South Africa Opens World Cup Play Against Mexico

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    South Africa Opens World Cup Play Against Mexico
    South Africa Opens world cup Play Against Mexico

    All of the promotions and the hype will soon end as the 2010 FIFA World Cup finally gets underway Friday with host nation South Africa taking on Mexico in Johannesburg.

    In three days, South Africa will never be the same.

    The World Cup is about to make its first appearance on African soil, bringing the very best soccer players and millions of devotees from across the globe. It’s a far cry from 20 years ago, when South Africa was under white rule and Nelson Mandela had just been released from prison at age 71.



    It’s hoped Mandela will be well enough to make an appearance before Friday’s opening match (10 a.m. ET, ESPN) in Johannesburg between the host nation and Mexico.

    It would definitely be a boost for the South Africa players (known affectionately as the Bafana Bafana, or “The Boys”) if Mandela can be there in person. The team met the Nobel Peace Prize winner on Thursday, two days in advance of their international soccer friendly against Denmark, then they pulled off a mild upset with a 1-0 victory. South Africa was priced at +160 compared to +150 for Denmark and +225 for the draw.

    “It was so emotional to see (Mandela) there and everyone was so happy,” South Africa manager Carlos Alberto Parreira told Kickoff.com after the match. “I’m sure it helps the team a lot when we play.”

    Inspiration plays a huge role in sports, but as handicappers we can sometimes get lost in the numbers. Soccer is different. It is the greatest art form of all the familiar sports on our radar; goals are scarce, and success hard to measure beyond wins and losses. In the case of Tuesday’s match, the Bafana Bafana are on a 12-game undefeated streak (six wins, six draws), while Mexico went 11-5-2 in World Cup qualifying.

    This is a big test for South Africa, both organizationally and on the pitch. Mexico is No. 17 in the latest FIFA world rankings (released on May 26), while the hosts have moved up from No. 90 to No. 83 and should rise even higher after their victories over Colombia (No. 35), Guatemala (No. 114) and Denmark (No. 36). But that still leaves a considerable distance between these two teams.

    And yet South Africa is only a small underdog on Friday at +175 to Mexico’s +145, with the draw (through 90 minutes plus injury time) at +225. Even with South Africa’s recent performance and what’s sure to be a patriotic effort in the works, those soccer betting odds are pretty generous to the host nation. Mexico is fresh off a 2-1 win over the 2006 champions from Italy, who were trying out their 4-2-3-1 formation and clearly weren’t happy with the results.

    Granted, Italy appear to be a shell of their former selves, with little fresh blood to replace their aging stars. And Mexico (nicknamed El Tri, referring to the nation’s tri-color flag) did lose 3-1 to England and 2-1 to the Netherlands the week before. However, those are World Cup contenders we’re talking about. Mexico can also boast a recent 1-0 victory over No. 18-ranked Chile.

    Manager Javier Aguirre has done a fantastic job assembling this team since taking over last year from Sven-Goran Eriksson. Aguirre stepped in under similar circumstances in 2002 and guided Mexico to the Round of 16, where they lost to the United States. El Tri got a taste of revenge last year by annihilating the Americans 5-0 for the Gold Cup – their first win on U.S. soil since 1999. That victory was against what would have to be described as America’s B-Team, but since then, Mexico has clearly become the class of the CONCACAF region.

    A draw would be something of a moral victory for South Africa in this matchup, and sharp handicappers are well aware of the value in taking the result nobody wants to see. A goalless draw would pay off at 11-2 on the exact score prop; so would another 1-0 victory for Mexico. May the Jabulani bounce your way on Friday.
  • jayc88
    Restricted User
    • 12-30-07
    • 6785

    #2
    mexico pk is the play here ,
    south africa won't win this game
    Comment
    • Raven66
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-21-09
      • 824

      #3
      I'm taking Mexico as well.

