Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

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  • TheSportsAnalyst
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-11
    • 1156

    #1366
    About Partizan game: I've read on Presov official site that some players didn't travelled with the team due to a virus and various injuries.
    Maybe it was just a smart punter valuing a Partizan win at 10.00 very good and pounding the line with some euros...
    The other line movements could have been just mugs blindly following the money. If so we should have a reverse line movement in Presov favour approaching match start.

    Do not forget that back in November Presov outscored Partizan in Slovakia by 27 goals.
    Comment
    • AussiePunter123
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-13
      • 1473

      #1367
      BOL and sex to all.
      Comment
      • AussiePunter123
        SBR MVP
        • 12-29-13
        • 1473

        #1368
        Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
        About Partizan game: I've read on Presov official site that some players didn't travelled with the team due to a virus and various injuries.
        Maybe it was just a smart punter valuing a Partizan win at 10.00 very good and pounding the line with some euros...
        The other line movements could have been just mugs blindly following the money. If so we should have a reverse line movement in Presov favour approaching match start.

        Do not forget that back in November Presov outscored Partizan in Slovakia by 27 goals.
        Instead of coming in with the negative vibes, why don't you bring us some plays!!!

        We all want to make money and get laid!!!
        Comment
        • TheSportsAnalyst
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-11
          • 1156

          #1369
          Negative vibes. lol

          Anyway, forgot to add to my previous post that Presov played in Sweden just Saturday (losing by 7 despite being favourite) and now they had to travel south for 1600km and play again in less than 48 hours.
          Interesting, let's see what we get.
          Comment
          • tipsadontlikehim
            SBR MVP
            • 11-14-13
            • 2569

            #1370
            i have heard a lot of stories about fixes in handball, and here we got a serbian team vs a slovakian team so that could be promising
            Comment
            • pellumb341
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-11
              • 1183

              #1371
              The Strongest http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/sou...B1sII31/#1X2;2
              Comment
              • tipsadontlikehim
                SBR MVP
                • 11-14-13
                • 2569

                #1372
                Originally posted by pellumb341
                of course they are the strongest
                Comment
                • amtopm
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-20-14
                  • 169

                  #1373
                  so are we going for a home win in the handball?
                  Comment
                  • PavelSpr
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 07-19-13
                    • 65

                    #1374
                    Originally posted by pellumb341
                    today is the early market so bettors have small limits and every 85€ in 188bet for example reduces the odd by 0.03 points. Now think how many people you need to destroy this market completely? And It's not fixed if someone would be ever consider it in this case
                    Comment
                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-12-11
                      • 1156

                      #1375
                      Originally posted by amtopm
                      so are we going for a home win in the handball?
                      I suggest you to watch what will happen without putting so much money.
                      In my opinion value could be already totally gone if my reasoning is correct.
                      Comment
                      • amtopm
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-20-14
                        • 169

                        #1376
                        Thanks for your advice.
                        Comment
                        • amtopm
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-20-14
                          • 169

                          #1377
                          Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                          I suggest you to watch what will happen without putting so much money.
                          In my opinion value could be already totally gone if my reasoning is correct.
                          where would a man learn about watching lines and stuff like that?
                          Comment
                          • pellumb341
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-11
                            • 1183

                            #1378
                            Originally posted by PavelSpr
                            today is the early market so bettors have small limits and every 85€ in 188bet for example reduces the odd by 0.03 points. Now think how many people you need to destroy this market completely? And It's not fixed if someone would be ever consider it in this case
                            Nobody said it is fixed.Deportes are winless , have not scored a single goal and have nothing to play for.The Strongest should win if they want to go through.
                            Comment
                            • amtopm
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-20-14
                              • 169

                              #1379
                              Iv come across something that has taken my interest slightly

                              Piast Gliwice vs Leiga - Poland - Starts in 30 mins.
                              under 2.5 goals 2.15

                              this is my first time putting one up here so it might not come in - the reason I picked it out is because I see the odds dropping but very very slowly - and the fact that on betfair there was 15,000 placed in total on that market and 13,000 was on under.

