Smogs English Football Thread

**Smogs** · 08-22-09, 07:41 AM

Go for it, Man Utd will win this game

**Smogs** · 08-22-09, 07:44 AM

In fact, i have just bet them myself -1ah for another 1.5 Units @ +101

**Smogs** · 08-22-09, 07:53 AM

0.75 Units on the OVERS in the Notts County and Dag 'n Red Match @ -124

**rpbrownie** · 08-22-09, 07:57 AM

Hey guys GL today I can get Man U -1 +113 on 5dimes looks like a go right? Plus its on ESPN2 in the states so i am looking forward to watching it.

**Smogs** · 08-22-09, 07:59 AM

Defo get that line, i only got +102 so you have even more value in it

**rpbrownie** · 08-22-09, 08:03 AM

Lets do this thx

**TurkzZ** · 08-23-09, 12:23 AM

nice going smogsy i see our Tuncay bagged your team a goal

**ATB515** · 08-23-09, 04:05 AM

im parlaying West Ham United, Burnley, and Chelsea today. Any way this hits?

**TurkzZ** · 08-23-09, 04:32 AM

Burnley to Beat Everton is a tough call

**Johnny Hipster** · 08-23-09, 04:53 AM

Czech shit league

Hey Smogs - Man U went well yesterday

I got a tip about Czech football league. Today Bohemians 1905 - FC Viktoria Plzen Bohemians is kinda Scunthorpe and Viktoria Plzen will try to finish as high as possible to go for Europe so to bet on Victoria Plzen 2,7 (Jetbull) is a price to go for

If you wanna be more sure with this bet go for 02 1,4

**Smogs** · 08-24-09, 04:16 PM

Currently at McCarran airport waiting for my flight home, my spreadsheet says i am now 10.25 units up, so not a bad weekend but having seen Man City up so early, i was hopiung for a 3-0 sweep of bets.
Johnny - thank you for offering me a solid tip, i missed it but i would not have bet it anyway simply because i've had a history of diverging into lesser known leagues and ended up losing in the long run. I have to know something for myself before betting it. So congrats on your win and if you have any English or Scottish bets i will trail you but i will not be leaving those leagues....not because i don't trust your insight, but because i have no idea what i'm throwing my hard earned on. Any British tips are most appreciated on this thread though so thank you

**Smogs** · 08-26-09, 04:34 AM

After a small winning weekend i was pleased but it could have been so much better. What made it a much better experience was the fact that Chopra scored again to lead the championship scorers table by 3 and also that included a win for cardiff who have tied up over half my betting bankroll for ante post bets. That is all looking extremely good but i have to continue a weekly good run so for this weekend i am eyeing up:

Stoke
Wolves
Everton - Lot of value believe it or not
Aston Villa/Fulham HT DRAW
Blackpool
Colc/Leeds UNDER
Rochdale
Bradford - Value Alert

**Smogs** · 08-26-09, 04:50 AM

And there is no way i can't have a look at Pompey at home at 11/2!!! that is screaming to get played on the AH +1

**Johnny Hipster** · 08-26-09, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

After a small winning weekend i was pleased but it could have been so much better. What made it a much better experience was the fact that Chopra scored again to lead the championship scorers table by 3 and also that included a win for cardiff who have tied up over half my betting bankroll for ante post bets. That is all looking extremely good but i have to continue a weekly good run so for this weekend i am eyeing up:

Stoke
Wolves
Everton - Lot of value believe it or not
Aston Villa/Fulham HT DRAW
Blackpool
Colc/Leeds UNDER
Rochdale
Bradford - Value Alert

I wouldnt bet on Stoke coz Sunderland seems like a decent side to me-Stoke shouldnt loose thats for sure...
Yep I like the Everton game
Why would u bet on Blackpool against Coventry? Isnt Coventry a better team?(I dont know too much bout Championship to be honest)
What means the Value Alert - u expect the price 2 go down??

