Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

[Unsteeled101]

Dropping odds - Thailand » Thai Premier League » Osotsapa - TOT Away Team DNB @2.20


Starts in 3 hours.

already on it

[TheSportsAnalyst]

You guys seem to be on each drop of the day... lol

Anyway the one that I like the most is the over on East Bengal v Mumbai.

Over 2.5 on my favourite slow bookie Paddy @2.00

Kickoff in 1 hour.

[JackyLePaysan]

Soccer » Romania » Division 2/Serie 1 » Rapid Suceava - Clinceni
Clinceni from 2.20 to 1.90

[addictedto]

You guys seem to be on each drop of the day... lol

Anyway the one that I like the most is the over on East Bengal v Mumbai.

Over 2.5 on my favourite slow bookie Paddy @2.00

Kickoff in 1 hour.

Didn't Paddy already limit you? They seem to be off with the odds but limit quick too.

[hasmetttbeyazzz]

osotsapa-tot DNB2 dropped 1.83 at bet365 with -0.37

[bihon]

Not really convincing but DNB maybe worth a shot:


Romanian II
Gloria Buzau - Tarlungeni
Tarlungeni from 3.1 to 2.8

[addictedto]

osotsapa-tot DNB2 dropped 1.83 at bet365 with -0.37

365 are pussies

[addictedto]

Bulgaria » A PFG » CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Pick Away Team @2.70


Drop becomes huge, it was 3.20 yesterday. Not fixed but there is a big class difference between these 2 teams - CSKA in financial crysis trying to squeeze the 3rd place from nothing, while Ludo made great run in Europe League, they have a wide squad with players already in the shortlists of big European clubs. Ludo will win here, and the odds dropping shows it. Fair price is 2.00 if you ask me.

You could go safer with DNB @2.00

[shhplit]

Dropping odds - Thailand » Thai Premier League » Osotsapa - TOT Away Team DNB @2.20


Starts in 3 hours.

this one has be thinking....

why would the worst home team (Osotsapa) be even a favourite to begin with against a middle of the table team (TOT)

I wouldve thought TOT would be favoured in this one.....

[SydBarrett]

this one has be thinking....

why would the worst home team (Osotsapa) be even a favourite to begin with against a middle of the table team (TOT)

I wouldve thought TOT would be favoured in this one.....

The league just started so the table is not of interest.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Rechecked all the dropping odds related posts in the thread since the start back in '13 and this is what I've found so far:

(the format is: game - league - pick - odds - drop info - first poster - final score - result)
Please, note that only pre-game or in-play posts were taken in account.


Slavia Sofia - Botev Vratsa BUL/1 2-1 CS @??? [Live pick at HT with under 3.5 @1.7 and under 2.5 @10, very low odds on Botev win] Live HT BrianLaverty 2-1
Hammarby v Sirius Friendly O 3.5 @1.83 [Huge drop, 200k matched on BF] addictedto 3-2
AO Paniliakos v O Volos GRE/2 1X @1.8 [Reasoning about team needs] 1-0 onemoregoal
Hiroshima v Kawasaki JPN/1 HT/FT 1/2 @11 [Huge drop, 90k matched on Betfair] addictedto 1-0/1-2
Forest Green v Cambridge ENG HT/FT 2/1 @8.00 [Odds too low] whareouttogetme NO
Belupo v D Zagreb CRO HT/FT 1/1 @??? [Suspicious dropping odds] pelegbar NO
Levadiakos v Panaitolikos GRE/1 Home Win @2.00 [Dropping odds] addictedto 2-1
Pirin - Neftokimik BUL/1 O 3.5 @2.75 [match taken out by a lot of bookies] Live play after 5' on 0-0 addictedto 3-2
Lyubumets - Chernomore BUL/1 O 2.5 @1.70 [Too low odds on 0-0 in-play] Live play HT on 0-0 addictedto 0-4
Dukla U21 - Sigma U21 CZE Sigma -0.25 @1.50 [Drop of 30% in one hour, 30% removed, too much money on BF compared on league standard] sergiudec 2-5

