Stackzilla's Picks

**Stackzilla** · 06-09-16, 03:51 PM

got 3 solid picks tonight 2 of those picks are +$ picks if we sweep Vene/Uru game we catch -2 and then some.

**Stackzilla** · 06-09-16, 08:20 PM

And I'm buried after this one....pick back up and continue on tomorrow is another day

Copa Record 7-1-4 +3.54

Laying off Mex/Jam gonna grind out some poker $$ gotta get something back after today 0-5

**mohye1980** · 06-10-16, 01:52 AM

Yo stacks China super league game coming on in an hour. Undern2.5 -115 seems like a big unite play here man. Peep it out

Liaoning vs chongquin

under 2.5 1 unit

**mohye1980** · 06-10-16, 01:54 AM

Contemplating adding .5 unit on chong +.25 +120
and draw +270 for .25

**mohye1980** · 06-10-16, 02:03 AM

My bad it kicked off at midnight not 1

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 07:43 AM

Originally posted by mohye1980

Yo stacks China super league game coming on in an hour. Undern2.5 -115 seems like a big unite play here man. Peep it out

Liaoning vs chongquin

under 2.5 1 unit

Yea I checked this out yestertday afternoon and after talking to someone i know who knows that league well hr told me to stay away from games in China he said some weird stuff going on game fixing/ refs being paid and after seeing the closing lines this morning I believe him th o2 closed at -300 but it opened at +125 ive never seen a game have that much movement and it happened 30 mins to kickoff even the home team went from underdog to favorite in same span of time. I hope you didnt take the under.

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 10:49 AM

Holy hell I had an entire write-up ready and I wanted to check a few other stats and when I came back to the tab the write-up is gone....smh.....Ok Most Conceded goals I did some more research on this. This pick could possibly have best return out of all the props. Now my idea pick 5 teams with after research, probability,and some of my thoughts mixed in. Some may know I like to take risks if it means I can make $$$. Some may also know my risks have made some very good $$$ and if I was to look back I'm sure my winning risks out-weight my losers. If you can trust I've done the proper research here and laid out the best possible plans you need to tail this. I found out if more than 1 team is tied for most conceded goals we win each bet. So the possibility for all 5 to win is small but it could happen then there's also the chance these don't hit. If your ready to take a risk as I am we call enjoy some nice returns here. Your wager has to be the same for each pick or else this doesn't work. Ok here's the picks....

Germany +2599
Croatia +2064
Ireland +1852
Poland +1324
Czech Republic +914

To go into a little more detail I have looked at the last 2 Euro Cups as well as Qualifying rounds. First I would diagram out the tournament to find the top 5 teams then using those top 5 I'd compare that to qualfying rounds and there were a few patterns I noticed. So taking those patterns I then looked at this years qualifying rounds then comparing those to all teams in all groups. After identifying teams with highest probability and using some of my own predictions I then mapped out the entire playoffs to the final. Since this year's Euros are 71% knock-out games the most goals have a greater chance to be scored in these stages. Any questions or thoughts let me know perhaps I'm missing something or you have a different angle. BOL

**chuda** · 06-10-16, 11:19 AM

i would exclude
Germans... they just don`t get beatings, they concede goal or two on a bad day, but not to be worst defence in tournament...
Ireland... they relay on defense for years and it`s works, hard working, most games under`ish and they are likely not to get out of group, so pretty much in just 3 games to have Ireland as most conceded wouldn`t be my bet
if i had to chose from above teams, i would go for coin toss between Poland and Czech...
Poland my have extra game or two after group and suffer heavy defeat against strong opponent in 1/4 or something + germans put 3 past them recently and they might again...
Czech have one clean sheet in last 18 internationals and that`s against Malta ... buaaahahaha
but they might not even get out of group...

my 2 cent... maybe will give you some angle... GL

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 11:20 AM

Did you know that it is mathematically possible for a team to advance without winning, scoring a goal, and having only 1 point? Is it, 2/3 of this year's field will advance to knock-out stage. Now that doesn't mean that every game all we will see is defensive struggles with some counters mixed in of course we will see games plenty of games go over 2.5 but not today. Romania has a strong defense and even with France's many guns I really don't think this goes over 2 goals. I believe it's called parking the bus. Yes France is host team and they love to show off in front of fans(World Cup 98'), they also know they don't want to play overly aggressive for a full 90 this is a long tournament defenses will play tight and yellow cards may be few in these early games, (2 yellows = suspension), most of these teams can't afford to lose a starting player. I'm seeing France scoring early and then also late in game my picks....

