Not too early > LSU @ BAMA : Opening Line??

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  • antifoil
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-09
    • 3993

    #36
    alabama has the best defense and 9th best offense. lsu has the 2nd best defense and 7th best offense. however, the difference in their defenses are greater than the difference than there offense.

    interestingly, wisconsin is considered statically to be the 2 best team in the country. they have the 3rd best defense and of the 3, the the better offense. however, the difference between wisconsin and lsu is negligible.
    Comment
    • Jonah
      SBR MVP
      • 10-21-09
      • 4042

      #37
      Espn has been real mum on Alabama recently. Not a good sign for LSU backers.
      Comment
      • dfberger23
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-08-10
        • 5069

        #38
        Originally posted by antifoil
        alabama has the best defense and 9th best offense. lsu has the 2nd best defense and 7th best offense. however, the difference in their defenses are greater than the difference than there offense. interestingly, wisconsin is considered statically to be the 2 best team in the country. they have the 3rd best defense and of the 3, the the better offense. however, the difference between wisconsin and lsu is negligible.
        Fuk stats, this LSU team is amazing, just have that killer instinct. They really have no weakness, they are shitting on everyone.
        Comment
        • zacharyj53
          SBR MVP
          • 08-07-10
          • 2514

          #39
          Originally posted by dfberger23
          Fuk stats, this LSU team is amazing, just have that killer instinct. They really have no weakness, they are shitting on everyone.

          How is that different than what Bama is doing to teams?
          Comment
          • dfberger23
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-08-10
            • 5069

            #40
            Originally posted by zacharyj53
            How is that different than what Bama is doing to teams?
            This is true, I have just been watching more LSU games than Bama games. They are basically equal teams.
            Comment
            • icon044
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-29-11
              • 117

              #41
              lsu will win by 7+!!! Say what yall want we have a QB that can throw the ball he has 10TD to 1int.. He is managing the game and also have jefferson as a threat to come in to run the ball.. Mark my words Jefferson will have a fake run up the middle jump back and air it out to one of our recievers. I much rather Lee but dont mind jefferson throwing the defense off 2..
              Comment
              • antifoil
                SBR MVP
                • 11-11-09
                • 3993

                #42
                there is little difference between those 3 teams i mentioned above other than the alabama's defense is superior and wisconsin's offense is superior where lsu falls in the middle on both. i just fear that an inferior oklahoma team will make it to the bcs championship rather than wisconsin.
                Comment
                • zacharyj53
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-07-10
                  • 2514

                  #43
                  Originally posted by icon044
                  lsu will win by 7+!!! Say what yall want we have a QB that can throw the ball he has 10TD to 1int.. He is managing the game and also have jefferson as a threat to come in to run the ball.. Mark my words Jefferson will have a fake run up the middle jump back and air it out to one of our recievers. I much rather Lee but dont mind jefferson throwing the defense off 2..

                  LSU isn't winning it by 7+ in Ttown.
                  Comment
                  • zacharyj53
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-07-10
                    • 2514

                    #44
                    Originally posted by antifoil
                    there is little difference between those 3 teams i mentioned above other than the alabama's defense is superior and wisconsin's offense is superior where lsu falls in the middle on both. i just fear that an inferior oklahoma team will make it to the bcs championship rather than wisconsin.

                    OU and Ok St would go over Wisky.
                    Comment
                    • antifoil
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-11-09
                      • 3993

                      #45
                      yeah and i am saying it's wrong based on which teams are actually better thus far in the season.

                      okla 6th best team
                      okla state 11th best team

                      this is all statically not based on some stupid polls of perceptions.
                      Comment
                      • zacharyj53
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-07-10
                        • 2514

                        #46
                        Originally posted by antifoil
                        yeah and i am saying it's wrong based on which teams are actually better thus far in the season.

                        okla 6th best team
                        okla state 11th best team

                        this is all statically not based on some stupid polls of perceptions.

                        Nor am I disagreeing with you. Just stating that Ok St and OU would both go over Wisky. Wisky will need both of those teams to lose or both LSU/Bama to lose.
                        Comment
                        • lyon804
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-02-09
                          • 6526

                          #47
                          Alabama -7 The books know this is not a pick. The betting public is putting to much emphasis on LSU beating down Oregon at a neutral site. I expect a hard fought close game through the half and maybe some into the 3Q but make no mistake LSU will get beat and the outcome will not be in question late.
                          Comment
                          • DanoRoo
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 10-05-11
                            • 50

                            #48
                            Originally posted by dice
                            LSU -3
                            LOL........I might take Bama as a 3 point home dog to the Indianapolis Colts or Miami Dolphins. Much less LSU.
                            Comment
                            • SBR_John
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-12-05
                              • 16471

                              #49
                              -3.5 and may see some 4s by game time. -4 seems sharp to me. You're asking for trouble if you spot LSU 4.5ish or higher.
                              Comment
                              • DanoRoo
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 10-05-11
                                • 50