                              please dont kill me
                              Comment
                              • whareouttogetme
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-10
                                • 2721

                                #1380
                                Line has moved from -1.5 to +0.5 for Partizan
                                Comment
                                • TheSportsAnalyst
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-11
                                  • 1156

                                  #1381
                                  Originally posted by whareouttogetme
                                  Line has moved from -1.5 to +0.5 for Partizan
                                  As I easily forecasted... Heavy chance that that early drop was a value bet on Partizan to win at 10.00 and nothing more...
                                  Thanks for the update whareout!
                                  Comment
                                  • hurricane1091
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-01-12
                                    • 713

                                    #1382


                                    Interesting as shit
                                    Comment
                                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 1156

                                      #1383
                                      Mistery solved. Great Team job guys!
                                      Comment
                                      • Gaze73
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-14
                                        • 3291

                                        #1384
                                        Partizan with 60% ball possession, looking good.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheSportsAnalyst
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-11
                                          • 1156

                                          #1385
                                          Great value for 10.00 price!

                                          Hope it will cash for the guys who pulled the trigger.
                                          Comment
                                          • tipsadontlikehim
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-13
                                            • 2569

                                            #1386
                                            nope they are losing, but well the guy who backed it at 10.00 could hedge it even before the start of the match
                                            Comment
                                            • TheSportsAnalyst
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 1156

                                              #1387
                                              Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                              nope they are losing, but well the guy who backed it at 10.00 could hedge it even before the start of the match
                                              Yeah, that's why I told that blindly following the money is worthless if value is gone.
                                              Comment
                                              • amtopm
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-20-14
                                                • 169

                                                #1388
                                                well thats my under 2.5 bet nearly screwed
                                                Comment
                                                • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                  • 1156

                                                  #1389
                                                  28-32, good run for the money and really hope that guy edged out somehow.

                                                  Anyway it was a good lesson for everybody here, fooled by just two/three hits at 1.60/1.70 odds: not every drop means a fix is in and when chasing steam you always have to take value in account.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • amtopm
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-20-14
                                                    • 169

                                                    #1390
                                                    Thats my bet ******. No more from me. lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SydBarrett
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 03-24-14
                                                      • 64

                                                      #1391
                                                      Hi guys. Im new to this forum. Thanks for a great thread. Did you play the Scotland U17 game? I saw it mentioned here before. Think it might be fixed. Im not on it though. Was there any reason for that huge drop? 2-0 now btw.
                                                      Im from Sweden so my english is pretty poor. Good luck!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • amtopm
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-20-14
                                                        • 169

                                                        #1392
                                                        Its not fixed.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SydBarrett
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-24-14
                                                          • 64

                                                          #1393
                                                          In this thread i have seen only two fixed matches. The Latvian and the Greece match. This Scotland U17 match is the closest i seen to those games. Any reason you think its not fixed?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • amtopm
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-20-14
                                                            • 169

                                                            #1394
                                                            I can't imagine international teams - especially under 17. Some of these guys haven't even hit puberty yet.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SydBarrett
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 03-24-14
                                                              • 64

                                                              #1395
                                                              Originally posted by amtopm
                                                              I can't imagine international teams - especially under 17. Some of these guys haven't even hit puberty yet.
                                                              Odds dropped from around 2 to 1.35 before kick off.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • amtopm
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 03-20-14
                                                                • 169

                                                                #1396
                                                                dropping odds can mean a number of things. What makes you think its fixed
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SydBarrett
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 03-24-14
                                                                  • 64

                                                                  #1397
                                                                  Originally posted by amtopm
                                                                  dropping odds can mean a number of things. What makes you think its fixed
                                                                  The reason i wrote is because i cant see any other reason to the drop than being fixed. In this thread people are posting drops thats normal, but 2 to 1.35 is not normal if nothing extraordinary happened. So thats what i wonder, if there was any extraordinary reason.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-12-11
                                                                    • 1156

                                                                    #1398
                                                                    It was a really small market Syd, odds were probably wrong set and somebody punished early bookies creating some 'following the money' effect.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SarahPalin
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-26-13
                                                                      • 1489

                                                                      #1399
                                                                      Originally posted by SarahPalin
                                                                      pretty much went through all of 2morrows matches in small leagues couldnt find anything decent

                                                                      only smallest lean would be

                                                                      AGF Aarhus v Esbjerg - esberg draw no bet at -200
                                                                      OMG GUYS WE DID IT 3-0 MY PRO WAS RIGHT HES UP 300 UNITS THIS WEEK ALONE - GAZE

                                                                      but something did seem fishy to me and nice to break even for yesterday after madrid was lol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • amtopm
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 03-20-14
                                                                        • 169

                                                                        #1400
                                                                        It is best not always think "fix" when you see odds dropped like that, i used to think that too but theres alot more to it, stick around and we'l all crack this together
                                                                        Comment
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