France 1H -117
France/Romania u2.5 -127

BOL

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 11:28 AM

What if I told you past 2 Euros Germany was top 5 most conceded goals in each and in last Euro was only 2 behind top also this year's qualifying they conceded the most goals for their team 2012 7 goals, 2008 7 goals, 2016 9 goals within their group i have them conceding 3 possibly 4 then playing Wales who i think has the ability to surprise and they could net 1, then to play Bellgium..., onto France who some are taking to win it all and this could be highest scoring match of the tournament, and i have them then palying spain and spain taking care of business clean sheet...
Also if anyone had Ireland last euro thats a winning slip they conceded 10 goals

you thinking turkey, croatia, spain coming out of group d? turkey is a very prideful team and will fight hard each game group d will see the most goals thats why i have 2 on the list i'm locked in but i could add 1 more

**chuda** · 06-10-16, 11:42 AM

didn`t know those stats. but i wouldn`t go too far in history, defenses has changed, coaches has changed.
good look for Germans route actually, if i think about it... if Germans goes to finals, that`s 6 games... goal or two along a way ... odds healthy enough to give a shot for smaller money...
...now you got me thinkin

**$HungrySS** · 06-10-16, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Did you know that it is mathematically possible for a team to advance without winning, scoring a goal, and having only 1 point? Is it, 2/3 of this year's field will advance to knock-out stage. Now that doesn't mean that every game all we will see is defensive struggles with some counters mixed in of course we will see games plenty of games go over 2.5 but not today. Romania has a strong defense and even with France's many guns I really don't think this goes over 2 goals. I believe it's called parking the bus. Yes France is host team and they love to show off in front of fans(World Cup 98'), they also know they don't want to play overly aggressive for a full 90 this is a long tournament defenses will play tight and yellow cards may be few in these early games, (2 yellows = suspension), most of these teams can't afford to lose a starting player. I'm seeing France scoring early and then also late in game my picks....

France 1H -117
France/Romania u2.5 -127

BOL

On this 1st half as well. Also on France as well for match at -1, -1 1/2 at -112 and draw no bet on Romania at +750

Romania ave. 2 goals per match in friendlys this year, and only 1 goal in EC qualifying games. (10 games, 5 goals)

France has not lost a match in its last 6 at home winning by at least 1 goal and scoring 18 goals in 6 matches. Averaging over 3 goals

Romania 2 wins, 4 draws in last 6 away with the 2 wins against Faroe Islands and Finland who are absolutely terrible. Only scored 8 goals those 6 matches with 5 of those in there 2 wins.

France scoring 70% of their goals in 1st half.

Romania scoring 27% of their goals in 1st half.

France should be leading 2-0 or more in 1st half.

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 12:36 PM

Nice, thanks for the stats, I almost forgot I have a parlay play that will stretch the next few days it's a 9 teamer and also the closer we get to game day on most of these odds will probably change hopefully in our favor but some of these are gifts so you may want to lock these in early because game day you may see lines with no value on straight bet so then you have to be creative and take risks in order to see some value.

France -285
Poland -145
Germany -175
Spain -205
Belgium +148
Austria -140
Portugal -170
Argentina -450
Chile -525

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 03:51 PM

Well miss on the 1H and a miss on the u2.5 as well 0-2 to start the euros

but it's going to be fun for the next few weeks not the best way to start but I'll pick it back up...and for Copa tonight I can't decide to take o1 1H Arg/Panama or o2.5 Arg/Panama and they say Messi will play tonight but...could be smoke screen....well I'm gonna say if Messi is in line-up I'd take Arg/Panama o2.5 -135

I'm gonna lock in this now Bolivia/Chile o1.5 +131

Chile needs to score often and early ...Chile is not Uruguay we should hopefully get this one early with Panama playing Argentina in the late game goal differencial will take a big part in who moves on in this group. BOL

