Patriots + Packers + Texans to win Division = +120

Easy-Rider 66 · 08-13-12, 12:30 PM

Too many variables to take that proposition imo.

WvGambler · 08-13-12, 12:30 PM

Probably hits, but.....

Too many things have to go right, for your money to be tied up for 17 weeks. +120 isn't good enough for me to tie up money that long. However, yes it probably hits.

k13 · 08-13-12, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

Too many variables to take that proposition imo.

The only variables are: you believe Bills/Jets or Titans or Lions/Bears win division.

In that case you can take most of those at +700.

PickWinnerAllDay · 08-13-12, 12:49 PM

Bears. Rodgers scrambles a shit ton and has avoided injury. He is due.

Easy-Rider 66 · 08-13-12, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by k13

The only variables are: you believe Bills/Jets or Titans or Lions/Bears win division.

In that case you can take most of those at +700.

With key injuries those scenarios could take place. I just do not think it's worth it at only +120. GL if you play it.

seaborneq · 08-13-12, 01:35 PM

Titans will cause problems for TExans. I really like the titans to win the division

k13 · 08-13-12, 01:41 PM

btw, this line would be -110 at Pinnacle if they allowed parlays.

LT Profits · 08-13-12, 02:04 PM

Originally posted by seaborneq

Titans will cause problems for TExans. I really like the titans to win the division

Na, I think Houston is going to the AFC Championship Game, Tennessee is basically garbage, but they could finish 7-9 because rest of division blows.

BigDeem5 · 08-13-12, 02:34 PM

Rodgers won't get hurt you sick fuks. He's the best QB in the league and knows to slide

boeing power · 08-13-12, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by BigDeem5

Rodgers won't get hurt you sick fuks. He's the best QB in the league and knows to slide

Dumbest statement in ths history of SBR.

str · 08-13-12, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by boeing power

Dumbest statement in ths history of SBR.

That's saying a lot.

CrazyCarl · 08-13-12, 04:48 PM

Texans could have a bit of a dropoff (offensive line is a definite downgrade and I don't think people understand this yet), although they are definitely very good. Probably only thing that can get you is major injuries, but unless the Packers or Pats lose their QB they should be fine.

LT Profits · 08-13-12, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by CrazyCarl

Texans could have a bit of a dropoff (offensive line is a definite downgrade and I don't think people understand this yet), although they are definitely very good. Probably only thing that can get you is major injuries, but unless the Packers or Pats lose their QB they should be fine.

You can probably get away with slightly less talented linemen when you use a zone blocking scheme.

CrazyCarl · 08-13-12, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

You can probably get away with slightly less talented linemen when you use a zone blocking scheme.

Yeah, Denver had success for years, but their offense is SO focused on the run, I could see it becoming a problem. And when I say a dropoff, I don't mean like, they'll be bad. I considered them the best team in the league last year if it wasn't for the injuries.

LT Profits · 08-13-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by CrazyCarl

Yeah, Denver had success for years, but their offense is SO focused on the run, I could see it becoming a problem. And when I say a dropoff, I don't mean like, they'll be bad. I considered them the best team in the league last year if it wasn't for the injuries.

Simple solution: Schaub and Andre stay healthy to add balance.

GamblerSpirit · 08-13-12, 06:13 PM

Horrible odds.

LT Profits · 08-13-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by GamblerSpirit

Horrible odds.

No it's not. As mentioned, parlay comes out to about -110 at Pinny.

rm18 · 08-13-12, 07:08 PM

the individual teams have horrible odds the market does not matter

GamblerSpirit · 08-13-12, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

No it's not. As mentioned, parlay comes out to about -110 at Pinny.

So what? I would never do that, garbage odds.

k13 · 08-13-12, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by GamblerSpirit

So what? I would never do that, garbage odds.

So you don't think these teams win the divisions 45% of the time??????

I'll give you +100 on the other side if you'd like...

Mind you, I heard you were a stiff....unless I'm confusing that with someone else....idk.

GamblerSpirit · 08-13-12, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by k13

So you don't think these teams win the divisions 45% of the time??????

I'll give you +100 on the other side if you'd like...
Mind you, I heard you were a stiff....unless I'm confusing that with someone else....idk.

If i had pts to gamble with i'd do it. Not sure where you got the stiff comment from, but you should do your homework prior to accussing anybody of being a thief. The only thing i am guilty of is winning 700 points from you thanks to the Giants winning the SB! Funny how you dont remember that..

k13 · 08-13-12, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by GamblerSpirit

If i had pts to gamble with i'd do it. Not sure where you got the stiff comment from, but you should do your homework prior to accussing anybody of being a thief. The only thing i am guilty of is winning 700 points from you thanks to the Giants winning the SB! Funny how you dont remember that..

Someone else accused you a few times, I'm not accusing you myself. Maybe your avatar change confused me....

If you think you can gather 500 points by seasons end or get a loan then we'll have a fun bet.

GamblerSpirit · 08-13-12, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by k13

Someone else accused you a few times, I'm not accusing you myself. Maybe your avatar change confused me....

If you think you can gather 500 points by seasons end or get a loan then we'll have a fun bet.

We'll see. My first yr nfl handicapping on sbr...im psyched.

P.s. Being called a stiff by retards doesn't make it a fact. Shame on you for listening to these dimwits. Jealous ones envy. What can you do?

GunShard · 08-13-12, 08:16 PM

Looks good.

Goat Milk · 08-13-12, 08:16 PM

80% likely a winner. GL I don't have the balls to make these kinds of bets.

rm18 · 08-13-12, 08:31 PM

Division winners have only repeated 30% of the time in the last 14 years. And San Francisco is by far the most likely to repeat not those teams.

k13 · 08-13-12, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by rm18

Division winners have only repeated 30% of the time in the last 14 years. And San Francisco is by far the most likely to repeat not those teams.

You can substitute San Fran with any team that you don't feel strong about and get even better odds.

How many "big faves" division winners have repeated? Lot of them are coin flips over the years.

Niners/Cowboys used to win every year.

Patriots have won 8 out of the last 9 divisions. The one they did not win, they were tied for.

qsilver335 · 08-13-12, 08:58 PM

Too many things can happen here. I would take them all individually if you are that confident about them all.

Andy117 · 08-13-12, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by k13

How can SBR members pass this up? As square as it gets but probably better than laying -130 on some of these random team totals people do...

The only ones who would argue against it are Bears homers.

Even though we'd all love to see Brady/Rogers injured for the whole year, where does this lose?

Injury to Brady, Rodgers or Foster and that goes out the window.

k13 · 08-13-12, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by Andy117

Injury to Brady, Rodgers or Foster and that goes out the window.

Foster is easily replaceable.

You make it sound like early season ending injuries are 50/50 to happen to brady/rodgers???

In that case take each team to NOT win division. Simple enough.

Ghenghis Kahn · 08-13-12, 10:08 PM

might sound easy but that bet is one qb injury away from a loss...

Big Bear · 08-13-12, 10:25 PM

i know the Packers and Patriots will hit. Not sure about the Texans.

Big Bear · 08-13-12, 10:26 PM

Texans will have a tough time replacing Mario Williams. And now Arian Foster is a vegetarian... not sure if he will be able to maintain strength with the lack of protein in his diet.

LT Profits · 08-13-12, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by rm18

the individual teams have horrible odds the market does not matter

Pinny has the lowest hold on futures in the industry so the odds there are more fair than at other books.