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  • alexrafco
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-20-15
    • 247

    #491
    Hey stack, I'm heavy against Haiti, honestly I think Ecuador wins by multiple goals here. I think Haiti may be the worst team in the tournament and Peru was very unimpressive against them. Ecuador on the other hand although clearly outplayed by the better Brazilian squad showed tons of grit holding them to a draw, I think Ecuador runs over Haiti tonight. I went BIG on panama over Bolivia, I'm making a similar play with Ecuador over Haiti tonight. I also took Brazil @ -2.5, they'll kill Haiti I'm with you there! Goos luck on your plays tonight bud
    Comment
    • Stackzilla
      SBR MVP
      • 05-26-15
      • 3372

      #492
      I narrowed down to 5 teams that I think may have Most Goals Conceded by the end of the trny. These picks are teams that have a chance to make it out of group stages, with next game(s) being against high scoring teams but also these are teams with high conceded goals. This is a very risky play I'm putting a small wager on each team. There's only 1 pick that won't x2 my overall bets, some are x2, x3, with 2 being x5. Also I locked in a few teams that have the best chance to win their group and odds are good but the Group win picks are 1 unit each

      Most Conceded
      Croatia +2065
      Czech Reublic +914
      Germany +2599
      Russia +2599
      Ireland +1852

      To Win Group F
      Portugal -110 1u
      To Win Group E
      Belgium EV 1u
      Comment
      • Stackzilla
        SBR MVP
        • 05-26-15
        • 3372

        #493
        Originally posted by alexrafco
        Hey stack, I'm heavy against Haiti, honestly I think Ecuador wins by multiple goals here. I think Haiti may be the worst team in the tournament and Peru was very unimpressive against them. Ecuador on the other hand although clearly outplayed by the better Brazilian squad showed tons of grit holding them to a draw, I think Ecuador runs over Haiti tonight. I went BIG on panama over Bolivia, I'm making a similar play with Ecuador over Haiti tonight. I also took Brazil @ -2.5, they'll kill Haiti I'm with you there! Goos luck on your plays tonight bud
        I believe you may have mis-written Haiti for Peru when mentioning the Ecuador/Peru game happens to me all the time. Unfortunately I'm still on the draw here, these teams played 1st games of the tournament previous years have had similar outcomes the first day, could be 1st game jitters or 1st days of tournaments are usually seen as defensive struggles no team wants to be almost mathematically eliminated the first day. Haiti is a weak team yes but vs strong opponents they find ways to keep it close but after Brazil's 0-0 they will need a few goals to stay ahead for goal differential. In my eyes Peru and Ecuador are an equally matched team both with similar weaknesses and strengths. Also with Peru winning vs Haiti and Brazil next up for Peru. Peru will fight hard for either a win or draw, and Ecuador already drew 0-0 and with Haiti next game, Ecuador could take it easy and play for Draw so vs Haiti they are rested and ready to attack. Their main concern may be to not concede many goals. BOL
        Comment
        • alexrafco
          SBR High Roller
          • 05-20-15
          • 247

          #494
          Originally posted by Stackzilla
          I believe you may have mis-written Haiti for Peru when mentioning the Ecuador/Peru game happens to me all the time. Unfortunately I'm still on the draw here, these teams played 1st games of the tournament previous years have had similar outcomes the first day, could be 1st game jitters or 1st days of tournaments are usually seen as defensive struggles no team wants to be almost mathematically eliminated the first day. Haiti is a weak team yes but vs strong opponents they find ways to keep it close but after Brazil's 0-0 they will need a few goals to stay ahead for goal differential. In my eyes Peru and Ecuador are an equally matched team both with similar weaknesses and strengths. Also with Peru winning vs Haiti and Brazil next up for Peru. Peru will fight hard for either a win or draw, and Ecuador already drew 0-0 and with Haiti next game, Ecuador could take it easy and play for Draw so vs Haiti they are rested and ready to attack. Their main concern may be to not concede many goals. BOL
          No I was referencing how bad Peru looked against Haiti who's so terrible in my eyes and how good Ecuador looked vs Brazil who's so good in my eyes
          Comment
          • Stackzilla
            SBR MVP
            • 05-26-15
            • 3372

            #495
            Originally posted by alexrafco
            Ecuador runs over Haiti tonight.
            This...BOL
            Comment
            • Stackzilla
              SBR MVP
              • 05-26-15
              • 3372

              #496
              Quick recap since there's a new page

              Copa America

              Brazil -2 -110
              Brazil/Haiti o3 -110

              Line have changed these were what I got this morning and jumping the gun hopefully I got the best price for both. I'm leaning on the Draw Ecuador/Peru but decided to go another route less riskier...