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 04:14 PM

Also Futures for other groups are still up and Portugal was -110 when I tipped and locked in it is now -125 if you want to get in on this the sooner the better also Belgium has moved from EV to +115 and are still they are the favorites to win this group. Italy is not the Italy we all once knew

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 05:03 PM

Been following some tipsters on twitter recently and some are really good one in particular is very sharp this is hos Bet of the Day https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ckk4dHFXIAEHggz.jpg Brazil Serie B Ooeste I'm taking the +.5

**Stackzilla** · 06-10-16, 11:51 PM

Well 1st day for Euros 0-2 -2u Once betting lines gets so high on ML you sometime have to be creative with picks and France that 1H had plenty of opportunities just couldn't find the net and Evra committing that foul and giving Romania a penalty was unfortunate but that's soccer and I'm not going to blame anyone but myself there.

Moving forward, now this may or may not happen but right now o/u for England/Russia is at 2 goals -109/-111 and I think this is a gift and should buy in on o2 ASAP a lot if people wait til day of game to place bets that's why lines haven't moved but once people start to wake up across the pond they will also see this as a gift and before long that o2 turns to o2.5 making it a little harder to accomplish.

England comes into this game with a lot of young talented players and some true experienced leaders with Rooney and Joe Hart. Recently Rooney has stated that other prior tournaments he has always felt that all pressure was on him to do well and that contributed to his bad play in tournaments and leaving fans asking tournament after tournament how could this happen he;s one the greats. Thankfully for Wayne Rooney and the English he has the added talent of Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling, and Lecister's Jamie Vardy. Now there has been a few "leaked line-ups" but no one outside of Roy Hodgson and the English team know who starting and where. I am positive this team comes out determined to make a mark in this group which is not one of the strongest groups but nothin here in Euro Cup is given. The pick...

England/Russia o2 -109
England -111
BOL!

**cer** · 06-11-16, 06:22 AM

I will probably play over2.0, but inplay, if early goal don't spoil it.

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 09:53 AM

thats probably the best option you'll get much better odds BOL

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 10:35 AM

Well yesterday I did say there would be 2 unders and an over there's one under. Now Wales vs Slovakia. I really like Wales here to surprise this group and fight hard for 2nd place in front of Russia this may be a perfect game to get some great odds for the Welsh side behind the amazing talent of Christian Bale who we all should know from our original parlay who manged to score 2 goals in a come from behind victory for Real Madrid a few months back as well as Aaron Ramsey a star midfielder for EPL Arsenal. Now looking at Slovakia this according to most another one-man team I'm not sold on that they have many strengths as well as weaknesses common to many teams but their biggest threat is Marek Hamsik who is a great goal scorer and will look to strike for the Slovaks. My tip...

Wales PK EV
Wales/Slovakia u2 -130

**pavyracer** · 06-11-16, 11:01 AM

Good luck with the plays today Stackzilla.

I did not know that the American Psycho actor is playing soccer for Wales..lol

**kmarinouofm** · 06-11-16, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Good luck with the plays today Stackzilla.

I did not know that the American Psycho actor is playing soccer for Wales..lol

Funniest thing you have ever said

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 11:21 AM

coincidentally Christian Bale the player loves Huey Lewis and the News....and dead hookers ..lol .thanks and you as well

**chuda** · 06-11-16, 11:26 AM

Bale earns more money in a week at real madrid , than wales manager in a year...
talking about an egg teaching a chicken

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 12:38 PM

As Titty Boi 2 Chains says I I I I I I Feel Like Cappin

Brazil Serie A Internacional vs AMG. These teams come into today well apart in terms of skill and AMG more than likely will ultimately finish near the bottom and Internacional will finish top 5. These Brazilian leagues can be tricky but upsets happen more often than not and with the price on Internacional to win a no play and AMG with no chance to win here I'm playing the u2.5. Internacional comes in allowing 6 goals total in 10 games in all competitions but only scoring 2 goals at home in 2 games. AMG has allowed 4 goals away in 2 games. I've watched highlights and live games of Internacional and at home they play to win but they don't create many shots on goal 10 total in 3 home games where as when they are an away team they seem to score easily. The pick...