Michon A. - Rudnev V. Kazan Challenger Michon @1.16 [huge drop, match removed 42%] sergiudec Michon won 2-0
Slovacko U21 v Trinec U21 CZE Slovacko @1.45 [Drop from 1.72] AussiePunter 3-0
FK Trakai v Granitas LTU Trakai to win @??? [lot of money coming in, fix is in] AussiePunter 2-0
Kallonis v Veria GRE Veria to win @2.26 [drop from 2.83] pellumb 3-0
Tours v Angers FRA/2 HT/FT 2/1 @30 [strange drops on some bookies, 10,000 matched on BF] addictedto NO
Astra v Pandurii ROM U 2.5 @1.8 [drop from 2.00] Jacklepaysan 2-0
Tours v Angers O 2.5 @1.83 [fix is in, lock] AussiePunter 2-0
Tours v Angers BTTS @1.90 [fix is in] AussiePunter 2-0
Tours v Angers Tours to win @2.20 [fix is in] AussiePunter 2-0
Liefering vs Parndorf AUT/2 X2 @1.82 [Big movements on the X2, from 2,19 to 1,82 on Pinny, and ML] ogucci-SBR 0-1

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Pachuca v Monterrey MEX Pachuca to win @1.85 [from 2.11 to 1.85] AussiePunter
The Strongest v Velez The Strongest to win [team well backed] AussiePunter
Lekwhya v Teractor Lekwhya to win @1.67 [team well backed] AussiePunter 0-0
Cartagines v Carmelita CRI Cartagines @2.51 [team from dog to fav] AussiePunter 1-1
Levski Sofia v Botev Plovdiv BUL/CUP Botev to win @2.49 [team backed despite being on the road from 2.71 to 2.49] AussiePunter 3-1
Ermis v AEK Larnaca CYP/CUP AEK DNB @1.90 [Drop from 2.75 to 1.90, maybe wrong info about Ermis lineup] addictedto 2-0
Polokwane v Bloem Celtic SAF Polokwane DNB @??? [drop of 27% on ML] AussiePunter 2-1
Popayan v Llaneros COL Popayan to win @2.37 [team from 2.80 dog to fav] AussiePunter 1-0
Quindio v Valledupar COL Quindio to win @1.91 [drop from 2.19] AussiePunter 1-0
BLED (Slo) vs POSOJILNICA (Aut) MEZVA League Volley Away team to win [various drop, the dog went from 2.60 to 1.91 on WH] OGUCCI-SBR 3-0
Huila - Tolima COL HT/FT 1/2 @10.00 [Option suspended pretty much everywhere] addictedto NO
Jeanne d Arc vs Lens II FRA/4 Home DNB @1.83 [Huge raise on the opposite team DNB from 1,30 to 1,91] OGUCCI-SBR 0-1
Golubev vs Smyczek Irving Challenger Tennis Smyczek @1.35 [Immense drop] OGUCCI-SBR
Limon v Alajuelense CRI Limon to win @2.13 [Odds down from 2.65] AussiePunter 4-2
Almirante Brown v Crucero del Norte ARG/2 Home win @2.61 [Odds down from 2.99] AussiePunter suspended -
Semen Padang v Sriwijaya IND Home win @1.92 [Drop from 2.42 and Bet365 removed the game] AussiePunter 2-1
Al Wehda v Hajer Home win @ 2.18 [Drop from 2.49] AussiePunter 2-2
Draw No Bet - Patronato (0) @ 2.96 Gaze73 1-2
Draw No Bet - Olympic El Qanah (0) @ 2.68 Gaze73 0-1
KV Reykjavík (+1) @ 2.10 Gaze73 2-0
JS Kairouan vs Esperance Tunis TUN O 2.5 @1.80 [Mover] OGUCCI-SBR postponed -
Maidenhead vs Gosport ENG/6 U 2.5 1.60 [Mover] OGUCCI-SBR 1-2
Forest Green vs Braintree ENG/5 Home win @1.80 [Mover] OGUCCI-SBR 0-2

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Tsmoki Minsk vs Gaziantep BB Basketball/Eurochallenge Road win @1.70 [Mover] OGUCCI-SBR 67-68
Al Arabi -1 @1.71 [Big Mover] AussiePunter 3-3
Ferencvaros DNB @1.78 HUN/1 [Big Mover] AussiePunter push -
ChernoMore -1.25 @1.75 [Big Mover] AussiePunter
Maidenhead v Gosport BTTS NO @1.69 [Big Mover] AussiePunter 1-2
Al Ahly - 1 @1.72 AussiePunter 3-1
DVTK -0.75 @1.68 AussiePunter 2-1 /PUSH
Lorenskog v Lyn Friendly Lorenskog +0.25 @1.75 AussiePunter 0-3
Zavrc v ND Gorica SLO Zavrc @2.58 AussiePunter 1-3
Shangai Shenhua @1.83 AussiePunter 1-3
OFK Beograd @1.67 AussiePunter 0-1
Strasbourg @1.97 FRA/3 AussiePunter 1-1
Wexford @1.52 IRE/2 AussiePunter 3-2
Manta @1.86 ECU AussiePunter 1-1
LDU Loja @1.60 ECU [34% drop] AussiePunter 1-2
Cittadella - Carpi ITA/2 HT/FT @25.00 pelegbar [drop] NO
Lajong FC to win @??? IND [little drop] whareouttogetme 0-0

