Record: 44-46 [-7.59]
Draw Project Plays: 10-18 [+5.86]
No shit, I'll take what I can get!
Draw Project Plays: 10-18 [+5.86]
No shit, I'll take what I can get!
-
Comment -
TUESDAY CHAMPIONS LEAGUE DRAW PROJECT
VALENCIA-RANGERS +325
TOTTENHAM-INTER MILAN +215
The usual, looking for the split and profit. I think Rangers are going to look to play a tight, dull defensive match and look for another point that will keep them ahead of Valencia and geared toward advancement out of the group stages. Both teams have Bursapor and Manchester United left in the group stages, so this could be the deciding match barring a shock result down the stretch. Valencia have not exactly sparkled at home in domestic play, while Rangers are usually a quality traveler in Europe in these situations. Inter & Tottenham played a wild one in Italy, 4-3 Inter winning but Tottenham scoring three goals down a man. The English side figures to be confident as a result now at home. Inter should be eager though to gain a result today that keeps them in 1st, three points ahead of Tottenham. With goalie Julio Cesar out, I think Inter will keep it fairly vanilla today. Tottenham also starts their backup, so both might be somewhat careful early.Comment -
gl.Comment -
Record: 44-46 [-7.59]
Draw Project Plays: 10-20 [+3.86]
Tailspin.
Comment -
That one was toast. Today was probably just a bad day to bet, my head wasn't into it during the day so I probably pressed. Oh well, shit happens. Tomorrow is another day.Comment -
PLAY #91: [CHAMPIONS LEAGUE] CHELSEA-SPARTAK MOSCOW UNDER 3 [-113]
Chelsea had little problem disposing of Spartak Moscow on the road, winning 2-0 when they met. Little trouble is expected today as they play on their home pitch with a chance to pretty much book a spot in the KO stages. They may also have an eye on the weekend EPL clash on the road with Liverpool, so Chelsea likely will concentrate on simply getting the full three points and not worry about style. Thinking 3-0 might be the worst case and believe a repeat 2-0 win would suffice for the English side.
PLAY #92: [CHAMPIONS LEAGUE] AJAX PK -104
Ajax is on the road against a depleted Auxerre side that is missing a couple of key strikers. Auxerre is already in huge trouble with no points in the group stages, so they face a must-win here without a full squad. Ajax meanwhile are battling AC Milan for 2nd in their group and need a positive result to keep pace with the Italians. With Milan playing host to Real Madrid, Ajax could take sole position of 2nd place if Madrid helps them out by taking at least a point today. Therefore, Ajax should be keen to repeat the home win against Auxerre to get that full three points. I think at worst, they can earn a draw today.Comment -
good luck today eagles..
here are some coins.. go toss them on a parlay for your Champions League today..Comment -
Thanks bro. I'll be happy to go 1-1 with the way things have gone in footy for me lately.Comment -
Fukk my life with these late goals. Thought I was going to be able to settle for two pushes. Think it's time to go back into hiding in soccer.Comment -
Record: 44-48 [-9.76]
Draw Project Plays: 10-20 [+3.86]Comment -
PLAY #93: [EUROPA LEAGUE] GENT-SPORTING LISBON OVER 2.5 [-118]
The Belgian side has not kept a clean sheet in any of their first three EL matches in the group stages, but they have also been able to tally goals in each. Only their 1-1 stalemate with Lille did not end up with more than three goals. Sporting Lisbon meanwhile have been devastating with 12 goals scored in their three EL matches, no less than two goals in any match and five in each of the last two. That includes a 5-1 pounding of Gent at home. Gent needs all three points today to have any realistic chance of remaning in the chase here, while Sporting is sitting pretty in this group. Sporting will be without some key players today, but I think they have plenty of quality to keep pace. I think both teams score and hopefully someone picks up that third goal.Comment -
THURSDAY EUROPA LEAGUE DRAW PROJECT
Steaua Bucharest-Utrecht +228
PSG-Borussia Dortmund +238
Comment -
Record: 45-48 [-8.76]
Draw Project Plays: 11-21 [+5.24]
Been a long time since the Draw Project worked, but snagged the split and profit today along with getting the OVER done in the first. First winning day in a bit. Tonight, we dine ... in hell!