Internacional/AMG u2.5

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 12:45 PM

Brazil Serie B

Bragantino v Paysandu

Bragantino is a much better team than what their record suggests and the last 2 games showed signs of turning things around back to they're usual ways. Paysandu is usually a team who floats mid table all season and may have a late run but not this early in Serie B. Paysandu is 0-1-4 so far 1:6 and Bragantino at home 2-0-1 3:2 with this price it's hard to pass up....

Bragantino -110

I
I have a few ideas about betting the Copa games tonight still looking at a few things but if I see everything I'm looking for I will post my picks. Euro futures are still available for Group winners lines havent changed from yesterday but I may have an add-on for when a few certain teams exit the tournament. Also so far this tournament is playing out with a lot of goals scored and going forward it may continue to trend in that direction I'm already looking at o/u's ahead and you may want to lock in any games with o2's. BOL

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 01:25 PM

Upcoming Euro games where o2 is best priced right now.

Poland/Northern Ireland o2 -135
Turkey/Croatia o2 -127
Sweden/Ireland o2 -110
Italy/Belgium o2 -106
Iceland/Portugal -130

I mentioned in my previous post so far only 2 out of 3 games have gone over 2 and with Eng/Rus upcoming if that game goes over it may be a good play to jump on these early lines while o2 is priced this good. We may see these lines become priced too high and the o2.5 being the option for value. If Eng/Rus goes over I'm locking in all these for a .5 unit now and may add-on .5 day of game. BOL

**Louisvillekid1** · 06-11-16, 03:37 PM

Sorry I didn't check in

my man

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 04:48 PM

Yooooo just getting buried over here, a few days ago I posted I wasn't touching the England game and the "hype" talked me into it, just another lean win bet loss to chalk up. Still plenty of good games to make some good money and I got some future picks that could make some good coin. They were risky but plenty of reasoning and research to back up. Gotta back off these 1H overs no game so far has gone over 1 in the 1H had a big hit with Giroud "First Goal Scorer" +400. Was doing really well in Copa still up a bit there took a big shot on USA losing the other day I might fade them again tonight if I learned something from England game history repeats USA is inconsistent and after that hype game they'll be riding high into this one. Im not sure if they need the win I know the draw would be good for them. Just locked in all the o2's over the next couple days I have posted they may move the may not. Might post tonight, might not. Hit me up.

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 05:06 PM

Just noticed -109 when i tipped o2 last night was a gift closing line was -159. So getting in on these early may be the best way to go. Gotta start looking more into these open lines on the o/u's. The France/Romania opened u2.5 -149 closed -125. And no Christian Bale doenst play for Wales...smh...not sure what makes me look like an idiot more the mistake or the fact I continue to run with it. Oh well.

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 06:41 PM

Copa America
Costa Rica TT o1.5 +275 .5u
Costa Rica Columbia BTTS Yes -110 1u

Euro Cup
Robert Lewandowski First Goalscorer +260 .5u
Poland -137 2u
Germany -1 +105 .5u
Turkey/Croatia BTTs Yes EV 1u

**Stackzilla** · 06-11-16, 07:31 PM

Finland Veikkausliiga

HJK -189 1u
HJK/Rovaniemi

South Korea K-League
Seongnam/Jeonbuk o2.5 +110 1u
Suwon/Seoul o2.5 -115 1u
Seoul -157 2u

**Capybara** · 06-11-16, 07:44 PM

Stacky, why do you like CR, aren't they down guys and the inferior squad?

**Swingman** · 06-11-16, 07:50 PM

Stack,

What do you think about the over of the col/costa game? I saw you on the CR tt ov.

**QuantumLeap** · 06-11-16, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Copa America
Costa Rica TT o1.5 +275 .5u
Costa Rica Columbia BTTS Yes -110 1u

Euro Cup
Robert Lewandowski First Goalscorer +260 .5u
Poland -137 2u
Germany -1 +105 .5u
Turkey/Croatia BTTs Yes EV 1u

I don't know about the Costa Rica TT over 1.5 but I DO like them to score. They don't want to be shut out of this competition.