COVID-19 Data - 4/24/20 – 4/27/20

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  • WillyBoy
    SBR MVP
    • 06-19-18
    • 1988

    #1
    COVID-19 Data - 4/24/20 – 4/27/20
    Having no basketball or baseball to occupy me, I have been tracking and posting Covid 19 data for several weeks and, as long as there is any interest in the numbers, I’ll be posting here daily as well. The current data I grab is from the Worldometers, UW’s IHME, and Johns Hopkins websites, just after midnight GMT, which is when they flip the day.

    The nations I’ve included have changed a bit since I began, the reasons too long to discuss – but, for comparative reasons, S. Korea was added as an ideal for comparing results with the U.S. Both countries diagnosed their first Covid 19 case on the same day – 1/20/20 – and second, because their initial responses were so radically different. The U.S. became narrowly focused on restricting travel from China (which didn’t really work) and then Europe; and testing, as a strategy, was put on the back burner, with the U.S. content to test only the symptomatic. South Korea, on the other, ramped up its testing, to include the symptomatic as well as co-workers, friends and family (ie. cluster testing), then isolate and quarantine. The Koreans conducted nearly 300,000 tests within two months of diagnosing their first COVID-19 patient. By contrast, the U.S. only conducted about 60,000 tests in that same time period; and, despite evidence and results which show that aggressive, widespread testing works, the U.S. still lags far behind most countries in testing per population. It will be interesting to track how S. Korea ends up in terms of the factors I’m tracking, and how quickly its economy rebounds as compared to the U.S.

    ALSO, I’ve just added Sweden, a hero to some because, far from being a lockdown, social-distancing nation, are currently embracing Covid 19 and its consequences; a kind of damn-the-torpedoes-full-speed-ahead approach. Not sure about the thinking behind Sweden’s outlier response to Covid 19, but tracking them should serve as a good comparative study.

    And, as several U.S. states begin to emerge from lockdown, it seems appropriate to begin tracking their rates of Covid 19 case increase, deaths, and testing. I’ve limited the number of states in these posts to the most populous, adding such states that have begun to reopen for business. Although these states are supposed to conform to the CDC’s protocols for reporting, some state numbers are a bit dubious, but their numbers are the only numbers, so they’re included.

    Anyway, worldwide the case rate rose, thanks to the U.S. which now leads the pack in both Covid 19 cases, and the rate of increase. The death rate for the U.S. dropped a tad, and recoveries improved.

    Texas has finally started testing seriously, but the number of reported deaths remains suspiciously low, as it does in Georgia. Massachusetts and Illinois are getting hammered, with Virginia and Pennsylvania not far behind.



  • WillyBoy
    SBR MVP
    • 06-19-18
    • 1988

    #2
    Comment
    • Auto Donk
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-03-13
      • 43572

      #3
      suspiciously low?

      no, it's just called being from Texas....

      we laugh at the flu.... especially the KUNG FUKKIN' FLU.......
      Comment
      • WillyBoy
        SBR MVP
        • 06-19-18
        • 1988

        #4
        Originally posted by Auto Donk
        suspiciously low?

        no, it's just called being from Texas....

        we laugh at the flu.... especially the KUNG FUKKIN' FLU.......
        By “suspiciously low” I mean to suggest that in some states (like Texas) public health officials may be motivated to deflate Covid 19 case numbers and the number of dead for political-economic reasons. It becomes suspicious when the numbers consistently vary widely from similarly populated states. Unless such states are following something other than CDC guidance on identifying cases and deaths, or that somehow, the Coronavirus in that state is less lethal, the reported numbers make no sense. There are powerful business interests applying pressure on Abbot to reopen the state, and Republicans further to the right of even Abbot, who agree and point to the low death numbers reported as validating their desire to send people back to work. So far, Abbot has proceeded with caution, but the Texas rich are pretty impatient, and what they want, they usually get.
        Comment
        • mpaschal34
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-04-13
          • 12087

          #5
          Originally posted by WillyBoy
          By “suspiciously low” I mean to suggest that in some states (like Texas) public health officials may be motivated to deflate Covid 19 case numbers and the number of dead for political-economic reasons. It becomes suspicious when the numbers consistently vary widely from similarly populated states. Unless such states are following something other than CDC guidance on identifying cases and deaths, or that somehow, the Coronavirus in that state is less lethal, the reported numbers make no sense. There are powerful business interests applying pressure on Abbot to reopen the state, and Republicans further to the right of even Abbot, who agree and point to the low death numbers reported as validating their desire to send people back to work. So far, Abbot has proceeded with caution, but the Texas rich are pretty impatient, and what they want, they usually get.
          Or could it be the other way around and the certain states are inflating their numbers?
          Comment
          • Tanko
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-19-09
            • 5146

            #6
            What's your theory on why the US rate of CASES increase (4.9%) is ahead of Sweden (4.6%) when Sweden is essentially "doing nothing" while US has locked down 90% the country?

