Smogs English Football Thread

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  • BarcaKA
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-04-09
    • 3

    #211
    wow Notts
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #212
      The books NEVER lose!
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #213
        There's no other way to say this.........that was a massacre

        1-3-0 = -5.6 Units!!!

        I've taught myself a harsh money management lesson there. I guess i'll have to work extra hard during the week to cap next week's games and get it back up
        Last edited by Smogs; 09-05-09, 11:40 AM.
        Comment
        • Wilforth
          Restricted User
          • 05-10-08
          • 16309

          #214
          Terrible! You'll recoup it.
          Comment
          • Vreston
            SBR MVP
            • 03-12-09
            • 1428

            #215
            Originally posted by Vreston

            In Conference I think that Oxford is worth keeping an eye on. I've been following them from last year and they did not let me down often.


            Anyway I'll be keeping my eye on them to see how they do these first weeks.

            Just for the record, Oxford won away today 0-2. Unfortunately I didn't bet any soccer this weekend. Otherwise I might have put something on them.

            Don't worry about today Smogs. You'll get 'em next time!
            Comment
            • kengarou
              SBR Hustler
              • 08-08-09
              • 85

              #216
              Don't worry Smogs. Anyway i have a pick for this coming weekend EPL, take Liverpool to win Burnley on the 1 3/4 ball asian handicap. Burnley is gonna be in for a thrashing!
              Comment
              • Smogs
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-08
                • 4173

                #217
                Originally posted by kengarou
                Don't worry Smogs. Anyway i have a pick for this coming weekend EPL, take Liverpool to win Burnley on the 1 3/4 ball asian handicap. Burnley is gonna be in for a thrashing!
                Duly noted Kengarou
                I'll definitely look into it, i also feel a thrashing is on there
                Comment
                • Smogs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 4173

                  #218
                  Got nothing to do on this lovely Sunday so i thought i would get to work on my picks for next week so i don't have to worry about them midweek.
                  I'm definitely going to play Portsmouth DNB and Blackburn. I also may play Sunderland but i'm a bit unsure because i need to keep the strategy in mind and i have a third pick of Ipswich DNB over Middlesbrough. I can get 5/2 for that so i think that is definitely worth a unit as Ipswich have all the situational factors on their side, and i know Boro, we lose these games usually.

                  So far i am thinking 3 units on Pompey, 2 on Blackburn and 1 on Ipswich

                  I am going to leave the lower leagues for a while, they cause me nothing but heartache so i am going to keep to the better quality leagues.
                  Comment
                  • kengarou
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 08-08-09
                    • 85

                    #219
                    Additional picks for this weekend EPL and Championship

                    Sunderland versus Hull Take Sunderland on the asian handicap

                    Blackburn versus wolves Take Blackburn on the handicap

                    Boro versus Ipswich Take Boro on the handicap

                    Let's hope for an overall win! All matches at equal stakes. Good luck to all!
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Smogs

                      So far i am thinking 3 units on Pompey, 2 on Blackburn and 1 on Ipswich
                      If I were you, I'd reverse those units. I'd do:

                      3u on Ipswich DNB, 2u on Blackburn and 1u on Pompey.
                      Why? Bolton is a surprise team anyday! I don't trust a rather lame Portsmouth offense against Bolton. Just my 2 cents.
                      Comment
                      • Smogs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-08
                        • 4173

                        #221
                        Cheers wil, i just worked out what 3u on Ipswich would do to my bankroll, friggin' DOUBLE IT!!! lol. I like that pick a lot because Boro still have the injuries so i appreciate the input and i will change the structure to it. I picked the games out on Sunday but i still haven't played any.
                        Last edited by Smogs; 09-10-09, 12:12 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Smogs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-08
                          • 4173

                          #222
                          Ok, i have placed my wagers for the weekend and here they are:

                          Sunderland 0.75ah +100 2U
                          Portsmouth DNB -125 2U
                          Chelsea -250 2U
                          Preston -111 2U
                          Ipswich DNB +250 2U

                          Wil - i daren't put a 3rd Unit on Ipswich although i wanted to but i've taken Blackburn away completely. I know only one team from Sunderland and Blackburn will win and i hope i am on the right one.

