Northwestern +4 and ML vs. Penn State is the Best College Play of the Week

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #36
    Originally posted by priskilla22
    PSU dominates Iowa. Iowa dominates Northwestern, and you're all over NW against PSU? Not bright.
    The transitive property always works with sports betting. Outstanding point.
    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #37
      Originally posted by priskilla22
      Keep betting on a team that never beats its opponent and is far and away inferior talent wise.

      PSU dominates Iowa. Iowa dominates Northwestern, and you're all over NW against PSU? Not bright.
      Neither game was a domination by any means whatsoever. You're so clueless bro. This is why people lose money.
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #38
        Originally posted by priskilla22

        Sure, if PSU wins, you leave. Deal.
        Not how it works pal. I'm the one taking the +155 dog. Penn State can't lose this game right? They are the far superior team.
        Comment
        • Nittany Lion
          SBR MVP
          • 09-14-10
          • 1639

          #39
          PSU alum here, I've watched every Penn State game since 2004 when I went there, yes.....our offense has been horrible this year but Northwestern's defense is pretty soft and our defense is decent. I'm sure Persa will put up some points but I don't think it will be enough to cover, I would stay away from this bet. It will probably be a close game at the half but I expect PSU to pull away in the 2nd half.

          I'd bet you on this game t-wizzle but since you're not SBR Pro, you wouldn't be able to transfer me the points if you lost. I think non SBR Pro's can only transfer like 2 points a day or something like that.
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #40
            Originally posted by No coincidences

            The transitive property always works with sports betting. Outstanding point.
            Don't you love this sbr logic no coin?
            Comment
            • asdfghasdfgh
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-27-11
              • 359

              #41
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              The transitive property always works with sports betting. Outstanding point.
              This is true. That's why, in every series, be it a season series or playoff series, the team that wins the first game wins the series 100% of the time in a sweep. I don't know how I could have missed this valuable, groundbreaking insight.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #42
                Originally posted by asdfghasdfgh
                This is true. That's why, in every series, be it a season series or playoff series, the team that wins the first game wins the series 100% of the time in a sweep. I don't know how I could have missed this valuable, groundbreaking insight.
                You learn this shit by tuning in to SBR -- pay attention!
                Comment
                • priskilla22
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-22-11
                  • 2289

                  #43
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  The transitive property always works with sports betting. Outstanding point.
                  Betting on good teams usually works when they play bad teams. Good enough for me.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #44
                    Originally posted by priskilla22
                    Betting on good teams usually works when they play bad teams. Good enough for me.
                    Comment
                    • priskilla22
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-22-11
                      • 2289

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Nittany Lion
                      PSU alum here, I've watched every Penn State game since 2004 when I went there, yes.....our offense has been horrible this year but Northwestern's defense is pretty soft and our defense is decent. I'm sure Persa will put up some points but I don't think it will be enough to cover, I would stay away from this bet. It will probably be a close game at the half but I expect PSU to pull away in the 2nd half.

                      I'd bet you on this game t-wizzle but since you're not SBR Pro, you wouldn't be able to transfer me the points if you lost. I think non SBR Pro's can only transfer like 2 points a day or something like that.
                      Northwestern's defense is horrible, so PSU's offense being sub par might not even matter here.

                      PSU's defense is for real though, so NW's in trouble.
                      Comment
                      • priskilla22
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 2289

                        #46
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        PSU was worse last year and put up 35 straight on the mildcats...
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #47
                          Originally posted by priskilla22

                          PSU was worse last year and put up 35 straight on the mildcats...
                          They were going for Paterno's 400th win and it was played at home. If anything, you should be concerned that Penn State was trailing in the game 21-0.
                          Comment
                          • james4512
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-08
                            • 3707

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            What are their "big problems" exactly?
                            to start with there best player is out for the year that usually hurts
                            Comment
                            • t-wizzle
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-18-09
                              • 38099

                              #49
                              Originally posted by priskilla22

                              Northwestern's defense is horrible, so PSU's offense being sub par might not even matter here.

                              PSU's defense is for real though, so NW's in trouble.
                              How has Penn State's offense done against Purdue's defense so far? How about Iowa's? Temple's? Indiana's?
                              Comment
                              • priskilla22
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-22-11
                                • 2289

                                #50
                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                They were going for Paterno's 400th win and it was played at home. If anything, you should be concerned that Penn State was trailing in the game 21-0.

