EP36's Equalizers

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #203: [English Premier] Arsenal/Chelsea OVER 2.5 (-101)
The last four in this series have all gone to 3 or more goals. Arsenal is still averaging a ridiculous 4 goals per home match through 5 PL matches. Chelsea's road matches average 3.34 goals. All 5 of Arsenal's home matches have hit for 3 or better. 5 of Chelsea's 6 road matches in the PL have hit for 3 or better. This looks solid for both squads scoring and likely that one or the other nets multiple goals.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 113-81-9 (+23.01)

Didier Droghba is the man!

[Bakerdew]

no you are the man EP

[EaglesPhan36]

LoL. Funny thing is this is the only wager I won all day with my "real" money. Rest of my day was a bunch of crapola.

[demize21]

ac milan hit also

[sockeye]

Congrats EP!

[bad-boy-6868]

congratz bro!

[SRBI]

LoL. Funny thing is this is the only wager I won all day with my "real" money. Rest of my day was a bunch of crapola.

Stick with what you do best EP, it's the only way to come out on top in the long run.

Keep up the good work.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah. Well I had a good run on college basketball to get above .500 after a rough start and I have done well with it in the past, won some unposted plays over Thanksgiving but when I come back and post plays again - they lose and the last one was the icing on the cake for a shit day on Sunday, I had an over at 134.5 - game finished with 134.

[SRBI]

Damn...I can digg it bro. I've taken some pretty bad beats last week as well.

Come back strong!

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #204: [Carling Cup] Manchester City vs. Arsenal OVER 2.5 (-125)
City is expected to field a strong side in this one with Adebayor garnishing a lot of attention heading into this one against his old club. Overall, City has scored 11 goals in their last 5. At home, 14 goals in their last 5. They have also conceded at least one goal in 7 of the 8 matches played on their home pitch in either Premier League or League Cup action this season. They have 9 goals in 3 Carling Cup matches this season, although one did come in extra time against Fulham. Arsenal will likely go with their youth in this one, but that should help the OVER cause with potential defensive breakdowns - although many of the Gunners' youngsters have played in important matches already. Two Carling Cup matches for Arsenal this season yielded 4 goals (all at home) with one conceded to Liverpool in their last match. With City struggling in the PL after their spending spree, the Carling Cup might be taking on added importance for their manager ... I think both squads score in this one and it appears likely that a multiple goal performance from one side or the other is highly possible.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 114-81-9 (+24.01)
Another clutch rally on an over. 0-0 at the half, three City goals in the 2nd half and the last coming in the 90th minute!

[Club]

Love hearing that bell ring right before the end of the match.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #205: [England Premier] West Ham United vs. Manchester United OVER 2.5 (-112)
Seems an awfully solid price for this one with West Ham being a goal magnet of late. 11 straight matches overall for West Ham have hit for 3 goals or more. A perfect 8 for 8 at home since domestic play began, hitting OVER this total. West Ham has scored multiple goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches in the EPL and 8 of 9 overall in the EPL. They have also yielded multiple goals in 6 of their last 8 EPL matches. Man U. has multiple goals in 3 of their last 4 overall and they've scored multiple goals in 4 of their 7 road matches in the EPL this season. With West Ham home matches averaging over 4 goals per match, it seems likely that even with Manchester United's stingy D that the home side has enough quality to score and Man U. is likely to score as well. Multiple goals seem on the horizon, likely for Man U. as they try to stay close to Chelsea near the top of the table.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #206: [Spain La Liga] Sevilla vs. Real Valladolid OVER 2.5/3 (-113)
Sevilla averages 2.17 goals per home match, yielding one goal. Valladolid gives up 2 per road match, while averaging 1. Sevilla has gone four straight in the league with 2 goals or better. At home, 4 of 6 have hit for at least 3 goals. Valladolid has conceding 6 goals in their last 2 league matches. On the road, they have scored in 4 of 6. Valladolid has also conceded in 5 straight, including giving up 3 or more in 3 of the last 4. With the way goals have flowed for Sevilla lately and the squad needing to keep pace with Real Madrid & Barcelona, look for them to put it on Valladolid. Sevilla should be good for 2 and I think Valladolid can score here. Quite a good opportunity that a 4th may come in as well.

[sprn]

Great call on the Hammers game

[SRBI]

Gotta love that team...2 goals in 2 minutes.

4-0

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 115-81-9 (+25.01)

Lovely way to start the weekend, also cashed that one in the SBR Sportsbook! Let's go Sevilla and goals!

[DBurton81]

lol

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 115-82-9 (+23.88)

Weak sauce that Sevilla couldn't get another goal up a man for the whole 2nd half. Them's the breaks.

[sockeye]

LASK Linz for today EP?

[SRBI]

LASK Linz for today EP?

That's what I was thinkin, and it looks like some odd line movement.

o3 was -130 last night and is now sitting at an even 100, maybe some starters aren't playing? I dunno..