                          Good luck this weekend everyone
                          Comment
                          • Johnny Hipster
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-23-09
                            • 66

                            #223
                            Hi Smogs,
                            what is your opinion on W.B.A. - Plymouth game? Im thinking about betting on W.B.A. on handicap. Crystal Palace - Scunthorpe is quite a good price on Crystal as well.
                            thx
                            Comment
                            • Wilforth
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-10-08
                              • 16309

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Smogs
                              I know only one team from Sunderland and Blackburn will win and i hope i am on the right one.
                              You're right!
                              Comment
                              • PortsDave
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 06-13-09
                                • 447

                                #225
                                Best of luck
                                Comment
                                • Smogs
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-08
                                  • 4173

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by Johnny Hipster
                                  Hi Smogs,
                                  what is your opinion on W.B.A. - Plymouth game? Im thinking about betting on W.B.A. on handicap. Crystal Palace - Scunthorpe is quite a good price on Crystal as well.
                                  thx
                                  WBA should roll in that one, the handicap would be a good choice. I was torn between Chelsea and WBA on which to bet this weekend and chose to trust the PL side, but WBA have far too much quality for Plymouth.
                                  I would never touch Scunny though, they are going straight back down

                                  Originally posted by Wilforth

                                  You're right!
                                  Glad we agree the lower end of the PL is pretty similar in the complete lack of quality lol
                                  Comment
                                  • Mendozaaaa
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-22-09
                                    • 391

                                    #227
                                    Nice work. Just wondering what are your thoughts on Hull City this weekend?
                                    Comment
                                    • Smogs
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-08
                                      • 4173

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Mendozaaaa
                                      Nice work. Just wondering what are your thoughts on Hull City this weekend?
                                      I've bet against them with two units, that's my thoughts on Hull

                                      They are bad and deserve to go down
                                      Comment
                                      • Smogs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-08
                                        • 4173

                                        #229
                                        It's great how my first bet on here won and my first NFL thread bet won

                                        I just can't seem to keep the consistency, currently at 57% on my spreadsheet
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasDave
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-03-07
                                          • 8056

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Smogs
                                          It's great how my first bet on here won and my first NFL thread bet won

                                          I just can't seem to keep the consistency, currently at 57% on my spreadsheet
                                          Damnit Smogs, if you take to winning American foots like you do English foots, you are going to put me out of business .

                                          Great call on the under though, I liked it as well! Good luck on all types of foots this week
                                          Comment
                                          • Smogs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-08
                                            • 4173

                                            #231
                                            Thanks dave, i am actually finding it really hard to find any othe NFL bets this weekend that i personally like, i may leave it out and just watch it. Depends how my soccer bets go i suppose
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasDave
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-03-07
                                              • 8056

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by Smogs
                                              Thanks dave, i am actually finding it really hard to find any othe NFL bets this weekend that i personally like, i may leave it out and just watch it. Depends how my soccer bets go i suppose
                                              Yeah, preseason doesn't tell us much of anything... the first 1-3 weeks are tough as we are till just getting to know the teams.

                                              But I didn't mean to hijack your soccer thread . You are owed some good bounces after last week's brutality!
                                              Comment
                                              • Johnny Hipster
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 05-23-09
                                                • 66

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by Smogs
                                                WBA should roll in that one, the handicap would be a good choice. I was torn between Chelsea and WBA on which to bet this weekend and chose to trust the PL side, but WBA have far too much quality for Plymouth.
                                                I would never touch Scunny though, they are going straight back down


                                                Glad we agree the lower end of the PL is pretty similar in the complete lack of quality lol
                                                Smog - I have read smwhere that Stoke will play with 5 men in defence (srry dont know where and Im too lazy to search for it ..) - that is the main reason for me to not bet on Chelsea on 1.40 with Jetbull. Handicap looks like a stupid bet to me

                                                u still go for it????????
                                                Comment
                                                • Vreston
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-09
                                                  • 1428

                                                  #234
                                                  Hope you took Oxford this week Smogs. They won again this time at Rexham.
                                                  Unfortunately for me I couldn't play it because I had to work all day.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smogs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                    • 4173

                                                    #235
                                                    Didn't take oxford, i've taken a break from the lower leagues, i ****ing hate those useless footballers down there, the lack of quality appals me. Any higher up league bets though Vreston and i willl definitely take your advice on board

                                                    Today i went 3-2 for a win of 0.6 Units. I am not happy though, it would have been over 2 Units but Pompey are ****ing atrocious and lost in the last minute that would have got me a push. Cheers Wilforth for making me downgrade them a unit However, Boro won convincingly so i lost on that bet, with mixed emotions of course.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Smogs
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-08
                                                      • 4173

                                                      #236
                                                      Who likes the NFL tomorrow, any sneaky bets?