                                IF I were you, I'd be more concerned that PSU's defense absolutely destroyed Persa and the wildcats in the 2nd half last year, and that PSU's defense is better this year than it was last year.
                                Comment
                                • priskilla22
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-22-11
                                  • 2289

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                  How has Penn State's offense done against Purdue's defense so far? How about Iowa's? Temple's? Indiana's?
                                  Yes, and you are a genius for betting on a team with a 4 game losing streak, including a loss to Army...

                                  Listen, the fact is, NW's defense is very soft in the middle, and PSU's strength is pounding the ball.

                                  Silas Redd and Dukes will wear that NW defense down, they are both running great this year.
                                  Comment
                                  • priskilla22
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-22-11
                                    • 2289

                                    #52
                                    The best team NW's beat is 1-5 Boston College.
                                    Comment
                                    • priskilla22
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 2289

                                      #53
                                      RealTimeRPI.com College Football: Real Time NCAA College Football/NCAAF Analysis, Rankings, Schedule, Discussion, NCAAF Forums


                                      PSU - 19th
                                      Northwestern - 102nd
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #54
                                        Put your money where your mouth is priskilla. I'm tired of seeing you spew all this nonsense all over the thread. Take Penn State and shut up.
                                        Comment
                                        • msutter
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-14-07
                                          • 1162

                                          #55
                                          NU is the play here. Now that Persa has had a couple of games under his belt I'm expecting to see his best performance of the season to date. Penn St just edged out a bad Purdue team at home. Their last road game they beat a horrific Indiana team 16-10. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here and I think they get it done. I also see them winning four or possibly five out of their last six games to make a fourth straight bowl game.
                                          Comment
                                          • t-wizzle
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-18-09
                                            • 38099

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by msutter
                                            NU is the play here. Now that Persa has had a couple of games under his belt I'm expecting to see his best performance of the season to date. Penn St just edged out a bad Purdue team at home. Their last road game they beat a horrific Indiana team 16-10. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here and I think they get it done. I also see them winning four or possibly five out of their last six games to make a fourth straight bowl game.
                                            Finally someone who gets it. Good stuff sutter.
                                            Comment
                                            • msutter
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-14-07
                                              • 1162

                                              #57
                                              This is the Dan Persa I expect to see Saturday night

                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by priskilla22
                                                http://realtimerpi.com/

                                                PSU - 19th
                                                Northwestern - 102nd
                                                So with that being said, does it even cross your mind that it's strange you're getting Penn State at -4 instead of -7?
                                                Comment
                                                • priskilla22
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                  • 2289

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  So with that being said, does it even cross your mind that it's strange you're getting Penn State at -4 instead of -7?
                                                  Not really. Books have been getting killed ALL year setting favorites too low, and this is just another case of it.

                                                  The average gambler doesn't consider that PSU's strength is their big, effective offensive line and power running game, and that NW's downside is their interior run defense, which allowed Iowa to run for 155 yards (5.5 yards per carry)

                                                  PSU is twice the running team that Iowa is... so good luck to Northwestern this Saturday. Penn State is going to average 6-7 yards per carry and control the clock and the ball.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by priskilla22
                                                    Not really. Books have been getting killed ALL year setting favorites too low, and this is just another case of it.
                                                    Keep betting against the books. Like the transitive property, another solid gambling strategy.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • priskilla22
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                      • 2289

                                                      #61
                                                      46 rushing attempts for PSU last year, 260 yards gained.

                                                      PSU's offensive line was also very young last year. They are much better this year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • priskilla22
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-22-11
                                                        • 2289

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        Keep betting against the books. Like the transitive property, another solid gambling strategy.
                                                        I win money. My strategy is just to win money. As for this game, -4 is a small play... but if taking a horrible Northwestern team at +4 is someone's best play of the day, when there are tons of games, then that person needs to quit gambling.

                                                        Northwestern's best win is against a 1 win team. I just want to let that sink in.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • t-wizzle
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-18-09
                                                          • 38099

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by priskilla22

                                                          I win lose money. My strategy is just to win losemoney. As for this game, -4 is a small play... but if taking a horrible Northwestern team at +4 is someone's best play of the day, when there are tons of games, then that person needs to quit gambling.

