Sbr official 2011-2012 nfl fade-the-lock thread

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  • cant call it
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-29-10
    • 8817

    #1
    Sbr official 2011-2012 nfl fade-the-lock thread
    You know what time it is! I started a thread last year combining all lock-fades from various sports, NFL, CFB, NCAABB, Soccer, NHL, MLB, and NBA. The thread did only fair in my opinion, fading every lock thread in sight, closing at +3.98 units. This year we are going to do it a little differently. I will keep the NFL lock-fades posted here for the duration of the NFL season to track the amount of money one would make fading SBR posters "lock threads". This thread is for tracking purposes only, I am not wagering money on these plays. I am doing it solely for the purpose of tracking a winning % fading locks, and for the purpose of brutally humiliating posters whose lock threads go south.
    Keep in mind even though some of us like to embarrass lock-thread losers to the brink of self-destruction, we also have to remember that we do not want to discourage them from posting more locks to fade.


    What qualifies as being a "lock thread?"
    The word lock will have to be in the thread title for a fade to be made. I will also included threads that are advertised to be a "sure victory" (free money, no way this loses, you are stupid if you do not bet this, etc) as long as the thread has at least three dancing locks inside the OP.


    How do we fade locks?
    After the lock thread is has been posted we will fade using these techniques. The poster's name and link to thread posted here along with the official "lock-fade" play. I will ultimately determine the official lock fade for the reason being that posters such as henryhill and crustyme like to post lock plays for chalky favorites of -200 or more. In the event of this happening, we would fade the dog+points or we would make a moneyline play on the dog if I liked the fade enough to do so. We will fade totals, sides, ML, 1H, 2H, and quarter plays. We will pretty much fade the smooth shit out of anything that is not a prop bet. These plays can be found anywhere on the forum, including nfl handicapping, players talk, service plays, posted in wrong forum, I don't give a damn we are fading it hard.



    I will be keeping a record of total $ won/lost , posting YTD, and the record of lock thread starters.

    If you have any questions or comments, feel free to post them here.

    Now let's go find those locks to fade!!
  • T4k
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-09-11
    • 105

    #2
    This might be the greatest topic of the year
    Comment
    • Tech N9ne
      Restricted User
      • 06-24-11
      • 5366

      #3
      Comment
      • cant call it
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-29-10
        • 8817

        #4

        playboy_1
        I didn't want to fade the playboy but he called the fukking thing a lock, so we do what we do in this situation.
        This lock fade can be played at NE+2.5 (-102) or NE ML (+121) at bookmaker.
        Let's see if the line moves in our favor towards kickoff.
        Comment
        • cant call it
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-29-10
          • 8817

          #5
          We hit a good underdog last night 1-0 YTD

          +1.21 U
          Comment
          • cant call it
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-29-10
            • 8817

            #6
            We have yet another preseason lock to fade, I remember Icehouse from our first FTL thread here http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ck-thread.html
            The last tally I did was post #258 where we were 2-1 fading this guys plays.

            We are taking another shot tonight fading his new lock of the century here http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...k-century.html

            MIAMI DOLPHINS -6 (-105)IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE PLAY

            Comment
            • Tech N9ne
              Restricted User
              • 06-24-11
              • 5366

              #7
              Originally posted by cant call it
              We have yet another preseason lock to fade, I remember Icehouse from our first FTL thread here http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ck-thread.html
              The last tally I did was post #258 where we were 2-1 fading this guys plays.

              We are taking another shot tonight fading his new lock of the century here http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...k-century.html

              MIAMI DOLPHINS -6 (-105)IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE PLAY

              Comment
              • cant call it
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-29-10
                • 8817

                #8
                Starting it off right!
                2-0 YTD
                +2.21 U
                Comment
                • cant call it
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-29-10
                  • 8817

                  #9
                  richkas post us a lock fade last night, did not see until this morning.

                  SKINS +3.5 IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE WINNER!!!

                  3-0 YTD
                  +3.31 U


                  Comment
                  • cant call it
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-29-10
                    • 8817

                    #10
                    Looks like richie handed us our first loss of the year.


                    Cheifs +1 failed for us.

                    3-1 YTD
                    +2.26 U
                    Comment
                    • cant call it
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-29-10
                      • 8817

                      #11
                      We have locks to fade today. I remember these locks being posted during MLB season this year, we did very well when poster blue eyed tuna was posting these "ats lock club" picks. We gonna go balls deep on these fades.


                      poster longsilver


                      seahawks ML (+222) matchbook
                      pats/lions under 44 (-105) 5dimes
                      vikings ML (+103) 5dimes


                      Comment
                      • Kindred
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-09-08
                        • 2901

                        #12
                        fading the public/sqaure plays is
                        Comment
                        • nyjets15
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-27-11
                          • 873

                          #13
                          AWESOME.....good luck with these

                          what do you do if 2 people have locks on the opposite side of the same game? with the way people hype their plays, i'm sure this will happen almost weekly
                          Comment
                          • cant call it
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-29-10
                            • 8817

                            #14
                            3-3-1 ytd
                            +.26 u
                            Comment
                            • cant call it
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-29-10
                              • 8817

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Kindred
                              fading the public/sqaure plays is
                              Originally posted by nyjets15
                              AWESOME.....good luck with these what do you do if 2 people have locks on the opposite side of the same game? with the way people hype their plays, i'm sure this will happen almost weekly
                              It would be a no play, and yes it happens pretty often.
                              Comment
                              • cant call it
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-29-10
                                • 8817

                                #16
                                madden08 http://forum.sbrforum.com/service-pl...lock-club.html
                                titans ML is the official FTL play (+117)

                                Comment
                                • cant call it
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-29-10
                                  • 8817

                                  #17
                                  4-3-1
                                  +1.43 U

                                  Comment
                                  • cant call it
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-29-10
                                    • 8817

                                    #18
                                    richkas handed us our ass last night here

                                    oakland +3 (even) loses



                                    4-4-1 YTD
                                    +0.43 U
                                    Comment
                                    • cant call it
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-29-10
                                      • 8817

                                      #19
                                      Alright fukksticks I got alot of catching up to do, been heavy into cfb this season, no time to update these nfl plays.
                                      crustyme has provided another lock fade winner, crusty is used to losing, its his style as an airbetter to start lock threads, he enjoys the abuse http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...-lock-day.html
                                      greenbay -4.5 (-110) Winner!

                                      Henryhill (crusty's dad) provided another lock fade winner here
                                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...t-me-boys.html
                                      jets ML (-140) Winner!

                                      beantownjim hit his lock here
                                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...-nfl-lock.html
                                      rams/eagles under 43.5 Loser!


                                      Comment
                                      • cant call it
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-29-10
                                        • 8817

                                        #20
                                        ttwarrior has some locks to fade this sunday http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...day-locks.html

                                        phins ML +130
                                        titans +6.5 -110

                                        Comment
                                        • Naz18
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-10-09
                                          • 4277

                                          #21
                                          Not going to be profitable.....your gonna lose to the juice....picking losers is just as hard as picking winners....
                                          Comment
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