Slavia - Neftochimik Over 3.5 @1.80 [drop from 2.20] addictedto 5-1

IT ISN'T A TIPSTERS RANKING, IT'S JUST A SUMMARY TO COLLECT INFO AND TO IMPROVE FUTURE OBSERVATIONS.
I don't even care if the OP actually played the game, since it's posted on a very hot thread in a very popular forum it could anyway influence someone to bet on the highlighted team so I thought it was useful to keep a thread summary.

Further summary with posts from late 03/14 to date will coming up.

P.S. Had to split post in three parts because of too many images.

[Unsteeled101]

Wow at Indian league. 2-1 cashed that!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

You guys seem to be on each drop of the day... lol

Anyway the one that I like the most is the over on East Bengal v Mumbai.

Over 2.5 on my favourite slow bookie Paddy @2.00

Kickoff in 1 hour.

Lol, three goals in 7 minutes. Love India.

[Unsteeled101]

Yeah.. Crazy. Seems like the game is a lost..

[tipsadontlikehim]

Lol, three goals in 7 minutes. Love India.

haha thanks again

I closed the live at HT thought it was dead !!

[tipsadontlikehim]

Bulgaria » A PFG » CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Pick Away Team @2.70


Drop becomes huge, it was 3.20 yesterday. Not fixed but there is a big class difference between these 2 teams - CSKA in financial crysis trying to squeeze the 3rd place from nothing, while Ludo made great run in Europe League, they have a wide squad with players already in the shortlists of big European clubs. Ludo will win here, and the odds dropping shows it. Fair price is 2.00 if you ask me.

You could go safer with DNB @2.00

Very nice find IMO
Tailed on the X2

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Didn't Paddy already limit you? They seem to be off with the odds but limit quick too.

I use the italian version, so far no problem!
Anyway it's easy to use some mug friend account sometimes, at least here: one smart bet in a -10,000€ balance isn't suspicious...
He's happy because I share the profits, I'm happy, Paddy's happy because they're anyway +9,700€ or so...

[GiveMeaBJ]

Just read through this thread. Real good stuff by all involved. Curious as to what you guys are playing today.

[addictedto]

Good work TSA, however your first posters are totally wrong.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Just read through this thread. Real good stuff by all involved. Curious as to what you guys are playing today.

thats a nice ass ..who is that girl ?

[tipsadontlikehim]

and thanks Jacky for the basketball play, it was getting tight at the end but it's a winner

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Anyway, back to business.
Thread summary part 4

Bastia v Troyes HT/FT [suspicious drop] various posters NO
Fylkir @1.88 ICE/CUP AussiePunter 1-1
Aris @2.71 CYP/1 [drop from 5.00 to 2.40] AussiePunter 2-0
Tupi to win @1.50 [drop on HT/FT 2/1 market] AussiePunter 1-2
South Coast Wolves to win @3.00 [drop from 3.20 to 3.00] AussiePunter 0-5
Cuneo to win @??? ITA/4 AussiePunter 1-1
Nacional Potosi DNB @5.00 BOL AussiePunter 3-1
Czech Republic: Sigma Olomouc U21 @ 1.67 AussiePunter 3-1

Czech Republic: Trinic U21 @ 2.37 AussiePunter 2-3

Malaysia Premier League: DRB Hicom v Sabah Under 2.5 @ 1.82 [21% drop] AussiePunter 1-1
Persiram @1.84 onemoregoal 1-0
Witten - Zverev Tennis Witten to win 2-0 @2.25 [Drop on Witten win from 2.75 to 1.50] addictedto RET. -
Quindio Pereira +0.5 @1.90 COL [serious movement from 2.50] addictedto 1-1

Videoton to win @??? HUN/CUP [A lot of money coming in] AussiePunter 1-1
Brown Adrogue HT/FT @3.45 [heavily backed option, drop from 4.75 to 3.45] AussiePunter 0-0 HT
Pelister to win @1.35 FYR [wrong opening odds, drop from 2.10] pellumb 2-1
Pelister v Makedonija GP FYR O 2.5 @1.70 [clear fix because of a drop from 2.30 in 15'] AussiePunter 2-1
ES Setif to win @2.30 ALG [Potential fix due to favourite change] AussiePunter 2-1
Huber v Saityova Tennis Huber to win 1.57 [drop from 2.05] sergiudec 2-0

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Good work TSA, however your first posters are totally wrong.