                                                          Northwestern's best win is against a 1 win team. I just want to let that sink in.
                                                          Fixed it for you.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • priskilla22
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-22-11
                                                            • 2289

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                            Fixed it for you.
                                                            Customer Daily Figures for 5d----- .

                                                            Click on the link for last week's wagers.

                                                            <table border="1"><tbody><tr><th nowrap="nowrap"> Customer
                                                            ID </th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Monday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Tuesday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Wednesday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Thursday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Friday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Saturday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Sunday</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Total</th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Current
                                                            Balance </th><th nowrap="nowrap"> Today's Non-Posted
                                                            Casino Plays </th></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" nowrap="nowrap"> 5D------
                                                            </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 1,040 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 750 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 0 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 0 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 0 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 0 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 0 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 1,790 </td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> 8,450</td><td align="RIGHT" nowrap="nowrap"> </td></tr></tbody></table>
                                                            No non-posted casino plays from today are present.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • priskilla22
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-22-11
                                                              • 2289

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                              Fixed it for you.
                                                              If betting on a team who's best win is against a 1-5 team is your best play of the college football saturday, you lose a lot more than you win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • msutter
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-14-07
                                                                • 1162

                                                                #66
                                                                Even Penn St media/fans know what the right side is

                                                                It's not who you play but when you play 'em.This is a clich&#233; with teeth. Especially in the game of football. It's repeated so much because it's true.Iowa is not a bad team. Not great by Iowa standards, but not...


                                                                Penn St is 1-6 against the spread this year, but you probably already knew that
                                                                Comment
                                                                • brahmabull117
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 8622

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                                  This is the game that stands out to me for next week's college football card. The Wildcats are much better than their 2-4 record and Penn State isn't as good as their 6-1 record. The Nittany Lions have a really solid defense but the offense is just flat out anemic. The running game has come around but they still struggle to put up points on the board. Northwestern nearly knocked off a then-undefeated Illinois team in Champaign and followed that with a blown 10 point lead to lose to a really good Michigan team. I think what we are seeing with Northwestern is that they are right on the edge of being a decent team but they just can't put together a whole game. Since Dan Persa has come back the offense has looked really good and I think that this is the week the Wildcats put it all together. This is a really big game for them and they will be looking to avenge a loss in Happy Valley last year. Keep in mind, Northwestern was leading 21-0 last year before blowing that game. Like I said, PSU's defense is stout, but Northwestern has the weapons to give them some problems and move the ball down the field. No one is better at betting Penn State games on this site than me. Trust me on this one fellas. Northwestern +4 -110 (4x); ML +155 (1x)

                                                                  How is this the best play on the board???


                                                                  the best college football play is Boise State first half. Boise has covered about 80-85% of their first half spreads over the last 2 seasons including a 6-0 record this year


                                                                  You can't possibly tell me that northwestern has an 80+% chance of covering this spread, I can tell you that boise state definately has an 80+% chance of covering their 1st half spread
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • priskilla22
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                                    • 2289

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by msutter
                                                                    Even Penn St media/fans know what the right side is

                                                                    It's not who you play but when you play 'em.This is a clich&#233; with teeth. Especially in the game of football. It's repeated so much because it's true.Iowa is not a bad team. Not great by Iowa standards, but not...


                                                                    Penn St is 1-6 against the spread this year, but you probably already knew that
                                                                    LMAO, yes, Penn State bloggers are known to be spot on.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • priskilla22
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                                      • 2289

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by msutter
                                                                      Even Penn St media/fans know what the right side is

                                                                      It's not who you play but when you play 'em.This is a clich&#233; with teeth. Especially in the game of football. It's repeated so much because it's true.Iowa is not a bad team. Not great by Iowa standards, but not...


                                                                      Penn St is 1-6 against the spread this year, but you probably already knew that
                                                                      You're right. Fade PSU the rest of the year. They'll probably wind up 1-12 ATS.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • msutter
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-14-07
                                                                        • 1162

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by priskilla22
                                                                        LMAO, yes, Penn State bloggers are known to be spot on.
                                                                        They atleast have watched their team play. You're just a square who makes his plays based on RPI rankings
                                                                        Comment
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