
Originally Posted by
ChuckyTheGoat
Ya, Freddy, that's poker. Appreciate your updates. And of course, I'm rooting for a fellow poster to win.
I'd just say...Don't read too much into your PERSONAL short-term results. It's mostly variance.
I know for a fact that SOME players do turn poker into a living. It's a matter of identifying your edge and being able to estimate your PROSPECTIVE expected value.
Poker is a tough one for me to wrap my head around. Start with the basic problem of Starting $$ on the table:
*Cash game. 10 buy-ins * $100 = $1000. Given 30 hands per hour, that might be $100 coming off the table for RAKE and Tips PER HOUR.
Apologize if my math is off a little. My point is that the AVERAGE player is shedding $10 per hour. How do YOU overcome that? Can't just hope to catch AA at a higher than average rate.
Are the bad players THAT bad? A millionaire doesn't get to that level by being foolish. Therefore, a Big $$ player is very unlikely to donate multiple buy-ins indiscriminately.
*Tournament play. Even 20% would be a big chunk coming out of the win pool, and you said it's 30%. Overcoming that hurdle is not easy.
I can't stand the guys that say Poker is easy. Sure, it's easy to PLAY. How is it easy to WIN?