              Peru/Ecuador u2 +122

              BOL everyone

              may have a HT pick gonna wait for line-ups
              Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-08-16, 03:08 PM.
              Comment
              • brixx311
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-13-15
                • 109

                #497
                Sent you a PM my friend
                Comment
                • Stackzilla
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-26-15
                  • 3372

                  #498
                  deleted
                  Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-08-16, 07:08 PM.
                  Comment
                  • Stackzilla
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-26-15
                    • 3372

                    #499
                    deleted
                    Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-08-16, 07:08 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Stackzilla
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-26-15
                      • 3372

                      #500
                      deleted
                      Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-08-16, 07:08 PM.
                      Comment
                      • Stackzilla
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-26-15
                        • 3372

                        #501
                        Add-on Brazil/Haiti o1.5 1H +108 what happened last time we saw a team who needed to win vs 5 man line defense......hint i lost lol
                        Comment
                        • Stackzilla
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-26-15
                          • 3372

                          #502
                          Bang that o1.5 1h +108 2 more picks in this game left
                          Comment
                          • Stackzilla
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-26-15
                            • 3372

                            #503
                            Well i think its safe to say Brazil -2 is a winner......Finally betting the early line pays off and was able to get best lines on -2 and o3..might be breaking out the brooms tonight got 1 more left u2 +122

                            Current Copa Record 6-1 +7.54

                            Also may want to get in on these tonight but at the latest Friday before France kicks off
                            To Win Group F
                            Portugal -110 1u
                            To Win Group E
                            Belgium EV 1u
                            Comment
                            • Stackzilla
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-26-15
                              • 3372

                              #504
                              Originally posted by Stackzilla


                              I'm leaning on the Draw Ecuador/Peru but decided to go another route less riskier...

                              Less riskier ehhhhh cant figure out if i should be mad i was right or mad i left my balls in my purse
                              Comment
                              • JayLA
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-12
                                • 7806

                                #505
                                Sup stack, gimmie one of them chinese league overs! Hehehe let's get em tomorrow bro
                                Comment
                                • Stackzilla
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-26-15
                                  • 3372

                                  #506
                                  Got Chinese, Japanses and Korea Saturday morningg some of the games the lines scare me I almost sure its all ran by gangsters over there. 2 teams cound avg 5 goals a game and the over is +150 and the under -105 and ii'll slam the over and it end 0-0 ....Fuckin Yakuza I cap 1 day ahead so tomorrow I got them. Got Finland 2 or 3 solid picks in the am, i'll pick 1 from Spain, Italy or Colombia playoffs I got 1 from each right now but gonna narrow it down and of course Copa en fuego...
                                  Comment
                                  • Stackzilla
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-26-15
                                    • 3372

                                    #507
                                    Been looking at this game for the past hour gonna lock it in before I crash

                                    Finland Veikkausliga Mariehamn +255


                                    I'll probably do a write-up in am. If this line looks like I'm taking an underdog dont read too much into it. This team is 5-0-1 away 2nd in league home team is 8th. Lines are normal for this league and im not protecting with the Draw option no value also this league draws are less common than most at 22%.
                                    Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-09-16, 01:31 AM. Reason: stats via soccervista.com not outta my ass
                                    Comment
                                    • JayLA
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-12
                                      • 7806

                                      #508
                                      I got a new bookie I want to check out, I'll throw a unit on it. Let's get itt!
                                      Comment
                                      • $HungrySS
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-19-16
                                        • 175

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by Stackzilla
                                        Been looking at this game for the past hour gonna lock it in before I crash

                                        Finland Veikkausliga Mariehamn +255


                                        I'll probably do a write-up in am. If this line looks like I'm taking an underdog dont read too much into it. This team is 5-0-1 away 2nd in league home team is 8th. Lines are normal for this league and im not protecting with the Draw option no value also this league draws are less common than most at 22%.
                                        Check out HJK Helsinki. Line is -115. Should be a for sure win. Didn't like this Mariehamm bet. Numbers are to close for me to lay anything. Helsinki is out scoring there opponent today in the last 50 games 102-33. Helsinki with 35 wins to VPS's 4. Match starts at 12:30 central I believe. Good luck today!
                                        Comment
                                        • Stackzilla
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-26-15
                                          • 3372

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by $HungrySS
                                          Check out HJK Helsinki. Line is -115. Should be a for sure win. Didn't like this Mariehamm bet. Numbers are to close for me to lay anything. Helsinki is out scoring there opponent today in the last 50 games 102-33. Helsinki with 35 wins to VPS's 4. Match starts at 12:30 central I believe. Good luck today!
                                          Yea I'm already on board on that one got EV last night and I'm on Lahti to win as well I usually dont post all my plays
                                          Comment
                                          • Stackzilla
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-26-15
                                            • 3372

                                            #511
                                            If anyone is up for some risk taking parlay any of your strongest picks with Mexico to win no value on straight bet
                                            Comment
                                            • chuda
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-27-14
                                              • 11076

                                              #512
                                              i think both mentioned finish games could be underish.
                                              Marienham missing their best striker Dever Orgill... Jamaican in a coppa, he has scored half of Marienhams goals.
                                              and in VPS game, home grounds at Vaasa has let grass grow longer for this game, so HJK cannot surprise them like they did at start of a season... long ball tactics for home team.
                                              but value on marienhamn and hjk should win... i`ll get something live ...
                                              BOL
                                              Comment
                                              • twestacott
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-02-14
                                                • 1044