      We are talking about S.A here, and home field will not make a difference for them.
      Comment
      • JustinBieber
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-16-10
        • 324

        #4
        Homefield advantage is worth 0.6~goals in international football as far as I know. However I have mexico as a 1 goal favourite so I bet pk mexico a long time ago
        Comment
        • cro
          SBR MVP
          • 09-16-09
          • 1088

          #5
          South Africa pk
          and
          OVER 2

          mexico is a nobody at this worldcup
          Comment
          • jscar3
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-10-09
            • 130

            #6
            Originally posted by cro
            South Africa pk
            and
            OVER 2

            mexico is a nobody at this worldcup
            a draw is not out of contention
            Comment
            • Slainte
              SBR MVP
              • 12-13-09
              • 2442

              #7
              SA all the way to the quarters, The power (FIFA) and the home crowd, blowing the god damn vuvuzelas, are with them Friday. Bafana-bafana wins this 1-0
              Comment
              • RockyS
                Restricted User
                • 03-23-10
                • 1091

                #8
                Watching opening game will be pain in the ass(ears) as those vuvuzelas are loud and over the tv it doesn't make sense what are they playing. It sounds like Mosquito flying over your head
                Comment
                • waco66
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 1645

                  #9
                  mexico baby!
                  Comment
                  • MC PICKS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-10-10
                    • 6644

                    #10
                    I got mexico +145 last week when the lines first came out.
                    Comment
                    • SRBI
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-20-09
                      • 8393

                      #11
                      I definitely won't be backing SA that's for sure. Mexico looked hungry in their recent friendly vs. Italy. If they bring that kind of game vs SA, SA will have no chance. Fact! Mexico ML +169 at 5dimes does look kind of sexy.
                      Comment
                      • Powderguy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-18-09
                        • 6939

                        #12
                        Mexico PK is pretty safe
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82838

                          #13
                          Mexico has been advancing to the knockout stages of the World Cup since 1986 (6 consecutive World Cups) and out of these 6 times they have only lost one time in their opener to Norway 1-0 in 1994. This was also the only time Mexico did not score a goal in their opener.
                          Comment
                          • cro
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-16-09
                            • 1088

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                            Mexico has been advancing to the knockout stages of the World Cup since 1986 (6 consecutive World Cups) and out of these 6 times they have only lost one time in their opener to Norway 1-0 in 1994. This was also the only time Mexico did not score a goal in their opener.

                            they have also never played on the african continent or the host on day 1

                            south africa is the form side.
                            Comment
                            • virus450
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 04-11-10
                              • 52

                              #15
                              First game for south africa will be very responsible one, so I think SA should win
                              Comment
                              • furjiko
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-06-10
                                • 72

                                #16
                                they got to win

                                home team has to beat mexico in the first game they got everithing the crowd and the fifa on his site
                                Comment
                                • SRBI
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-20-09
                                  • 8393

                                  #17
                                  LOL first you got the wave of Mexico supporters then you got the wave of SA backers.

                                  How the hell can anyone agree on this forum, ever? It's nearly impossible.
                                  Comment
                                  • Euphoria38
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-08
                                    • 1188

                                    #18
                                    South Africa's recent friendly form is fradulent, unless you think Thailand is a super soccer power. Mexico has played a tougher friendly prep coming into this facing England and Holland... both of which would be put > 4 goals up on S.A.

                                    More over the Columbia game was a bit of a contraversy. They were robbed blind before they played S.A. and then S.A. won in 2 bogus penalties. Is Steven Piennaar even playing in this cup? He hasn't been playing in the friendlies?

                                    As for the Mandela factor and home field advantage. That might last for the first 10 minutes or the first half. I'll put my stake in Mexican goal keeper Ochoa who is in all of the Allstate commercials =)

                                    VIVA LA MEXICO! VALGAME CON DIOS !!!!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Shark79
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-19-07
                                      • 11211

                                      #19
                                      OVER for me. And a slight wager on the Push.
                                      Comment
                                      • vitalyo
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-05-07
                                        • 1615

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Powderguy
                                        Mexico PK is pretty safe
                                        I agree . I believe it's gonna be low scoring boring game .Mexico has better quality players.

