tied for second least at nine goals allowed. Bursaspor may have a bit better goal scoring numbers, but at home they have struggled to put them in the net with just seven goals compared to 16 scored on the road.Comment -
EL CLASICO SPLIT PROFIT PLAY
Taking two positions here at plus money with the hope of nailing a small profit here. It's not a huge profit, but it's a profit.
UNDER 2.5 [+120]
OVER 3/3.5 [+155]
It's been nine meetings since the last time El Clasico ended with exactly three goals. Combined in La Liga this season, these two have played 24 matches with just five landing exactly on three goals. Taking a shot.Comment -
what happens if its 2-1?Comment