            Is Sweden under reporting?
            Maybe its due to lower population densities?
            Are they approaching herd immunity already?

            Seems like Sweden would be leading the pack with their approach.
            Comment
            • WillyBoy
              SBR MVP
              • 06-19-18
              • 1988

              #7
              It’s no secret that the U.S. didn’t respond with a national lockdown quick enough to minimize the spread of Covid 19, and the enormous number of infected bears witness to that huge folly. Rates of infection, however, are a direct correlation to testing – as opposed to the raw numbers - and as the U.S. ramped up testing only recently, the infection rate will obviously rise. It’s too soon to call yesterday’s rate spike a trend, but it bears watching as states begin to reopen. Sweden, on the other hand has, in the last month, exploded in the number of infections and deaths, and all rates are trending upwards. Especially ominous is the fact that testing in Sweden, per population, is one of the lowest rates in Europe, strongly suggesting that things will get a lot worse before they get better. Given that WHO ranked Sweden’s public health system number 3 in the world, the low rate of reported recoveries is a troubling sign that their hospitals have become overwhelmed; and unless grownups quickly assert themselves, at least in terms of a common sense response to the Coronavirus pandemic, Sweden will fast become the next Italy.
              Comment
              • WillyBoy
                SBR MVP
                • 06-19-18
                • 1988

                #8
                "Or could it be the other way around and the certain states are inflating their numbers?"


                While there may be an unscrupulous motive to inflating the numbers of infected (and I love a good conspiracy theory), states have no incentive to inflate their numbers of Covid 19 dead. On the contrary, as the dead are no longer a drain on medical resources – caregivers, respirators, ICU’s – they are, indeed, a financial boon to individual states; so, it makes no economic or political sense to pad their death stats. Inflating the number of infected, however, could enhance their claims for federal resource support, but that would be tricky. The CDC receives data directly from authorized labs, as well as state public health officials, so the states can’t manipulate their numbers too drastically, without revealing their sinister motives. Underreporting deaths and infections, on the other hand, has high propaganda value in terms of both politics and economics, especially for wealthy states like Texas and California whose need for federal help is comparatively low; so, for citizens of these states, the question is – who do you trust?
                Comment
                • habitualwinning
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-12
                  • 1569

                  #9
                  Who gives a fukk about the numbers anymore. This shits over with. NYC, Chicago and CA are locked down like Nazi camps. The rest of the country is open or will be wide open in the next week. FL is having UFC fights in early May. Events aren't being canceled anymore. This shit is over. NYC, Chicago and CA are a bunch of control freaks and snowflakes. My friends and I are already planning summer vacations and shit. The country will be booming again soon but please keep NYC and CA locked up all year. That just means shorter lines and less wait times for the rest of us.
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63182

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Tanko
                    What's your theory on why the US rate of CASES increase (4.9%) is ahead of Sweden (4.6%) when Sweden is essentially "doing nothing" while US has locked down 90% the country?

                    Is Sweden under reporting?
                    Maybe its due to lower population densities?
                    Are they approaching herd immunity already?

                    Seems like Sweden would be leading the pack with their approach.
                    testing. They've testing less than 100,000 people and the US has over 5 million

                    Their death rate is higher than the US
                    Comment
                    • WillyBoy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-19-18
                      • 1988

                      #11
                      Changed the frames a bit to make it more readable, and added state testing ranks to show where states stand on the most important issue for coming out of economic lockdown.


                      Comment
                      • WillyBoy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-19-18
                        • 1988

                        #12



                        Comment
                        • WillyBoy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-19-18
                          • 1988

                          #13
                          Originally posted by habitualwinning
                          Who gives a fukk about the numbers anymore. This shits over with. NYC, Chicago and CA are locked down like Nazi camps. The rest of the country is open or will be wide open in the next week. FL is having UFC fights in early May. Events aren't being canceled anymore. This shit is over. NYC, Chicago and CA are a bunch of control freaks and snowflakes. My friends and I are already planning summer vacations and shit. The country will be booming again soon but please keep NYC and CA locked up all year. That just means shorter lines and less wait times for the rest of us.

