It's not racism it's realism: NFL and NCAAF betting strategy

[dlowilly]

I think a white qb/white coach vs. a white qb/black coach or black qb/white coach should be a .5 unit play.

Maybe, but would be a ton of data to pour over and a bunch of headaches trying to get it

[dlowilly]

Probable plays this week (depending on starting QB):

Arizona @ Colorado
Maryland @ Rutgers
UTSA @ UTEP
USF @ UCONN

Bye: Arizona State, FSU

[dlowilly]

10/5 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +2.5 W 35-30
10/5 Maryland Locksley/Jackson -14.5 W 48-7
10/5 UTSA Wilson/Narcisse +1 W 26-16
10/5 USF Strong/McCloud -10.5 W 48-22

13-11-1

[jtoler]

is the program breaking down or need to be tweaked these qbs are winning on the road like 6-0 last 6

[NoDraMa4YoMaMa]

is this over?

[dlowilly]

Probable plays depending on starting QBs:

BYU@South Florida
FSU@Clemson
UAB@UTSA
Washington St.@Arizona State
Washington@Arizona
Maryland@Purdue

[Big Bear]

There is a stereotype I have seen on here that fading a black head coach with a black starting QB is profitable

I decided to back test this for the 2017 season

For NFL and NCAAF division I teams there were 47 games played in 2017 in which there was a black head coach and a black starting QB. Their record ATS was 18-27-2

So far in 2018 there have been 11 games under these same parameters and the record ATS so far is 3-7 (ASU has a half black head coach and half black QB so their games are multiplied by .5)

Teams to monitor this season:

-Browns under Hue Jackson with Tyrod Taylor starting

-ASU under Herm Edwards with Manny Wilkins starting

-Illini under Lovie Smith with AJ Bush starting

-FSU under Willie Taggart with Deondre Francois starting

-UT San Antonio under Frank Wilson with Cordale Grundy starting

-Texas State under Everett Withers with Willie Jones III starting



Save the howls of racism, we're here to win. I usually bet all the black underdogs vs. non black opponents in UFC btw

racist AF

[StackinGreen]

When people say this "R" word they need to define it, I don't even know what it means anymore. They just throw it around.

Saying that there aren't characteristics associated with groups is the essence of living in a world that isn't real.

If it weren't, why would we always be "grouping" people regardless of what political affiliation you consider yourself?

[dlowilly]

When people say this "R" word they need to define it, I don't even know what it means anymore. They just throw it around.

Saying that there aren't characteristics associated with groups is the essence of living in a world that isn't real.

If it weren't, why would we always be "grouping" people regardless of what political affiliation you consider yourself?

If they defined it then it would limit their use of it as a self righteous tool (for whites) and catch all excuse (for blacks), so they won't.

[mikejamm]

10/5 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +2.5 W 35-30
10/5 Maryland Locksley/Jackson -14.5 W 48-7
10/5 UTSA Wilson/Narcisse +1 W 26-16
10/5 USF Strong/McCloud -10.5 W 48-22

13-11-1

13-11-1 You’re a racist piece of shit and your shitty dumb fuk “system” sucks! What happened little hitler, run outta black coaches and QB’s to run your fuk’in mouth against?

Another waste of space of this site. Idiots who listen or tail you might as well flush their money down the fuk’in toilet!

[mikejamm]

is the program breaking down or need to be tweaked these qbs are winning on the road like 6-0 last 6

is this over?

Nah man, dblow “smoke up you ass” has got this bro, he’s got a “white QB’s wear’in too much black face grease paint” system he’s work’in on!

[dlowilly]

13-11-1 You’re a racist piece of shit and your shitty dumb fuk “system” sucks! What happened little hitler, run outta black coaches and QB’s to run your fuk’in mouth against?

Another waste of space of this site. Idiots who listen or tail you might as well flush their money down the fuk’in toilet!

Nah man, dblow “smoke up you ass” has got this bro, he’s got a “white QB’s wear’in too much black face grease paint” system he’s work’in on!

Look at this butthurt fool

Got so tired of lurking this thread waiting for this system to fail he lost control of his tourette syndrome

Up at 6am on a saturday trolling my thread...wow that's sad

[dlowilly]

10/5 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +2.5 W 35-30
10/5 Maryland Locksley/Jackson -14.5 W 48-7
10/5 UTSA Wilson/Narcisse +1 W 26-16
10/5 USF Strong/McCloud -10.5 W 48-22

13-11-1

14-11-1 (Maryland Locksley/Pigrome -4 L 14-40)

[dlowilly]

14-11-1 (Maryland Locksley/Pigrome -4 L 14-40)

14-12-1 (10/12 Arizona State Edwards/Daniels +1.5 W 38-34)

[dlowilly]

14-12-1 (10/12 Arizona State Edwards/Daniels +1.5 W 38-34)

