EP36's Equalizers

[TWEETS]

HEY DUMB ASS. YEAH EP, YOU! TRUST YOUR INSTINCTS.

This cracks me up, we are all guilty of it.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep. Already 4 goals. Oh well, still another half to go with the one I took. I'll root for a push because that's about as good as I can hope for on this one. Sometimes you just gotta F up to realize your instincts are where you need to go. Too bad it costs money to do this.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 106-76-9 (+21.97)
Horrible pick. Yeehaw.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #192: [Brazil Serie B] Bahia vs. Vila Nova OVER 2.5/3 (-123)
At home, Bahia is averaging 1.8 goals and conceding just over 1.3 goals. 11 straight at home have hit at least 3 for the total. Vila Nova is the 2nd most giving team on the road with 37 goals allowed in 17 matches. Of their last 8, 5 of them have hit for at least 3 goals. The ones that missed mainly due to Nova's lack of scoring prowess. That may not be a problem against Bahia who have allowed a goal in 12 of their last 13 at home (7 times for multiple goals). Nova has been in good scoring form (10 goals in 4 matches) before failing to score against America de Natal last time out on the road. Bahia's last 6 have seen totals hitting at least 3 in 5 of 6, while Nova has seen totals of 3 or more in 5 of 6 as well.

[Club]

Why didn't you have this over?

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 106-77-9 (+20.74)

Play #193: [UNDER 17 World Cup] Nigeria vs. Spain OVER 2.5/3 (-120)
Real light day on Thursday, but one to bang here. All of Spain's group stage matches and their two "playoff" matches have hit this total or much better. The Spaniards have only scored less than three goals ONCE in 5 matches and that was a 2-1 win over the USA in their first match in Africa. Nigeria have been equally deadly offensively with 14 goals in 5 matches. They have two clean sheets. Spain has none and allowed 3 goals to Uruguay in the quarterfinals. With that being said, expect both to light up the scoreboard and certainly both sides are capable of multiple goals to get this done all by themselves. Spain will be missing their Captain who got a red card last match, but he is not a goal scorer for this squad. Let's get back on track. If you like this one, I would think to get on it early as with the light card, action junkies will probably pound this price much worse by kickoff.

[kmarinouofm]

i like it.. i also took the over 2 goals in the ukraine match tomorrow

[Phillth]

spain. missing captain and starting midfielder. i like nigeria to win

[TurkzZ]

Updated Record: 106-77-9 (+20.74) Play #193: [UNDER 17 World Cup] Nigeria vs. Spain OVER 2.5/3 (-120) Real light day on Thursday, but one to bang here. All of Spain's group stage matches and their two "playoff" matches have hit this total or much better. The Spaniards have only scored less than three goals ONCE in 5 matches and that was a 2-1 win over the USA in their first match in Africa. Nigeria have been equally deadly offensively with 14 goals in 5 matches. They have two clean sheets. Spain has none and allowed 3 goals to Uruguay in the quarterfinals. With that being said, expect both to light up the scoreboard and certainly both sides are capable of multiple goals to get this done all by themselves. Spain will be missing their Captain who got a red card last match, but he is not a goal scorer for this squad. Let's get back on track. If you like this one, I would think to get on it early as with the light card, action junkies will probably pound this price much worse by kickoff.

sounds a good call, i was thinking along the same lines

[TurkzZ]

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 107-77-9 (+21.74)

'Twas a good day with the UNDER 17s eh TurkzZ?

[TurkzZ]

was a quite exceptional day with the u17's Eagles

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 107-77-9 (+21.74)

Play #194: [Northern Ireland Premier] Coleraine vs. Glenavon OVER 2.5/3 (-135)
I had just been looking around for something interesting to play today and well, I found it. Northern Ireland, the land of goals. Coleraine has played 8 home matches in Premier League play with 7 hitting for 3 goals or better. In those 7 matches, they have hit for 2 goals or better themselves, leading the league with 19 home goals. They have conceded a goal in each home match. Glenavon has seen totals of 3 or better in 6 of their 8 road matches. These two played a 3-2 match @ Glenavon in early September. Overall, Coleraine has 17 goals in their last 5 while giving up 10. Glenavon has scored 7 goals in their last 5, conceding 10 - that includes multiple goals by their opponents in 4 straight. Coleraine has gone 10 straight Premier matches with totals 3 or better. Glenavon has seen 3 goals or better in all but three of their 17 matches. Starts at 2:45pm ET for anyone who wants something look at this afternoon.

[TWEETS]

Needing something to put some action on, it looks good!

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah I was going to play the Argentina one Mats had the write-up on in his thread, but I looked around and saw this and it makes sense at least in theory!