Comment -
PLAY #94: [DENMARK 1st DIVISION] HJORRING-HOBRO OVER 2.5/3 [-118]
Hjorring has seen totals hit three or better in all six of their home matches. They have scored multiple goals in each of those matches and conceded at least one in each. Hobro has seen totals of three or better in five of seven away from home. They have tallied multiple goals in four of those matches and have only been shut out once.Comment -
play #95: [germany bundesliga] nurnberg-koln over 2.5 [-102]Comment -
Record: 46-49 [-8.94]
Draw Project Plays: 11-21 [+5.24]
A half-time winner, haven't had one of those in a loooooong time. GL this weekend dudes.Comment -
MONDAY DRAW PROJECT
RUBIN KAZAN-SPARTAK MOSCOW +235
ODENSE-RANDERS +301
In Russia, Rubin Kazan has been a tough nut to crack at home with seven straight wins at home. They have gone unbeaten in 12 straight in league play. Spartak Moscow comes in six points behind Rubin & CSKA Moscow for 2nd place. Spartak is unbeaten in eight straight in Russia's top league and have taken points in five of their last seven on the road. Seems easy to say Rubin continues their run at home, but Spartak is good enough to get a result. In Denmark, Randers are the road draw experts with five draws in seven road matches. Overall, Randers has gotten a draw in six of their last nine. Odense has been average at home with three wins, three losses and one draw.Comment -
Nice late goal from Kazan and the draw project already has profit locked up today. Now we can be greedy and hope to hit both.Comment -
Record: 46-49 [-8.94]
Draw Project Plays: 12-22 [+6.59]
Late goal burns the 2nd play, but still made +1.35 so that's gravy.Comment -
PLAY #96: [WORLD CUP QUALIFIER] COSTA RICA-UNITED STATES UNDER 5/4.5 [-112]
I think the books are playing on the whole "elimination" angle here for the USA in thinking that they are going to come out and bury Costa Rica. True, the Americans beat Costa Rica 4-0 just one week ago. However, that is a little misleading as the match was close [1-0] until Team USA broke it open with three goals in the last 22 minutes. Expecting the match to be called closely again which could fudge the USA's rhythm and see a disjointed match. There is some pressure here because if Team USA loses, they do not qualify for the World Cup. They are much more talented than Costa Rica, but styles and pressure I think make this around the same result as last time and an UNDER try for me. Also consider the USA has played 15 matches in the last eight months with only one going over five goals, two falling right at five and the rest finishing at four goals or under. Nine clean sheets for the US in that span. If they keep it clean tonight, I like this one to have a legit shot or they win like 8-0 and I look like a schmuck. DEGENERATE me.Comment -
Record: 47-49 [-7.94]
Draw Project Plays: 12-22 [+6.59]
3-0 USA. Cashola.Comment -
Almost back in black..!Comment -
Good job! Good luck tomorrow!Comment -
PLAY #97: [NORTHERN IRELAND PREMIER] CLIFTONVILLE-GLENAVON OVER 2.5/3 [-132]
Digging into obscurity here, but Glenavon's road matches set this up for a shot. Six straight road matches involving Glenavon have hit for at least three goals. They have conceded multiple goals in all of those matches, while scoring at least once in all seven of their road matches. Cliftonville has scored two goals or better in four of their six home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight at home.Comment -
TUESDAY DRAW PROJECT
STOKE CITY-BIRMINGHAM CITY +228
ABERDEEN-INVERNESS +222
Two early relegation sitters in Stoke & Birmingham. Stoke is in poor form with four straight losses. At home, they have managed a pair of wins, a pair of losses and a draw. Birmingham has netted three draws in five road matches and has worked a draw in two straight. In Scotland, Aberdeen desperately need a result to end their free fall that has them hanging already near the relegation zone. Aberdeen was crushed 9-0 by Celtic on the road and have just three wins in eleven matches this season. Inverness is in much better form with results in five of their last six. On the road, they are unbeaten with three wins and two draws. Aberdeen will be without their captain for this one, so they may well look to play for the draw.Comment -
Late goals everywhere but where I could have used one. Two draws looked like one was going to come home, but boned late. 0-3 for the day it appears, yay!Comment -
Record: 47-50 [-9.26]
Draw Project Plays: 12-24 [+4.59]
Comment -
PLAY #98: [ENGLAND PREMIER] WEST HAM-WEST BROM OVER 2.5 [-102]
West Brom has given up the 2nd most road goals in the EPL. The Hammers have managed one goal in each of their five home matches. They have yielded multiple tallies in three of five at home and have just one clean sheet in eleven EPL matches. West Brom has conceded in ten of eleven this season and have seen three goal totals or better in four of five on the road.