                          With nearly a million cases, the U.S. is hardly over Covid 19, although the governors of Florida and Georgia are more than happy that their propaganda has gotten a grip on suckers like yourself, that everything is hunky-dory, and returning to work is perfectly risk-free. However, if you looked and understood the numbers I post, it’s pretty plan that business interests and their political stooges are selling you a bill of goods, for “payment” you won’t be happy to receive. By all means, plan your vacation, it’s the human evolutionary force at work, trying to preserve the specie through scraping off the perfectly idiotic and thereby preventing their polluting reproduction.
                          Comment
                          • SBR_Guest_Pro
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-10-15
                            • 3956

                            #14
                            nice coverage
                            Comment
                            • Auto Donk
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-03-13
                              • 43572

                              #15
                              Originally posted by WillyBoy
                              By “suspiciously low” I mean to suggest that in some states (like Texas) public health officials may be motivated to deflate Covid 19 case numbers and the number of dead for political-economic reasons. It becomes suspicious when the numbers consistently vary widely from similarly populated states. Unless such states are following something other than CDC guidance on identifying cases and deaths, or that somehow, the Coronavirus in that state is less lethal, the reported numbers make no sense. There are powerful business interests applying pressure on Abbot to reopen the state, and Republicans further to the right of even Abbot, who agree and point to the low death numbers reported as validating their desire to send people back to work. So far, Abbot has proceeded with caution, but the Texas rich are pretty impatient, and what they want, they usually get.
                              perhaps it is the Texas data that is accurate, and shithole, politically motivated government officials in so called "hot spots" are the ones actually cooking their data, claiming everything except heads blown off by shotguns and alien abductions as corona deaths....

                              there's a reason in those shithole, politically motivated states that every other category of disease has stopped killing people, and now they only die of coronavirus.......


                              they even tried to rope in "alien abductions," but had a hard time explaining the giant metal hoop de doos stickin' out of the victims' asses....... even a little ol bat virus doesn't cause that.....
                              Comment
                              • Auto Donk
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-03-13
                                • 43572

                                #16
                                Originally posted by SBR_Guest_Pro
                                nice coverage
                                nicer coverage.....




                                or, perhaps, the lack thereof.....
                                Comment
                                • Auto Donk
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-03-13
                                  • 43572

                                  #17
                                  Comment
                                  • habitualwinning
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-12
                                    • 1569

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by WillyBoy
                                    With nearly a million cases, the U.S. is hardly over Covid 19, although the governors of Florida and Georgia are more than happy that their propaganda has gotten a grip on suckers like yourself, that everything is hunky-dory, and returning to work is perfectly risk-free. However, if you looked and understood the numbers I post, it’s pretty plan that business interests and their political stooges are selling you a bill of goods, for “payment” you won’t be happy to receive. By all means, plan your vacation, it’s the human evolutionary force at work, trying to preserve the specie through scraping off the perfectly idiotic and thereby preventing their polluting reproduction.
                                    With almost everyone dying being elderly and/or black, as a young, super fit and healthy white guy, I'll take my chances. You have the same risk of dying in a car accident everyday but you're not out here being soft on driving are you? Sissy scared bitch. You little communist fukker. Stay in your basement the rest of your life and starve to death for all I care. The rest of us will be out enjoying life.
                                    Comment
                                    • Auto Donk
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-03-13
                                      • 43572

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                      With almost everyone dying being elderly and/or black, as a young, super fit and healthy white guy, I'll take my chances. You have the same risk of dying in a car accident everyday but you're not out here being soft on driving are you? Sissy scared bitch. You little communist fukker. Stay in your basement the rest of your life and starve to death for all I care. The rest of us will be out enjoying life.
                                      ^^^
                                      this
                                      Comment
                                      • WillyBoy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-19-18
                                        • 1988

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                        With almost everyone dying being elderly and/or black, as a young, super fit and healthy white guy, I'll take my chances. You have the same risk of dying in a car accident everyday but you're not out here being soft on driving are you? Sissy scared bitch. You little communist fukker. Stay in your basement the rest of your life and starve to death for all I care. The rest of us will be out enjoying life.
                                        Thanks for making my point about evolution - but, comparing it to dying in car accidents? That compares only if your driving blind, because you can't see Covid 19 coming. The numbers currently are Covid 19 infected 80 or older die at the rate of 14.8%. 70 to 79, 8%; 60 to 69, 3.6%; 50 to 59; 1.3%; 40 to 49, .04%; and 0.2% for people ages 10 to 39. So, being young and super fit means that the biggest danger to you is the danger you pose to others – but fukem right? Go out and party then go home and give your mother a big wet one for me.
                                        Comment
                                        • Auto Donk
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-03-13
                                          • 43572

                                          #21
                                          just hope you don't get the shit in nyc.........