**PortsDave** · 08-26-09, 03:01 PM

Stoke have an excellent home record and are very hard team to beat, i think it will be a close game

**Wilforth** · 08-26-09, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

And there is no way i can't have a look at Pompey at home at 11/2!!! that is screaming to get played on the AH +1

Over looks to me like the call in the Portsmouth game. Portsmouth at home are very unreliable. Man City on the road are unreliable. I don't see either side keeping a clean sheet, so Over is tempting. Mind you, Sol Campbell is off to Notts County. I don't know what's now left of the Portsmouth defense. I can't put money on Portsmouth as i think they're a prime relegation candidate. Man City on their part can't be trusted on the road. Just my 2 cents.

**Smogs** · 08-26-09, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by Johnny Hipster

I wouldnt bet on Stoke coz Sunderland seems like a decent side to me-Stoke shouldnt loose thats for sure...<br>
Yep I like the Everton game<br>
Why would u bet on Blackpool against Coventry? Isnt Coventry a better team?(I dont know too much bout Championship to be honest)<br>
What means the Value Alert - u expect the price 2 go down??

Here is why blackpool are a good pick, at home they are defensively very solid and more than likely they will keep a clean sheet against coventry, also, coventry love to start the season hot only to implode, such as they did against swansea earlier this week

**kengarou** · 08-27-09, 09:25 AM

Mind if i share some picks here as well for the coming EPL this weekend.

Bolton versus Liverpool
take Liverpool -1 ball on the asian handicap

Everton versus Wigan

Take Everton -3/4 ball on the asian handicap

Portsmouth versus Man City

Take Man City -1 ball on the asian handicap

Goodluck guys, tell me what you think ?

**ji03** · 08-27-09, 09:43 AM

Smogs, do you like Man City -1 today in the Carling Cup?

**TurkzZ** · 08-27-09, 10:14 AM

City looks tempting but i still dont trust them away, especially şn a cup game

**Smogs** · 08-27-09, 11:35 AM

I'm leaving tonight alone but i really like Steaua away at St Pats. I think you can get them @ 4/5.

Kengarou - I really like your Everton pick, a lot.

I would leave Man city alone tonight, not worse the risk i think

**Johnny Hipster** · 08-27-09, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by kengarou

Mind if i share some picks here as well for the coming EPL this weekend.

Bolton versus Liverpool
take Liverpool -1 ball on the asian handicap

Everton versus Wigan

Take Everton -3/4 ball on the asian handicap

Portsmouth versus Man City

Take Man City -1 ball on the asian handicap

Goodluck guys, tell me what you think ?

Im was thinking about Man City on the handicap as well but now Im not that sure....They are playing at Crystal now with their best players and when they had a game in midweek against barca - they were underperforming the second half against wolves .... of course u cannot compare barca and crystal but it is still 90min of a football game -

Your thoughts???

**kengarou** · 08-28-09, 01:53 AM

Thanks SMOGS and johnny, glad i have some support here.

Anyway, Johnny, I have a feeling that City playing on the road is so much better than playing at home, cuz they clear the spread so much better . Anyway , City already won Palace 2-0 away, this gives me the confidence that city is improving so much on the road now. Portsmouth is in a huge crisis, no more Crouch ,no Glen Johnson , no Defoe and now no more Campbell! I don't see Pompey standing a chance against City this weekend, just my 2 cents.

**Johnny Hipster** · 08-28-09, 09:04 AM

KENGAROU

You dont see any problem in Man City having only 2days to recharge their batteries? Anyhow, they should win, but the handicap might not be a good option... maybe

**Smogs** · 08-28-09, 09:29 AM

Guys - i honestly think that the only bet worth anything at all would be Pompey on the ah +1. If not that bet then nothing at all, simply because Hipster is right, they have played a lot lately and can they consistently win away from home?

To be honest, man city should win, but is it worth the 8/13 on offer??!! I say it isn't, i say it's not worth the risk and heartache if it's still 0-0 after an hour of play
No value at all and one to stay away from.