                                                      I like Atlanta, Carolina and NO/Det Over 49, undecided what to take yet
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kengarou
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 08-08-09
                                                        • 85

                                                        #237
                                                        Congrats!

                                                        Originally posted by kengarou
                                                        Additional picks for this weekend EPL and Championship

                                                        Sunderland versus Hull Take Sunderland on the asian handicap

                                                        Blackburn versus wolves Take Blackburn on the handicap

                                                        Boro versus Ipswich Take Boro on the handicap

                                                        Let's hope for an overall win! All matches at equal stakes. Good luck to all!

                                                        Jackpot guys! Congrats to everyone who have followed!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kengarou
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 08-08-09
                                                          • 85

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by Smogs
                                                          Duly noted Kengarou
                                                          I'll definitely look into it, i also feel a thrashing is on there


                                                          Full time Liverpool thrashed Burnley 4-0 ! Congrats Smogs! A perfect jackpot!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smogs
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-08
                                                            • 4173

                                                            #239
                                                            Ken - keep up your tipping, fantastic work

                                                            I missed out the blackburn and liverpool tips and am kicking myself about it, i missed out on at least 5 units there.
                                                            I look forward to more tips from you Kengarou
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Smogs
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-08
                                                              • 4173

                                                              #240
                                                              Really thinking of betting Cardiff PK but i'm not sure, they are the right choice but do you go against a team that has won 5 straight? Hmmmm..... i'll go to bed and think about it. More than likely i will have a bet on the game by 11am GMT
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ZXCVBNM
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-17-08
                                                                • 1027

                                                                #241
                                                                This is a very interesting matchup and if anything I'd take the over. Both teams can obviously score anywhere and I'd be surprised if Newcastle played conservatively, it's not like they are afraid of any team in the league.

                                                                This is the ultimate coin-toss, obviously home field advantage counts but you can't guess this one.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kengarou
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 08-08-09
                                                                  • 85

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Moreover the Newcastle versus Cardiff game is on level ball asian handicap,which means this game can go either way round.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kmarinouofm
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 8437

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Smogs
                                                                    Who likes the NFL tomorrow, any sneaky bets?

                                                                    I like Atlanta, Carolina and NO/Det Over 49, undecided what to take yet
                                                                    check out the threads in the contest section.. some of the sharpest guys at SBR are facing off head to head right now in NFL..

                                                                    Here are my contest picks.. lets hope i start off on the right foot

                                                                    I am allowed to use opening lines for the contest.. but i tell you how my money got it, which in most cases is still doable.


                                                                    Miami vs Atlanta over 43 ( 3.3 Units)
                                                                    Dallas -3 (4.4 units) *its currently at 6pts everywhere.. buy it down to 3
                                                                    Baltimore -9 (3.3 units) * its currently 13.5 everywhere.. buy it down to 10
                                                                    Cincy pk (3.3 units)* is currently 6 pts everywhere.. buy it down to 3
                                                                    New Orleans -11.5 (3 units) * is currently 14 everywhere.. buy it down to 10

                                                                    wish me luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bigjonson
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-27-09
                                                                      • 668

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Personally I think Miami wins out right.

                                                                      Matt Ryan will lay a big egg.

                                                                      I think it stays way under 43 though.

                                                                      17-10
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Smogs
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-08
                                                                        • 4173

                                                                        #245
                                                                        The Villa game is currently 2 minutes in, if it's 0-0 after 15 mins i'm going to put a unit on Villa dnb

                                                                        Thanks for the outlook on the NFL guys, i think i'm going to wait a couple more hours, nothing is worth more than a unit or two so far


                                                                        15 mins gone - 1 Unit on Villa DNB to win 0.55 Units

                                                                        I needed the 15 minutes just to see if Villa were going to dominate the play, and so far they are
                                                                        Last edited by Smogs; 09-13-09, 06:20 AM.
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