[EaglesPhan36]

LINZ line I think mostly has to do with their opponent being a poor offensive club. Karnten has just one goal in their last 5. Also, LINZ scores less on the road than at home - but does give up 4 per road match. LINZ has given up road goals to even some of the worst offensive clubs in the league, 7 to Kapfenberger rings out as the 7 is half their home goal total for the SEASON. So it's bad offense vs. bad defense. I think it has a chance to get the push at least, but it's not a super play IMO. I will say that I have said any of their totals at 3 should be at auto play, so give it a whirl - but maybe scale your unit size back a tad. I'll take a small shot, but not going to have this as an "official" play because I think it's a tad risky.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #207: [Spain Primera] Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia OVER 2.5 (-109)
Bilbao is averaging just over a goal per home match, while yielding 1.5. Bilbao has been a solid scoring run with 12 goals in their last 5 overall, conceding just 4. 3 of their last 5 at home have beaten this number. Valencia has also been mighty of late finding the back of the net with 12 goals in their last 5, conceding 6 in that same span. Valencia has given up a goal in 6 straight. On the road in Spain's top league, they have scored 9 in their last 5 matches. In all competitions since their domestic campaign began, Bilbao has scored at least one goal in 10 of 12 at home, while conceding at least one goal in 9 of 12. Seems likely both will continue their scoring prowess in this with at least one goal and given the form of both, a second by one or the other or both seems a good probability.

[pinnerpsk]

Play #207: [Spain Primera] Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia OVER 2.5 (-109) Bilbao is averaging just over a goal per home match, while yielding 1.5. Bilbao has been a solid scoring run with 12 goals in their last 5 overall, conceding just 4. 3 of their last 5 at home have beaten this number. Valencia has also been mighty of late finding the back of the net with 12 goals in their last 5, conceding 6 in that same span. Valencia has given up a goal in 6 straight. On the road in Spain's top league, they have scored 9 in their last 5 matches. In all competitions since their domestic campaign began, Bilbao has scored at least one goal in 10 of 12 at home, while conceding at least one goal in 9 of 12. Seems likely both will continue their scoring prowess in this with at least one goal and given the form of both, a second by one or the other or both seems a good probability.

I was sweating this one out. No Goals at the half and Mathieu just knocks in the 3rd!

[pinnerpsk]

EP...What do you think about Newells vs Arsenal today? Im leaning just a bit towards the under....

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 116-82-9 (+24.88)

Man that was a heart stopper! Red cards and late goals and penalty kicks. Whew! I'm not real good at Argentina, I don't keep up with them a lot. Tough call as I see Arsenal is not good defensively on the road, so they may let in a few. Newell's at home have scored 2 or more I see in 4 of their last 5, I'd probably lean to an over but again I'm not great in that league.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #208: [Turkey Lig.1] Kayseri Erciyesspor vs. Altay OVER 2.5 (-108)
Kayseri is averaging almost 3.5 goals per home match, while Altay road matches average close to 4 goals. 4 of Kayseri's 7 home matches have hit for 3 goals or better. Not coincidentally, those have been the matches when their defense let in multiple goals. Altay has played to 3 goals or more on the road in 5 of 7. They have scored multiple goals in 3 of their last 4 on the road and in 4 of their last 6 away from home. They have also conceded goals in 6 straight on the road, the last three matches conceding multiple goals. Overall, Altay has gone 9 straight matches scoring at least once. Kayseri has gone 6 straight. Seems likely both will score and a third could be in the cards.

[sprn]

3rd goal scored with 20 minutes to spare

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 117-82-9 (+25.88)

Nice win on a slow Monday.

[Bakerdew]

damn I keep looking too late

[beefcake]

EP,been following your picks before i joined,great job man,i hope i can contribute some time in the future a well to the best soccer forum Ive seen.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #209: [Champions League] Marseille vs. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 (-136)
Marseille is up against it if they hope to move into the Knockout Stages as they need to gain victory today by three goals if Zurich is unable to shock AC Milan today. Knowing that, the French will need to play an open match and know that Real Madrid's back line is leaky enough to conceded some goals. Real for their part may choose to focus hard on this one as a shot to finish first in the group. With the Spaniards coming off a 4-2 win over Almeria, it appears that perhaps their offensive attack has refound itself. Prior to their match against PSG, Marseille has conceded a goal at home in 5 straight matches with 3 of these being multiple goal yielding matches. If you go back 20 matches on home turf, they have only been shut out once. Real Madrid played a tight 1-0 match against Zurich in their last CL fixture, but had scored multiple goals in 3 of their first 4 in CL play. It's always a bit risky to trust that Real has turned the corner offensively, but I think with the situation being what it is, multiple goals are highly possible today for the Spanish-side and Marseille looks like a good shot to score as well.

[RoagBettor]

EP, the over is -130 on BookF*cker. That's strange, because as we know BF'er usually has the worst soccer lines. Which book are you using for this bet?

[EaglesPhan36]

BetPhoenix ... my guess is since it's a Champions League day, BetP is seeing heavier action on these matches and just from looking around, this seems a popular choice today which may be why the juice is higher. Either way, I'd take it. I'm expecting the line to be only available as a split 2.5/3 or maybe just 3 by match time because I think this one is going to get pounded.