                                #50
                                Originally posted by PlayTheSpread
                                Look up the last time Bama beat LSU in Tuscaloosa.
                                The last time they played there in 2009.
                                Comment
                                • cowboyfan08
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-18-10
                                  • 575

                                  #51
                                  Bama-4 and wins by 10
                                  Comment
                                  • PlayTheSpread
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-05-11
                                    • 516

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by DanoRoo
                                    The last time they played there in 2009.
                                    Ha...nice! I kinda meant look at how many wins LSU has had in Tuscaloosa and vice versa over the past 10 years. For the past decade, the majority of wins for both teams have come at visiting stadiums.
                                    Comment
                                    • ChalkyDog
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-02-11
                                      • 9598

                                      #53
                                      The line will be opening anywhere from -2 to -3.5. I tend to think -3 will be the sharp starter point. Make it a PK and give bama the home edge (public reasoning).

                                      Who knows, maybe the numbers change by then, but that's what the math says.
                                      Comment
                                      • DanoRoo
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 10-05-11
                                        • 50

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by PlayTheSpread
                                        Ha...nice! I kinda meant look at how many wins LSU has had in Tuscaloosa and vice versa over the past 10 years. For the past decade, the majority of wins for both teams have come at visiting stadiums.
                                        My apologies. I misunderstood what you meant. But, you are correct. Both LSU and Bama have had success on the other team's field.
                                        Comment
                                        • ram1502
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-26-08
                                          • 822

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by SBR_John
                                          -3.5 and may see some 4s by game time. -4 seems sharp to me. You're asking for trouble if you spot LSU 4.5ish or higher.
                                          I have heard rumors bama would open as touchdown-ish favorites, but I don't see that happening. I think John is on the right track with the 3.5/4 area.
                                          Comment
                                          • P.F.Kasooff
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-10
                                            • 1903

                                            #56
                                            The buzz about the latest Game of the Century – No. 1 LSU at No. 2 Alabama on Nov. 5 – has gotten so big it’s begun to move past the contest itself and focus on what could be an even bigger debate than just who’s better, Tigers or Tide?

                                            Rematch!

                                            It’s not uncommon for a one-loss SEC team to play in the BCS title game. It would be historic if a one-loss SEC team that didn’t even win its division reached the BCS title game to play a team that already defeated it.


                                            Rivals is the best resource for recruiting and high school sports. Find all of your favorite team's information or browse our advanced player database.
                                            Comment
                                            • jwbama23
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-17-10
                                              • 2373

                                              #57
                                              Bama-3.5
                                              Comment
                                              • P.F.Kasooff
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-10
                                                • 1903

                                                #58
                                                Just how pissed would the other conferences be if an once beaten LSU/Bama played an unbeaten Bama/LSU for the BCS Championship
                                                Comment
                                                • Lo-CalDallasBuKe
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 10-18-11
                                                  • 269

                                                  #59
                                                  I think its the under here!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • The Seer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-29-07
                                                    • 10641

                                                    #60
                                                    I hope you guys know that the line has been out for sometime already as a GOY. It has been Bama -5.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mtneer1212
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-22-08
                                                      • 4993

                                                      #61
                                                      I would guess Alabama -5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mtneer1212
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-22-08
                                                        • 4993

                                                        #62
                                                        I will say Alabama -5 and the total would be 44
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cheesehead004
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 715

                                                          #63
                                                          This line was posted days ago at the Red Rock in Las Vegas... the line is (was) at Alabama -6
                                                          Comment
                                                          • P.F.Kasooff
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-10
                                                            • 1903

                                                            #64
                                                            There was NO line out to bet on when this thread was posted
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LINE-crush-ER
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-04-08
                                                              • 1445

                                                              #65
                                                              bama -4
                                                              Comment
                                                              • balls2wall
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-20-09
                                                                • 2642

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by thefonzo
                                                                I'm thinking Bama -1 on neutral field, so Bama -4 at home. They win by a fg and bury Joe public


                                                                That is what I am thinking


                                                                I think they will open it between 3 and 4


                                                                a few have said lsu will be favored. There is no way that will happen with the opening line. Well, never say never, but...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by P.F.Kasooff
                                                                  There was NO line out to bet on when this thread was posted
                                                                  I saw it 2 weeks ago and GOY lines can be bet all season long. There are lines out for the last week of the season that you can bet on right now. The linesmakers might adjust them some as the weeks go on depending on how the teams do. I've just been waiting for it to hopefully go up where I can come back and take LSU.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • P.F.Kasooff
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-10
                                                                    • 1903

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Seer, you're just pissed because JJ said he would dump you for Opie
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Seer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-29-07
                                                                      • 10641

                                                                      #69
                                                                      lol, PF

                                                                      you coulda been betting these at off shore books too. These came out in June.