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Stackzilla
                                                If anyone is up for some risk taking parlay any of your strongest picks with Mexico to win no value on straight bet
                                                On Mexico/Uruguay parlay pretty big
                                                Comment
                                                • Stackzilla
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-26-15
                                                  • 3372

                                                  #514
                                                  Originally posted by chuda
                                                  i think both mentioned finish games could be underish.
                                                  Marienham missing their best striker Dever Orgill... Jamaican in a coppa, he has scored half of Marienhams goals.
                                                  and in VPS game, home grounds at Vaasa has let grass grow longer for this game, so HJK cannot surprise them like they did at start of a season... long ball tactics for home team.
                                                  but value on marienhamn and hjk should win... i`ll get something live ...
                                                  BOL
                                                  Thanks for the info and I just found out that heavy rain and wind in Rovaniemi the under may be a good play here


                                                  edit draw also may be possible as well so if you can and wish to protect the win
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stackzilla
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-26-15
                                                    • 3372

                                                    #515
                                                    over slept today and wasnt able to get everyone the needed info to make proper decision i apologize if pick falls thru
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chuckpicks298
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-20-16
                                                      • 130

                                                      #516
                                                      Congrats thanks for the $$&
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stackzilla
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-26-15
                                                        • 3372

                                                        #517
                                                        Uruguay vs Venezuela, questions about this game may be similar to the Argentina/Chile but different player. Can Uruguay win with out Suarez? Yes, same situation applies to the Arg/Chile, lots of strong and talented players for Uruguay and they need a win here and goal differential will play an important factor as well with Mexico already 3 points and playing Jamiaca tonight we may see another Mexico victory and Uruguay knows this may happen as well and with this game played before the Mex/Jam Uruguay will want to score often and early. Mexican head coach has already hinted at if they win first 2 games key players may get some rest and not play vs Venezuela in the last game. So looking ahead if Venezuela can stop Uruguay's attack they will face a Mexico that has no reason to play hard with them already advancing with 6 points. Making tonight's game a must for Uruguay to come out strong for a full 90'. The pick...

                                                        Uruguay -138

                                                        Uruguay/Venezuela o2.5 +102​


                                                        I was actually able to get -1 at +113 last night. If your able to get -1 I'd recommend taking that and not the ML. BOL
                                                        Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-09-16, 12:58 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stackzilla
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-26-15
                                                          • 3372

                                                          #518
                                                          Some good news Rova just subbed out they're best goal scorer...and it's suppose to stop raining in 10 mins

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stackzilla
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-26-15
                                                            • 3372

                                                            #519
                                                            Unfortunate, but if anyone was able to bet draw live or otherwise congrats. I was looking into Serie B playoffs and Trapiani looks to be a good pick to win but it's possible this game ends in draw and I'm not very familiar with this league, lately I have been very selective as to picks I post I may have 5 or 6 picks a day but I will only post my strongest games. So some days I may have a few winners posted but may be a losing a day overall and mostly i bet for tracking purposes min bets and so on. I may have another pick for Uruguay/Venezuela I want to see the line-ups and may post a 1H pick. Also I have an angle on Jam/Mex I may take a shot at. BOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chuda
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-27-14
                                                              • 11076

                                                              #520
                                                              looks like WC finals in Trapani, town council putting up 4 big screens in streets. big deal there. i was thinking maybe over 1.5 goals in 2nd half @ 2 could be a good bet, it should go all or nothin at some stage... maybe card market has something for over cards....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stackzilla
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-26-15
                                                                • 3372

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by chuda
                                                                looks like WC finals in Trapani, town council putting up 4 big screens in streets. big deal there. i was thinking maybe over 1.5 goals in 2nd half @ 2 could be a good bet, it should go all or nothin at some stage... maybe card market has something for over cards....
                                                                Sounds so tempting....I'm in there's been some movement past 30 on o2.5 so this looks even better o1.5 2H sounds good BOL 2 us
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stackzilla
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-26-15
                                                                  • 3372

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Im going to lock this one in no need to see line-ups in WC Qualifiers Uruguay has had at least 1 goal 5/6 games at HT and Venezuela has had at least 1 goal in 5/6 at HT as well add that to the need for Uruguay to win and the pick is...

                                                                  Venezuela/Uruguay o1 1H -105

                                                                  Going to get started on tomorrow's games I'll check in later
                                                                  Last edited by Stackzilla; 06-09-16, 01:32 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Stackzilla
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-26-15
                                                                    • 3372

                                                                    #523
                                                                    i never knew serie b italy was like that im gonna make sure I watch more next year, they are probably the best actors ive ever seen that 2nd half wow so many opportunities for both teams i thnk the fouls really slowed it down a lot but that was a crazy half i thought the fans might riot at one point
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chuda
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-27-14
                                                                      • 11076

                                                                      #524
                                                                      red card killed it and Pescara for half an hour with all that space, seems didn`t bother.
                                                                      missed cards market 5y and a red would of cashed in.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stackzilla
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-26-15
                                                                        • 3372

                                                                        #525
                                                                        on my list of stats to check im going to go thru all leagues and see how often red cards happen . im sure i could figure out a way to hit red card bets i did predict the own goal in man u's last game lol it may have been a joke but it did happen lol
                                                                        Comment
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