PLAY #99: [ENGLAND PREMIER] BLACKPOOL +1 [+105]
Blackpool may sport the league's leakiest defense, but Aston Villa may not be keen to take advantage as they have managed just two goals in their last five EPL matches. At home, Villa has only allowed one goal in five matches and has just two goals in their last four home matches after a three goal outburst to start the season. Blackpool has alternated good and bad on the road with three wins and three losses. In their wins, they have allowed one goal. In the losses, twelve. Consider that Villa has won by more than one goal in just one match this season, their first. Blackpool has only lost by more than one in one of their last six overall. I think a draw is very possible here, but would not be surprised if either squad won by a single goal either. Think Blackpool +1 makes sense on all accounts.Comment -
Record: 48-50-1 [-8.26]
Draw Project Plays: 12-24 [+4.59]
Crazy finish at Aston Villa. Looked like Blackpool was going to get the draw, but their D lets 'em down again. Got the push off that one at least.Comment -
THURSDAY SERIE A DRAW PROJECT
Taking a different approach to the draw with just one major match on the board today. Parma and Sampdoria meet in Serie A action. I favor the draw here as Sampdoria have been away draw masters with four in five matches this season and Parma has worked three draws in five home matches. Parma has been difficult to score on at home with three clean sheets, but they have managed just three goals and none in their last three on home turf. Sampdoria have scored in all but one of their road matches this season and have conceded in three of five. With Parma not having scored more than one goal in a match since their opener and Sampdoria scoring more than one in just one of their last seven, this one looks ripe for a low scoring affair. I don't much like the total of two though as I think it could fall exactly there at 1-1 and don't care to pay higher chalk for 2.5/2 or 2.5 on the total. Instead, I'm taking two exact draw scores and looking to snag the profit if one hits. The profit would be higher than taking +210ish on the draw line straight up. We'll see how it works out.
0-0 DRAW +614
1-1 DRAW +494
Comment -
If Wilford is correct, I think this will end in a draw rather than either team winning SU. You also point out a key stat, that is Sampdoria draws 4 of 5 on the road. Good luck. A draw here would be a sizable win.Comment -
If they stopped matches after 80 minutes this week, I'd have won about five more bets. Late goals have brutalized me this week. Fawk me. 84th minute today breaks a scoreless tie and what would have been a superb payout.
Record: 48-50-1 [-8.26]
Draw Project Plays: 12-26 [+2.59]Comment -
PLAY #100: [HOLLAND EREDIVISIE] WILLEM II-DE GRAAFSCHAP OVER 3 [+106]
The two worst defensive clubs in the league going head to head. Willem has allowed a league leading 23 goals at home, so even a poor De Graafschap offense may be able to take advantage. De Graafschap has been inconsistent on the road, having been shut out three times in six matches. The good thing is their defense has leaked multiple goals in five of six on the road. Willem II has tallied goals in five of their six home matches with multiple goals in half of those. They have conceded three or more in EACH home game. Only two of Willem's 13 matches in Eredivisie play have gone under three this season.Comment