                                                                      The Las Vegas Golden Nugget Sportsbook released their “Game of the Year” lines on select NCAA football games today. Here are some of the games and our thoughts about the lines:
                                                                      September 3, 2011
                                                                      @ Arlington, TX
                                                                      LSU
                                                                      Oregon -3
                                                                      Interesting to see Oregon favorite over a top notch SEC defense after the National Championship game last year. The question mark is LSU’s offense.
                                                                      @ Atlanta, GA
                                                                      Boise St -6 (NOW -4)
                                                                      Georgia
                                                                      Mark Richt brought in his “Dream Team” recruiting class and he’s fighting for his job. I like Georgia to win the game outright
                                                                      September 5, 2011
                                                                      Miami (FL) -3.5
                                                                      Maryland
                                                                      Miami as road favorites breaking in a new HC, OC & DC?
                                                                      September 10, 2011
                                                                      Alabama -9
                                                                      Penn State
                                                                      Miss St.
                                                                      Auburn -3.5
                                                                      South Carolina -3
                                                                      Georgia
                                                                      Notre Dame
                                                                      Michigan -2
                                                                      BYU
                                                                      Texas -7.5
                                                                      Utah
                                                                      USC -8
                                                                      TCU -6.5
                                                                      Air Force
                                                                      September 15, 2011
                                                                      LSU
                                                                      Miss St. -1
                                                                      September 17, 2011
                                                                      Oklahoma -3.5 (now -3)
                                                                      Florida St
                                                                      Memories of 47-17 dancing in Vegas’ head
                                                                      Michigan ST
                                                                      Notre Dame -6
                                                                      West Va -3
                                                                      Maryland
                                                                      Tennessee
                                                                      Florida -13.5
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      Clemson -1
                                                                      September 24, 2011
                                                                      Missouri
                                                                      Oklahoma -13
                                                                      Arkansas
                                                                      Alabama -11
                                                                      Way too high in my opinion.
                                                                      LSU -4
                                                                      West Va
                                                                      Oklahoma St
                                                                      aTm -6
                                                                      Florida St -7
                                                                      Clemson
                                                                      October 1, 2011
                                                                      Alabama -6
                                                                      Florida
                                                                      The mystique of the Swamp keeps this line from being higher
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      South Carolina -7.5
                                                                      Nebraska
                                                                      Wisconsin -2.5
                                                                      October 8, 2011
                                                                      @ Dallas, TX
                                                                      Oklahoma -8
                                                                      Texas
                                                                      Florida
                                                                      LSU -5.5
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      Arkansas -7.5
                                                                      Miami (FL)
                                                                      Va Tech -7
                                                                      October 15, 2011
                                                                      ASU
                                                                      Oregon -11
                                                                      Oklahoma St
                                                                      Texas -3
                                                                      Florida -1
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      South Carolina -1.5
                                                                      Miss. St
                                                                      LSU -9.5
                                                                      Tennessee
                                                                      October 22, 2011
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      LSU -9.5
                                                                      USC
                                                                      Notre Dame -4
                                                                      Maryland
                                                                      Florida St -16
                                                                      Tennessee
                                                                      Alabama -21
                                                                      October 29, 2011
                                                                      Stanford -2
                                                                      USC
                                                                      NC State
                                                                      Florida St -14.5
                                                                      Michigan St
                                                                      Nebraska -7.5
                                                                      @ Jacksonville, FL
                                                                      Georgia
                                                                      Florida -3
                                                                      South Carolina -10.5
                                                                      Tennessee
                                                                      November 5, 2011
                                                                      Texas A&M
                                                                      Oklahoma -7.5
                                                                      LSU
                                                                      Alabama -9
                                                                      No way should the line be this high
                                                                      South Carolina
                                                                      Arkansas -4
                                                                      November 12, 2011
                                                                      Alabama -7
                                                                      Miss. St
                                                                      Oregon -1
                                                                      Stanford
                                                                      TCU
                                                                      Boise St. -13.5
                                                                      Mia (FL)
                                                                      Florida St. -7.5
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      Georgia -4.5
                                                                      Florida
                                                                      South Carolina -6
                                                                      Nebraska -1
                                                                      Penn St
                                                                      November 19, 2011
                                                                      USC
                                                                      Oregon -11
                                                                      Miss. St
                                                                      Arkansas -9
                                                                      Nebraska -1
                                                                      Michigan
                                                                      November 24, 2011
                                                                      Texas
                                                                      Texas A&M -7
                                                                      November 25, 2011
                                                                      Pittsburgh
                                                                      West Va. -6
                                                                      Arkansas
                                                                      LSU -4.5
                                                                      November 26, 2011
                                                                      Alabama -8
                                                                      Auburn
                                                                      Florida St
                                                                      Florida -1
                                                                      Interesting…..
                                                                      Georgia -6.5
                                                                      Georgia Tech
                                                                      Ole Miss
                                                                      Miss St. -12
                                                                      Clemson
                                                                      South Carolina -12
                                                                      Oregon St
                                                                      Oregon -14
                                                                      UCLA
                                                                      USC -6.5
                                                                      December 3, 2011
                                                                      Oklahoma -2
                                                                      Oklahoma St.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • P.F.Kasooff
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-13-10
                                                                        • 1903

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Seer, dont be such a dummy Big difference in a future bet & game week line. You arent dealing with high school kids here, you have them thinking you are a god. We know better!
                                                                        Comment
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