Shouldn't betting NFL be easy?

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  • mcduggly
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-12
    • 2489

    #1
    Shouldn't betting NFL be easy?
    All I see on this forum is how you guys call NFL spreads one of the toughest things to beat. With that being said, wouldn't that make betting the moneyline favorite fairly easy to make money from?
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Duggly try it and you will be selling fukkin lemonade in front of your house

    Best of luck Cuz
    Comment
    • crustyme
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-29-10
      • 16896

      #3
      Comment
      • jarvol
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-13-10
        • 6074

        #4
        Yes absolutely. Especially if you put them into a $6000 if bet....
        Comment
        • Br0nxer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-25-11
          • 13665

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Duggly try it and you will be selling fukkin lemonade in front of your house

          Best of luck Cuz

          Comment
          • k13
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-16-10
            • 18104

            #6
            NFL ML's were expected to win 70% of games and won exactly 70% of them.
            Comment
            • mcduggly
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-12
              • 2489

              #7
              I'm 42 years old and have been retired for 4 years. I will not be selling lemonade anytime soon, thank you very much.
              Comment
              • GunShard
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-05-10
                • 10031

                #8
                It depends on the ML.

                Also, it's easier to win on College football than NFL.
                Comment
                • Bostongambler
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-01-08
                  • 35581

                  #9
                  You have something against lemonade Mcnutty?
                  Comment
                  • mcduggly
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-12
                    • 2489

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Bostongambler
                    You have something against lemonade Mcnutty?
                    Absolutely not. I'll hire you to bring it bedside every morning if you're interested.
                    Comment
                    • rm18
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-20-05
                      • 22291

                      #11
                      it is easy but there is variance so you will not win betting favorites on the ML blindly or doing teasers blindly
                      Comment
                      • Bostongambler
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-01-08
                        • 35581

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mcduggly
                        Absolutely not. I'll hire you to bring it bedside every morning if you're interested.
                        HEY!!!! You trying to pick me up? Sorry, I don't swing that way.
                        Comment
                        • The Kraken
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-25-11
                          • 28918

                          #13
                          Ummm you spent the entire summer in France, pretty sure you swing that way. Atleast a little.
                          Comment
                          • Bostongambler
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-01-08
                            • 35581

                            #14
                            France has skinny woman that smoke cigs. You should of studied harder in grade school.
                            Comment
                            • tshafer117
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-03-11
                              • 731

                              #15
                              Betting NFL moneylines will get you buried. Ask anyone who took the Saints last week. They will tell you
                              Comment
                              • mngambler
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-11
                                • 2890

                                #16
                                if you have a huge roll and spot bet a good ML here and there it can be successful, but check out brock landers thread last weekend and you'll witness the exact polar opposite of how its done...betting 3 -500 favs in one weekend is like flushing money down the toilet...forcing yourself to go 3 for 3 is just plain dumb
                                Comment
                                • JohnGalt2341
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 9138

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mcduggly
                                  All I see on this forum is how you guys call NFL spreads one of the toughest things to beat. With that being said, wouldn't that make betting the moneyline favorite fairly easy to make money from?
                                  I think one of the biggest reasons why so few people make money betting on sports is because they don't understand the Lines. Especially the MoneyLines. For instance... New England is -800 this weekend against Arizona. It's seems like an obvious pick that New England will win right? But let's assume they played 100 times. How many times would New England have to win in order for you to make a profit? In other words... what percent chance do you think New England has of beating Arizona?
                                  Comment
                                  • racer43
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-03-10
                                    • 211

                                    #18
                                    blindly betting ML favs last week -2.5 units, betting the six games with ML's greater than -300 +1 unit.
                                    Comment
                                    • The Kraken
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-25-11
                                      • 28918

                                      #19
                                      .8888889.

                                      More importantly, do you have an edge and if so, how much of one?
                                      Comment
                                      • coop
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-11-11
                                        • 616

                                        #20
                                        dont overreact to previous week

                                        have giant balls

                                        spot bet big

                                        sweat out games

                                        yell at your wife

                                        dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose

                                        profit
                                        Comment
                                        • Bigbill365
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-22-12
                                          • 4572

                                          #21
                                          play 2 team teasers much easyer on the pocket book if you lose
                                          Comment
                                          • Duff85
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-15-10
                                            • 2920

                                            #22
                                            See people complaining about the NFL and NBA all the time. Last year the NBA was my highest earning sport and I have had profitable years the last two seasons in NFL. College Football and Baseball though...
                                            Comment
                                            • MeatWad
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-18-12
                                              • 1572

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mcduggly
                                              I'm 42 years old and have been retired for 4 years. I will not be selling lemonade anytime soon, thank you very much.
                                              Damn I feel behind so far behind you. I am around the same age and I haven't even had my first job yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • chopperocker
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-16-09
                                                • 1784

                                                #24
                                                you want to play the moneyline? buy 49ers.
                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81450

                                                  #25
                                                  McNugget, show us how its done, man!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Inkwell77
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-03-11
                                                    • 3227

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by coop
                                                    dont overreact to previous week

                                                    have giant balls

                                                    spot bet big

                                                    sweat out games

                                                    yell at your wife

                                                    dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose

                                                    profit
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sunde91
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 8325

                                                      #27
                                                      dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose

                                                      Comment
                                                      • mcduggly
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-22-12
                                                        • 2489

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by coop
                                                        dont overreact to previous week

                                                        have giant balls

                                                        spot bet big

                                                        sweat out games

                                                        yell at your wife

                                                        dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose

                                                        profit
                                                        That's what I've been doing for the past year haha.

                                                        Originally posted by Duff85
                                                        See people complaining about the NFL and NBA all the time. Last year the NBA was my highest earning sport and I have had profitable years the last two seasons in NFL. College Football and Baseball though...
                                                        Yea, baseball has sucked for me. I had a great NBA and college basketball season last year though.

                                                        Originally posted by MeatWad
                                                        Damn I feel behind so far behind you. I am around the same age and I haven't even had my first job yet.
                                                        Haha, well I had to work my ass off for about 12 years and a lot of luck came into play. Turned a chain of HMOs into giants and then sold them to some guy from India for about $34 million. They were actually going under when I took control of them, so all that hard work supposedly paid off.

                                                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                        McNugget, show us how its done, man!!!
                                                        Haha, I might start a thread where I try to go from either $100 to $1,000 or from $1,000 to $10,000 depending on however much I feel like starting with. I would just place "large" bets on moneyline favorites between -300 and -600 or something. The wife doesn't really like me throwing money around though on this kind of stuff, so it might have to be $100 haha.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          Muggles if you just bet ML's you cannot beat NFL

                                                          Lines too tight

                                                          League pretty even

                                                          So hard even to go 4-0 with ML's
                                                          Comment
                                                          • squid44
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-13-10
                                                            • 353

                                                            #30
                                                            another point to examine: each week there are X amount of college football games. College football, having so many games, is harder to monitor as a whole by the books- or another way to look at it, you can find the hidden gem a little easier with there being so many games. Every week in the NFL, there are much fewer games. They got those few games strapped TIGHT, and just when you think you have them, I'd advise you to bet the opposite of your guess =), all kidding aside, BOL- as long as its fun for you, then you are doing the right thing (excluding hard drugs that kill you overtime and excluding psychopaths that harm others for fun). cheers !!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mcduggly
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-12
                                                              • 2489

                                                              #31
                                                              Haha I like the numerous different nicknames I've received in this thread alone.
                                                              Comment
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