                                          fukkin' death sentence if you do........



                                          Comment
                                          • WillyBoy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-19-18
                                            • 1988

                                            #22
                                            The Saturday thru Monday variations in numbers are in evidence today. Low numbers on the weekend, followed Monday explosions, makes seeing trends in infections and deaths nearly impossible. Things come together on Tuesdays, but hoping these are the trends, afterall. Today's daily number of infections and deaths has dropped significantly worldwide and in the U.S. where Pennsylvania, Georgia, California and Tennessee are becoming hotspots of infections and deaths.

                                            Comment
                                            • WillyBoy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-19-18
                                              • 1988

                                              #23



                                              Comment
                                              • Sanity Check
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-30-13
                                                • 10973

                                                #24
                                                The global stats released during the spanish flu were fake.

                                                What has changed between then and now?
                                                Comment
                                                • Eddy Munny
                                                  Benched
                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                  • 15769

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                                  The global stats released during the spanish flu were fake.

                                                  What has changed between then and now?
                                                  Stop waffling, you scared little rabbit. I told you falsifying death certificates to indicate COVID-19 as cause of death was rampant, and you soaked your shorts. Get with the program and get off the fence.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sanity Check
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-30-13
                                                    • 10973

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                    Stop waffling, you scared little rabbit. I told you falsifying death certificates to indicate COVID-19 as cause of death was rampant, and you soaked your shorts. Get with the program and get off the fence.

                                                    Data is falsified.

                                                    You don't know where or how.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Eddy Munny
                                                      Benched
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 15769

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                                      Data is falsified.

                                                      You don't know where or how.
                                                      Your next worthwhile post will be your first.

                                                      I'm surprised you're not in politics yourself... You've clearly mastered the art of relentless talking while saying nothing.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sanity Check
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-30-13
                                                        • 10973

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                        I'm surprised you're not in politics yourself...


                                                        The real problem with politics is the public not caring enough to inform or educate themselves.

                                                        No single person can fix that. People have to want to change.

                                                        Until then, things will always be extremely fuked up.

                                                        People will support the wrong things and the wrong people. They don't know any better.


                                                        Obama tried to make real change. No one gave a shit. Obama lacked the support he needed. Now we see Trump in the same boat.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Eddy Munny
                                                          Benched
                                                          • 08-13-13
                                                          • 15769

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                                          The real problem with politics is the public not caring enough to inform or educate themselves.
                                                          The problem with the public is the public not caring enough to inform or educate themselves.

                                                          Politics, conversely, thrives on public ignorance.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sanity Check
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-30-13
                                                            • 10973

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                            The problem with the public is the public not caring enough to inform or educate themselves.

                                                            Politics, conversely, thrives on public ignorance.

                                                            Politics are merely a mirror of the public.

                                                            To some degree, this is why congress and senate members carry the title of representatives.

                                                            If the public doesn't give a fk.

                                                            The politicians who represent them won't give a fk either.

                                                            Its like a fundamental law of nature.


                                                            I still have to try to encourage and inform people. But EVEN I know its not going anywhere unless God intervenes or something extraordinarily unexpected happens.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WillyBoy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-19-18
                                                              • 1988

                                                              #31
                                                              It’s almost a litmus test for stupidity - Answer this question for the audience: Are Covid 19 death numbers exaggerated? If you think so, your head is so far up your butt you can probably see the back of your molars. You had to issue from the shallowest end of the gene pool to have arrived at such a brainless assumption – and, where the heck was evolution – protecting the species – when you were spawned? I mean – REALLY!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Eddy Munny
                                                                Benched
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 15769

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by WillyBoy
                                                                It’s almost a litmus test for stupidity - Answer this question for the audience: Are Covid 19 death numbers exaggerated? If you think so, your head is so far up your butt you can probably see the back of your molars. You had to issue from the shallowest end of the gene pool to have arrived at such a brainless assumption – and, where the heck was evolution – protecting the species – when you were spawned? I mean – REALLY!

                                                                Comment
                                                                • WillyBoy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-19-18
                                                                  • 1988

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Worldwide the rate of infection keeps dropping, as it has in the U.S., where although the death rate stayed flat (thanks to Georgia), the total number of dead was lower than anticipated. Recoveries were also up. Numbers-wise, a good day for the U.S.


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WillyBoy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-19-18
                                                                    • 1988

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • WillyBoy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-19-18
                                                                      • 1988

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Comment
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