Mmm, which ones? I double-checked all the 1X2 and OU plays... Probably I didn't paid too much attention to the HT/FT ones.

[addictedto]

» Lithuania » A Lyga » Suduva - FK Trakai Double Chance Trakai @1.74 Marathonbet
Drop drop drop, big drop

[addictedto]

Mmm, which ones? I double-checked all the 1X2 and OU plays... Probably I didn't paid too much attention to the HT/FT ones.

I don't think Vaughany and Onemoregoal post a lot here, while 70%-80% of your posters are them.

[Pelegbar]

Veria FC - Xanthi - Greece Super League


Just wondering, is there something we don't know about this match? why are Xanthi underdogs?

Veria is in the 17th place, Xanthi is in the 13th place, and the odds are 1.30 for Veria to win. Anyway odds are starting to drop for Xanthi, might worth a shot @ DNB

[AussiePunter123]

Thread has gone down hill IMO.

So many people floating in and out. Hard to get a fix on what to play and what not.

[AussiePunter123]

My advice is for people to cut back on the number of plays they are making, some people here going to get burnt at this rate.

[SydBarrett]

My advice is for people to cut back on the number of plays they are making, some people here going to get burnt at this rate.

Exactly. Every match listed on Odds Portal is selected in this thread. We need to be more selective.

The only match of interest for me so far today is that Greece Veria - Xanthi game. It looks a bit like the Kallonis fix except that theres no money at Betfair.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Part 5

Botev Plovdiv - Levski BUL Botev to win @1.81 [11% drop from 2.04] AussiePunter 2-0
Tigres v Atlante MEX Tigres to win @1.74 [11% drop] AussiePunter 6-0
Inter Baku (Azerbaijan Cup) DNB @ 1.80 AussiePunter 0-0 /
Ferencvaros (Hungary League Cup) @1.53 AussiePunter 4-0
Strommen v Baerum Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 [money coming] AussiePunter 1-0
Omonia v Apoel CYP Apoel to win @1.70 [crazy drop all day long] addictedto 0-0
Pretoria v Bidvest SAF Pretoria to win @??? [home team from dog to fav] AussiePunter 0-0
OFI v Panathinaikos GRE Under 2.5 @??? [40,000 matched on the U2.5 on BF] AussiePunter 1-0
Raja v Kenitra MOR Kenitra to win @3.05 [huge drop of 37% later on] pellumb 5-0
Atletico Belo v Nacional Asuncion Atletico Belo to win @??? MustWinPlease 1-1
Bolivar La Paz v Flamengo Bolivar DNB @??? MustWinPlease 1-0
Plovdiv v Dobrudzha BUL/CUP Dobrudzha to win 2-1 [over 2.5 at 1.36, under 3.5 smashed down] AussiePunter 2-0

Kalloni v OFI GRE Kalloni to win @??? [huge drop] Unsteeled101 1-0
Nefto - Loko Sofia BUL/CUP Over 2.5 or O 3.5 @??? [Crazy amounts on overs] LIVE at 70' on 1-0 addictedto 0-2
Tarlungeni (Romania) @ 2.15 v Berceni [fast dropping odds, Bet365 removed] AussiePunter 1-0
Amiens DNB @ 1.62 (France National Ligue) AussiePunter 2-0
Oriente Petrolero @ 1.73 (Bolivia) AussiePunter 4-0
Yongin City @ 1.90 DNB (South Korea) AussiePunter 0-1
Yongin City Under 2.5 @ 1.65 AussiePunter 0-1
FC Jurmala vs FK Jelgava LAT FK Jelgava to win @1.70 [drop from 2,7 to 1,7 in a couple of hours] OGUCCI-SBR 1-3
Savona - Vicenza in Italy - Draw @2.30 [dropped from 2.80 and some bookie removed it] addictedto 1-0

[TheSportsAnalyst]

I don't think Vaughany and Onemoregoal post a lot here, while 70%-80% of your posters are them.

Corrected.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Since I've just noticed that someone is used to edit his posts (already spotted out by edabramov though) and during the last couple of days we've had a ton of non-sense posting with something like dozens of plays on days like Monday or Tuesday I think it's pointless to go further with the summary.

[onemoregoal]

ive made one, maybe two plays here