**Smogs** · 08-28-09, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

After a small winning weekend i was pleased but it could have been so much better. What made it a much better experience was the fact that Chopra scored again to lead the championship scorers table by 3 and also that included a win for cardiff who have tied up over half my betting bankroll for ante post bets. That is all looking extremely good but i have to continue a weekly good run so for this weekend i am eyeing up:

Stoke
Wolves
Everton - Lot of value believe it or not
Aston Villa/Fulham HT DRAW
Blackpool
Colc/Leeds UNDER
Rochdale
Bradford - Value Alert

I'm actually going about turn here and changing a couple of picks and just throwing some out.

Villa/Fulham Draw - 1 Unit
Everton - 1 Unit
Scunny/Preston/Watford - bit undecided how to deal with these - maybe a 0.25 unit treble? Or maybe 0.5 unit singles, we will see by tomorrow morning
Notts County - 1 Unit
Wycombe - 1 Unit
Dag n Red - 1 Unit
Crawley town - 1 Unit

I am really finding it hard to split all these teams and there is no way i play them all 'cos that = losing money.
The PL games are on the Sunday so they will not get played till just before K.O. but i need to play at most 3 games on Saturday and then assign a value so i know how many units to use.

**sjm5122** · 08-28-09, 05:18 PM

Smogs, What are your thoughts on taking liverpool -1 +104 tomorrow?

**Wilforth** · 08-28-09, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by sjm5122

Smogs, What are your thoughts on taking liverpool -1 +104 tomorrow?

While the prospects of Liverpool RL look good, I'd think we should stay off Liverpool for a while and see how they adjust to the absence of Alonso. I like the Over in the Liverpool game than either side.
IMHO, Stoke @ +125 at home offers very good value. Stoke are very good at home.

**Smogs** · 08-28-09, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

While the prospects of Liverpool RL look good, I'd think we should stay off Liverpool for a while and see how they adjust to the absence of Alonso. I like the Over in the Liverpool game than either side.<br>
IMHO, Stoke @ +125 at home offers very good value. Stoke are very good at home.

Yes, stoke is a very good pick, surprised i overlooked them tbh.
But yes - i think we should all be staying off Liverpool for a while, there are so many good betting opportunities this weekend that money on Liverpool would be unwise. However, they should beat Liverpool and if you feel strongly about it, Liverpool should still see off Bolton and have to really if they have any hope of winning the league

**kengarou** · 08-29-09, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by Smogs

Guys - i honestly think that the only bet worth anything at all would be Pompey on the ah +1. If not that bet then nothing at all, simply because Hipster is right, they have played a lot lately and can they consistently win away from home?

To be honest, man city should win, but is it worth the 8/13 on offer??!! I say it isn't, i say it's not worth the risk and heartache if it's still 0-0 after an hour of play
No value at all and one to stay away from.

You may be right, but i am sticking to my guns

I admit it is a risky bet , anyway i already placed my bets and there is no turning back now for me guys! Wish me all the best anyway!

**kengarou** · 08-29-09, 12:54 AM

I believe Liverpool can clear the AH, I already betted on them in advance as well, no turning back for me now, I just have a feeling they will nick it!

**sjm5122** · 08-29-09, 01:16 AM

alright, thanks for the input guys. I already had a bet on the liverpool -1 but i'll throw some money on the over and Stoke as well.

**Kimbu** · 08-29-09, 01:29 AM

new to soccer, is this all England leagues? thanks!

**Vreston** · 08-29-09, 05:01 AM

Hello Smogs!

I posted this pick last night in Karayilan's thread:

Nottingham Forest vs. Derby: Over 2.5 @ +105

What do you think? You're the Championship expert!

By the way, when I posted this, it was at 2.05 at bet365 while at the same time it was at 1.85 at bwin.

**Johnny Hipster** · 08-29-09, 05:35 AM

Who´s a butty?

Bolton - Liverpool hmmmmm the only thought that is stuck in my head is - DONT BE !!! AND BET ON LIVERPOOL WITH HANDICAP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! surely, its not 100% but its worth the risk for small stake + couple of additional matches