                                        GL.
                                        Comment
                                        • pavyracer
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-12-07
                                          • 82838

                                          #21
                                          Mexico will not be intimidated by the crowd. They are used playing in front of huge crowds. If Mexico scores first it can be a thrashing.
                                          Comment
                                          • Socrates
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-24-10
                                            • 923

                                            #22
                                            I'm not 100 percent positive on the result. On the one hand, Mexico have been playing great warm up matches against great competition. On the other, South Africa seem just good enough to trouble Mexico with the crowd/Mandela behind them to earn a draw.

                                            What confuses me is that Mexico never seemed rattled a week ago in one of the most intimidating soccer venues on earth, Wembley. So why would they be afraid of South Africa?

                                            I don't believe in my most honest opinion that Mexico will lose, but I don't know if they'll win. What worries me is the draw. Which, in itself, isn't a bad result for Mexico at all, all thiings considered. However I really don't want to lose my money putting my money on Mexico while watching what most likely will be a draw.

                                            The thing is, draws are a bitch to predict.

                                            So, a Mexico win, draw no bet would be perfect.
                                            Comment
                                            • constrictor
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 06-08-09
                                              • 668

                                              #23
                                              should I go huge on mexico?
                                              Comment
                                              • Imgoinhungry
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-31-09
                                                • 264

                                                #24
                                                Think I'm going with a small play on a draw. I can see SA just sitting back and playing solid D, hoping for a 0-0 draw.
                                                Comment
                                                • Ace_of_Spades
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-14-09
                                                  • 13518

                                                  #25
                                                  Draw seems the outcome if not Mexico win.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JOHON8
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                    • 7712

                                                    #26
                                                    If you have watched the last 10 games Mexico played, then you'd say they should destroy South Africa. But the last time they met SA beat them 2-1. This is football anything can happen, no one knows the right outcomes, but the best prediction is a Mexico win. Let's leave it at that and stop this bias BS from both sides.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigbank
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-19-09
                                                      • 464

                                                      #27
                                                      got to go with Mexico
                                                      Comment
                                                      • maersksealand
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-17-09
                                                        • 1673

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Raven66
                                                        I'm taking Mexico as well.

                                                        We are talking about S.A here, and home field will not make a difference for them.
                                                        How about the refs ? Remember, this World Cup is all about forcing the blacks and their "culture" on other nations throats, is all about politics and globalization. Did you saw how the refs made Italy the World Champions last edition of WC...or how 8 years ago the refs promoted an Asian team to the semifinals ?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wtf
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-22-08
                                                          • 12983

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by maersksealand

                                                          How about the refs ? Remember, this World Cup is all about forcing the blacks and their "culture" on other nations throats, is all about politics and globalization. Did you saw how the refs made Italy the World Champions last edition of WC...or how 8 years ago the refs promoted an Asian team to the semifinals ?
                                                          good point, every fukin call with goto SA fo sho

                                                          few penalties and this is all over
                                                          Comment
                                                          • camel
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-26-09
                                                            • 1711

                                                            #30
                                                            Leaning Mexico... will probably play Mexico too, but really depends on how much.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • maersksealand
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-17-09
                                                              • 1673

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by wtf
                                                              good point, every fukin call with goto SA fo sho

                                                              few penalties and this is all over
                                                              Comment
                                                              • camel
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-26-09
                                                                • 1711

                                                                #32
                                                                mmmmmmmm....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dark Horse
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-14-05
                                                                  • 13764

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Just how many of the 88,000 spectators do you think will be from Mexico? The vuvuzela noise will be deafening. Players will not be able to hear each other. The atmosphere will be insane. Sure, Mexico is the better team. But they will be lucky to get away with a draw here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sunde91
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 8325

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by maersksealand
                                                                    How about the refs ? Remember, this World Cup is all about forcing the blacks and their "culture" on other nations throats, is all about politics and globalization. Did you saw how the refs made Italy the World Champions last edition of WC...or how 8 years ago the refs promoted an Asian team to the semifinals ?

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Eleven
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                                      • 730

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I like the draw. Seems openers are always draws.
                                                                      Comment
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