[TWEETS]

We got a chance at a partial at least!

[akerber]

anybody is watching this game? Its good to sell this bet on Betfair?

[TWEETS]

Damn, there's 3 goals, might still have time to get the full stakes!

[akerber]

anybody is watching this game? Its good to sell this bet on Betfair?

I think is not necessary to sell now .

I beted live with 10minutes first time on betfair over 2.5 at 1.85.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 108-77-9 (+22.24)

I'll take the half stakes win on that one. Any time you have 0-0 at the half and get a piece of an over, you gotta take what you get!

[Club]

Never in doubt.

[Wilforth]

Updated Record: 108-77-9 (+22.24)

I'll take the half stakes win on that one. Any time you have 0-0 at the half and get a piece of an over, you gotta take what you get!

I wish one could have transferred one goal from the Bray/Fingal game to Coleraine game.

[EaglesPhan36]

Man if things worked that way, I do believe we'd be rich.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #195: [World Cup Playoffs] Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Portugal OVER 2/2.5 (-123)
Taking the slightly conservative approach here rather than taking plus odds on the OVER 2.5 as this one has the recipe for possible being 1-1 at the end. Still, Portugal heads to Bosnia with a 1-0 lead from the first leg, but the Bosnians should have loads of confidence that they can over-turn the 1st leg after hitting the post several times and squandering some other solid scoring chances. Bosnia knows that they must get one goal to even this up, but will also have to be weary of letting Portugal score as that would only pressure them that much more. At home, Bosnia has scored & conceded in 6 straight (3 WC qualifiers/3 friendlies). Portugal has scored in 6 straight WC qualifiers, so they seem a solid shot at getting on the board again & with a desperate Bosnian side needing to score, I think both get on the scoresheet here. The question being can one side or the other get that 3rd goal? And hence, my take for the split total instead of the outright at 2.5. An early Portugese goal would probably really open this match up as Bosnia would need to score a bunch!

[SRBI]

BOL w/ the play EP you know I'm on it!

[EaglesPhan36]

Loser on that one, but Ireland evened me out on an off-the-table play at +1. Dull scoring day.

Updated Record: 108-78-9 (+21.01)

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #196: [France Ligue 1] Marseilles/PSG OVER 2.5 (+108)
Marseilles has tallied 11 goals in their last two matches, one in Ligue 1 & the other in the Champions League. Their offense appears to be in high gear ahead of this important early clash with Paris St. Germain. 6 of Marseille's last 7 in Ligue 1 have hit for at least 3 goals and 7 straight have hit for at least 2. In 5 home matches, Marseilles have conceded goals in three straight matches (5 total) and have scored in all but on match. PSG won't be confused for an offensive juggernaut as they've been kept off the scoresheet twice in their last 5. However, on the road in Ligue 1, they have scored in 4 of 6. They have also conceded at least one goal in each match. The last three matches between these two have all gone to at least 3 goals. If Marseilles is anywhere near as good as they have been offensively in the last two matches, this has a great chance to get done. If you can find a split line of 2/2.5 ... I would think worst case scenario is landing on 2 goals and losing just half your stakes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 108-79-9 (+20.01)

Stale! Sucky couple days with nothing big to hit, but tomorrow is Austria play baby. Lask LINZ. Line looks juicy too. Will research to make sure, but the OVER is at 3 which is retarded for one of their matches. I know their opponent isn't great though.

[superduperjacob]

Let's go Linz, Eagles!

[EaglesPhan36]

PLAY #197: [Austria Bundesliga] Neustadt vs. Lask LINZ OVER 3 (-127)
You know the story, LINZ and goals go together like peanut butter & jelly. When they met at LINZ in August, LINZ won 4-2. Neustadt had been in a scoring slump, but has busted out in their last two home matches with 6 goals while yielding 6. LINZ concedes 4 goals per away match. They have given up 18 road goals in their last 4, while scoring 6. LINZ has only been kept off the scoresheet once in 7 road games, while Neustadt has just two clean sheets in 9 home matches. Seems a tasty recipe again with the push hopefully being our worst outcome. Get some!

[Phillth]

yup yup. gonna play this too

[EaglesPhan36]

Match post-poned.

[mariomonte]

PLAY #197: [Austria Bundesliga] Neustadt vs. Lask LINZ OVER 3 (-127)

No payday today: delayed due to fog.

[SRBI]

Aw what the hell, does that mean money back for the wager?

[mariomonte]

Aw what the hell, does that mean money back for the wager?

Usually yes, but it depends on the rules of your bookie; so you'll have to check them.