huge line movement on nev/so miss tonight

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  • milwaukee mike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-22-07
    • 26914

    #1
    huge line movement on nev/so miss tonight
    so miss went from -10 -110 at sia down to -8.5 +110 in the blink of an eye

    other shops are down to -7 -110
  • sthrncross
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-28-11
    • 208

    #2
    the play is the OVER
    Comment
    • Grits n' Gravy
      Restricted User
      • 06-10-10
      • 13024

      #3
      Line just moved back to opening number. Nothing more.
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37534

        #4
        Somebody messing w/ the #, creating a middle.

        Was it really +10 for some time?
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • sideloaded
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-21-10
          • 7561

          #5
          why are you quoting sia numbers?
          Comment
          • milwaukee mike
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-22-07
            • 26914

            #6
            Originally posted by sideloaded
            why are you quoting sia numbers?
            they were still higher than most
            lot of 9s out there this morning
            Comment
            • TEXAS MICKEY
              SBR MVP
              • 11-14-10
              • 1398

              #7
              Check the So Miss roster, somebody might have been surfing, missed team meeting, or missed curfew last night..................
              Comment
              • felon4wins
                SBR Hustler
                • 10-29-11
                • 50

                #8
                s miss will role big tonite take em up to 14 theyll cover
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Loving my Nevada +9
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 37534

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                    Check the So Miss roster, somebody might have been surfing, missed team meeting, or missed curfew last night..................
                    Haven't heard anything, but possible. Head Coach has one foot out the door.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • paranoyd androyd
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-01-11
                      • 6459

                      #11
                      game blows and is meaningless neither team cares
                      Comment
                      • Madison
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 6461

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                        Somebody messing w/ the #, creating a middle. Was it really +10 for some time?
                        No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
                        Comment
                        • jeffdane
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-20-09
                          • 5165

                          #13
                          s miss won conf usa, they are happy to be in this bowl. s miss coach is leaving after this game, going to n carolina.

                          i dont know about nevada but s miss will be up for this game.

                          if you like nevada you should just play the over, s miss scores at least 35.

                          s miss already explosive offense will pull some tricks out of the bag, in the coaches last game.
                          Comment
                          • Glitch
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-08-09
                            • 11795

                            #14
                            this current/recent line is more like what it was before it went way up there (originally)
                            Comment
                            • milwaukee mike
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-22-07
                              • 26914

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Madison
                              No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
                              those numbers aren't meaningless. over 2% of ncaa football games end in an 8 point margin of victory.
                              combine that with 9 and you're well over 3% of the games. and i didn't say it moved from 9 1/2 i said it moved from 10, and i didn't say it moved to 7 1/2 i said it moved to 7.
                              compare that with the # of games that land on 3 which is around 7% and landing on 7 which is 6% or so.

                              so a move from 10 to 7 is hugely significant, including pushes you're accounting for about 13% of the expected results.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52037

                                #16
                                -7 at 5dimes right now
                                Comment
                                • iQon
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-08-10
                                  • 1483

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
                                  We're talking about college football here. Quality kickers are a luxury at this level. Missed FG's and XP's are a regular occurrence.
                                  Comment
                                  • DrSize
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-22-10
                                    • 1027

                                    #18
                                    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 52037

                                      #19
                                      anybody that thinks 1-3 points isnt a big difference

                                      that tells me all i need to know about your skills...

                                      and they arent very good
                                      Comment
                                      • sideloaded
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-21-10
                                        • 7561

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Madison
                                        No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
                                        you need a better push chart
                                        Comment
                                        • Puppy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-23-11
                                          • 1994

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by paranoyd androyd
                                          game blows and is meaningless neither team cares
                                          QB for s.miss cares a lot. hes trying to get drafted and has about a 50/50 chance to make it in the nfl. so unless his offensive teammates hate him look for him to do some things. i think over is the play here
                                          Comment
                                          • jeffdane
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-20-09
                                            • 5165

                                            #22
                                            nevada return man and one of main running backs has been kicked off the team.

                                            if you didnt know.

                                            ball.
                                            Comment
                                            • tony_come
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-31-10
                                              • 21695

                                              #23
                                              The man middle

                                              he's good
                                              Comment
                                              • Blazermaniac
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-30-08
                                                • 556

                                                #24
                                                "IN A BET THERE IS A FOOL AND A THIEF" I like your quote MilMike.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by DrSize
                                                  I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
                                                  Muy Bueno!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jaug
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-11-09
                                                    • 3087

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DrSize
                                                    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
                                                    Well well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hawk 5
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-06
                                                      • 3982

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by DrSize
                                                      I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
                                                      Nice
                                                      Comment
                                                      • milwaukee mike
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-22-07
                                                        • 26914

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Blazermaniac
                                                        "IN A BET THERE IS A FOOL AND A THIEF" I like your quote MilMike.
                                                        thanks

                                                        got a 1/2 middle with so miss -7 -110 and nevada +10 -130
                                                        had some money to rollover so didn't mind some excess juice for a middle chance
                                                        Comment
                                                        • milwaukee mike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-22-07
                                                          • 26914

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DrSize
                                                          I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
                                                          nice work
                                                          now learn how to spell NEVADA - great state
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigdaddyQH
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-13-09
                                                            • 19530

                                                            #30
                                                            A huge middle win. This line was played beautifully by the wiseguys who got Joe Pub to buy in on Southern Miss.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sideloaded
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-21-10
                                                              • 7561

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                              A huge middle win. This line was played beautifully by the wiseguys who got Joe Pub to buy in on Southern Miss.
                                                              Imagine all those sharps that won. moving that line.

                                                              I had southern miss at pick-em, granted the juice was high but it WAS PICK'em
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by sideloaded
                                                                Imagine all those sharps that won. moving that line.

                                                                I had southern miss at pick-em, granted the juice was high but it WAS PICK'em
                                                                A lot of newbies don't get the joke though.
                                                                Comment
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