15-12-1 (FSU Taggart/Blackman +25.5 L 14-45)

[dlowilly]

15-12-1 (FSU Taggart/Blackman +25.5 L 14-45)

15-13-1 (10/12 USF Strong/McCloud +4.5 W 27-23)

[cincinnatikid513]

fsu might be off the list if hornibrook starts next game

[dlowilly]

fsu might be off the list if hornibrook starts next game

Right, no play if Hornibrook starts

[dlowilly]

15-13-1 (10/12 USF Strong/McCloud +4.5 W 27-23)

16-13-1 (UTSA Wilson/Narcisse +12.5 L 14-33)

Frank Wilson



Lowell Narcisse

[dlowilly]

16-13-1 (UTSA Wilson/Narcisse +12.5 L 14-33)

17-13-1 (10/12 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +6 L 27-51)

Kevin Sumlin



Khalil Tate

[G Anon Dropout]

BYU's coach isn't white.

[bigtymer56]

Is 32-24 racist? It's just another angle. If it didn't work, maybe he would be, but it seems the onus is on you now Mike, to explain why he's a winner doing this.

Oh, and by the way, only a clown would mention the president in this, and then make all manner of lewd associations. It shows that you can't think for yourself, ultimately. Pretty sad.

If this was sustainable one of the many racists and present on this site would've let us know.

You really thing Dblow is the first genius to think "Hmm, black people are stupid, I can make money betting against them!!!"

[dlowilly]

BYU's coach isn't white.

He isn't black either

I welcome any input or if I'm missing a play though, it's hard to keep track of this

[dlowilly]

If this was sustainable one of the many racists and present on this site would've let us know.

You really thing Dblow is the first genius to think "Hmm, black people are stupid, I can make money betting against them!!!"

You butthurts make me laugh

I said in the first post that I bet on black underdogs in MMA

There are differences in the races. Today's "all races are the same" narrative is an easily provable lie, and when it comes to betting, that lie may be exploitable.

[dlowilly]

Another waste of space of this site. Idiots who listen or tail you might as well flush their money down the fuk’in toilet!

Looks like mikejamm is up to his usual success rate in the Pick 6 contest this year

1965

mikejamm

16-19-1

45.71 %

L 2

45.0

-7.78

I think I'd take 17-13-1 over that mess. How does he pick his losers? To be down that many units with that record it looks like he finds the worst bet with the most juice, and makes sure his 2x bet is the worst of all. Maybe he takes his bet sheet into work with him at the glory hole and just sees where stuff lands?

[dlowilly]

Probable plays for this week depending on starting QBs:

South Florida @ Navy
FSU @ Wake Forest
Rice @ UTSA
Arizona State @ Utah
Arizona @ USC
Indiana @ Maryland

[Salam]

Thank you dlow for all that you do. I'm sure there are lots of people out there that have gotten rich off this system over the years.

[Hman]

I'm going to discuss this thread with Drew & genie and see if we can consider moving it back together players talk orat least the NFL/NCAA forums.

No promises though

[dlowilly]

17-13-1 (10/12 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +6 L 27-51)

18-13-1 (10/19 USF Strong/McCloud +15.5 L 3-35)

Charlie Strong



Jordan McCloud

[gojetsgomoxies]

i'm a bit torn on this.. probably see both sides.

something similar -b i know that black african world cup teams seems to perpetually disappoint. maybe expectations are now so low that they don't disappoint. but their results don't match their talent (especially given that they are faster than most other teams). but in soccer's case, there are non-racial explanations like the soccer feds are not supportive of the teams in these countries. (on second thought, maybe it is somewhat race-based effect)..

haven't black Qb's been killing it at times in NFL this season?

honestly, i'd probably look at HC more than QB in NFL or college. and easier to track.

[dlowilly]

18-13-1 (10/19 USF Strong/McCloud +15.5 L 3-35)

18-14-1 (10/19 Maryland Locksley/Pigrome +6.5 L 28-34)

Mike Locksley



Tyler Pigrome

[dlowilly]

18-15-1 (10/19 UTSA Jackson/Narcisse +5 W 31-27)

Frank Wilson



Lowell Narcisse

[dlowilly]

18-15-1 (10/19 UTSA Jackson/Narcisse +5 W 31-27)

19-15-1 (10/19 Arizona State Edwards/Daniels +14 L 3-21)

Herm Edwards



Jayden Daniels

[dlowilly]

19-15-1 (10/19 Arizona State Edwards/Daniels +14 L 3-21)

20-15-1 (10/19 FSU Taggart/Blackman -3 L 20-22)

Willie Taggart



James Blackman

[dlowilly]

20-15-1 (10/19 FSU Taggart/Blackman -3 L 20-22)

21-15-1 (10/19 Arizona Sumlin/Tate +11 L 14-41)

Kevin Sumlin



Khalil Tate